Hedge Funders Paradise on NOAA. One eye raised.
Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
558 PM CST Sun Jan 16 2022
.SHORT TERM [Through Monday]...
Cool spectacular night on tap. Weak high pressure with light
winds/calm will prevail overnight beneath clear skies.
Temperatures falling into the 30s areawide inland. Extended the
low water advisory through Monday afternoon.
45
&&
.AVIATION [00Z TAF Issuance]...
VFR. CLR skies and L/V winds.
45
&&
.PREV DISCUSSION /Issued 400 PM CST Sun Jan 16 2022/...
.LONG TERM [Tuesday Through Sunday]...
Did not make a lot of changes with the long term portion of this
forecast package as models remain in fairly decent agreement for
the strong cold front on Weds...but model consensus also remains
low with the timing/strength of subsequent happenings as we head
into the weekend.
A warming temperature trends for both Tues and Weds (highs rang-
ing in the 70s to near 80) will precede the strong cold front we
are expecting to sweep south through SE TX on Weds afternoon and
evening. Rain chances should be limited with frontal passage for
the northern half of the CWA...with the better chances going to-
wards the coast (where moisture is slightly deeper) but POPs are
going to remain on the low side (20-30%). Temperatures will drop
significantly once again by Weds night and stay below normal for
the rest of the week.
In the wake of this first front and associated mid/upper trough,
the
flat almost zonal upper flow developing in its wake late Wed
into Thur is then
progged to begin tapping into disturbances em-
bedded in the southern stream jet for the rest of the week (into
the start of next weekend). This is where global models start to
differ with respect to rain chances,
potential for wintry precip.
But will keep with the status quo in the grids as the colder air
mass persists over the area as these passing disturbances may or
may not produce SHRA (and/or other stuff) for Fri/Sat. 41 
.MARINE...
High pressure centered over northern Mexico/Deep South TX will
continue to bring dry conditions and light northwest winds over our
Gulf waters tonight. Winds will gradually shift to northeast-east
and then south by Monday evening as the high pressure moves to our
east. Moderate onshore flow resumes late Monday night into Tuesday
with building seas (4-6ft) by late Tuesday. This pattern will
continue until the next frontal passage that is expected to move
over the coastal waters Wednesday night into Thursday. Strong
offshore winds and elevated seas will be possible into the weekend.
05
&&
.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 33 64 39 73 57 / 0 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 36 64 42 73 60 / 0 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 45 61 56 70 64 / 0 0 0 0 0
&&
