Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States

[jgreak]

Nice and breezy today at least, temp in kingwood where I'm at right now is 76, my backyard looks like fall though, can hardly see the grass from all the leaves. They sure could have used a little of the wet stuff. Driving around today, I'd say 1 out of 5 trees are either dead or knocking on deaths door...sad state of affairs

[maroondreams]

That blob underneath miss and al looks CRAZY huge. Scary. Looks almost as big as the states in my opinion. But, what do i know.

What I do know is that I would give ANYTHING for any part of Lee to be over here right now.

[srainhoutx]

lol...18Z NAM...

hour 18...

hour 24...

[jgreak]

there is a curious clear liquid intermittently falling from the sky here

[djjordan]

LOL Ed .... you and your calibrated eyeballs crack me up

[djmike]

Still raining here in the Beaumont area with gusts to 30-35! Nice all day soaking rain for the yards and trees! I honestly wasn't expecting this much wind and rain being Lee was so far to the east! Nice! Been having power outages all over the Golden Triangle because the winds are knocking dead limbs down! Heard three transformers blow from my backyard so far...im sure more to come! Yup, reminds me alot of Ike 24h before landfall! Glad it's not him though! I can handle this! I think my grass is having a PARTY!

[djjordan]

Still raining here in the Beaumont area with gusts to 30-35! Nice all day soaking rain for the yards and trees! I honestly wasn't expecting this much wind and rain being Lee was so far to the east! Nice! Been having power outages all over the Golden Triangle because the winds are knocking dead limbs down! Heard three transformers blow from my backyard so far...im sure more to come! Yup, reminds me alot of Ike 24h before landfall! Glad it's not him though! I can handle this! I think my grass is having a PARTY!

Your lucky ..... clouds are increasing here in Sugarland ..... we have small tree limbs falling because they are dead and the wind is averaging 20 - 25 MPH with occasional gusts to 35. Hoping that Lee doesn't stop nudging this way .... we need some water.

[desiredwxgd]

Still raining here in the Beaumont area with gusts to 30-35! Nice all day soaking rain for the yards and trees! I honestly wasn't expecting this much wind and rain being Lee was so far to the east! Nice! Been having power outages all over the Golden Triangle because the winds are knocking dead limbs down! Heard three transformers blow from my backyard so far...im sure more to come! Yup, reminds me alot of Ike 24h before landfall! Glad it's not him though! I can handle this! I think my grass is having a PARTY!

It is a great soaker. My yard here in Orange can't get enough.

[djmike]

Wow...heavy band coming through now in Beaumont! That had a gust atleast close to 35-40! I know it's not, BUT it sure seems Lee is moving more west than N/NE! Houston...Im trying to send some your way! You'd sure would enjoy this! Really does look like a TS "beginning" here in SETX!

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM LEE ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL132011
400 PM CDT SAT SEP 03 2011

...SOGGY LEE LUMBERING NORTHWARD TOWARD SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...
TROPICAL STORM WARNING EXTENDED EASTWARD...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...29.4N 92.1W
ABOUT 60 MI...95 KM WSW OF MORGAN CITY LOUISIANA
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM S OF LAFAYETTE LOUISIANA
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...60 MPH...95 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...N OR 360 DEGREES AT 4 MPH...6 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...989 MB...29.21 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN REPLACED WITH A TROPICAL STORM
WARNING FROM THE ALABAMA/FLORIDA BORDER EASTWARD TO DESTIN FLORIDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* DESTIN FLORIDA WESTWARD TO SABINE PASS TEXAS...INCLUDING
THE CITY OF NEW ORLEANS...LAKE PONTCHARTRAIN...AND LAKE MAUREPAS

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY
YOUR LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
AT 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM LEE WAS
LOCATED BY SATELLITE AND OIL PLATFORM OBSERVATIONS NEAR LATITUDE
29.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST. LEE IS DRIFTING ERRATICALLY
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 4 MPH...6 KM/H. A SLOW AND POSSIBLY ERRATIC
MOTION TOWARD THE NORTH OR NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 24 HOURS...FOLLOWED BY A TURN TOWARD THE NORTHEAST. ON THE
FORECAST TRACK...THE CENTER OF LEE IS EXPECTED TO CROSS THE
LOUISIANA COAST LATER THIS AFTERNOON OR EVENING...THEN MOVE SLOWLY
ACROSS SOUTHERN LOUISIANA ON SUNDAY.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS REMAIN NEAR 60 MPH...95 KM/H...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN STRENGTH ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON
AND TONIGHT...WITH GRADUAL WEAKENING FORECAST TO OCCUR BY SUNDAY
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL-STORM-FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 230 MILES...370 KM
FROM THE CENTER. AN OFFSHORE OIL RIG SOUTH OF SABINE PASS RECENTLY
REPORTED A SUSTAINED WIND OF 50 MPH...81 KM/H AND A GUST TO 60
MPH...90 KM/H AT AN ELEVATION OF 230 FEET ABOVE THE SURFACE.

REPORTS FROM OFFSHORE OIL RIGS AND LOUISIANA STATE UNIVERSITY
COASTAL OBSERVING SITES INDICATE THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS
989 MB...29.21 INCHES.


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL...TROPICAL STORM LEE IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE TOTAL RAIN
ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES FROM THE CENTRAL GULF COAST
NORTHWARD INTO THE TENNESSEE VALLEY...WITH POSSIBLE ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS OF 20 INCHES THROUGH SUNDAY. THESE RAINS ARE
EXPECTED TO CAUSE EXTENSIVE FLOODING AND FLASH FLOODING.

STORM SURGE...A STORM SURGE WILL RAISE WATER LEVELS BY AS MUCH AS
3 TO 5 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE LOUISIANA COAST...AND BY
AS MUCH AS 1 TO 3 FEET ABOVE GROUND LEVEL ALONG THE MISSISSIPPI AND
ALABAMA COASTS INCLUDING MOBILE BAY. SEE PRODUCTS ISSUED BY LOCAL
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICES FOR MORE DETAILS.

WIND...TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED TO CONTINUE OVER
PORTIONS OF THE WARNING AREA TONIGHT INTO SUNDAY...AND POSSIBLY
INTO MONDAY.

TORNADOES...A FEW TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE THROUGH TONIGHT OVER
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN LOUISIANA...SOUTHERN MISSISSIPPI...SOUTHERN
ALABAMA...AND THE FAR WESTERN FLORIDA PANHANDLE.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY...700 PM CDT.
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY...1000 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

[djmike]

Just made 1" in Beaumont and still counting with much more headed our way! Mets here saying this will go well into the night and possibly tomorrow! Bring it!!

[srainhoutx]

Latest visible imagery shows that Lee is very near the Coast along the Cameron/Vermillion Parish line. If you look closely, you can see the two vorts are very close together...

[desiredwxgd]

LCH AFD:



000
FXUS64 KLCH 032151
AFDLCH

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LAKE CHARLES LA
451 PM CDT SAT SEP 3 2011

.DISCUSSION...
TROPICAL STORM LEE CONTINUES TO DISPLAY SUBTROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS...
AS REVEALED IN SATELLITE IMAGERY.

SATELLITE IMAGERY HIGHLIGHTS A VERY LARGE VORTICITY COMMA CLOUD JUST
SOUTHWEST OF MARSH ISLAND...COMPLETE WITH SALIENT DRY SLOT OVER
THE EASTERN QUADRANT OF LEE.

THE GFS MODEL COMPUTES A WARM-TYPE OCCLUSION CYCLONE...COMPLETE
WITH A TROWAL AIRSTREAM MORE TYPICAL OF COOL SEASON DYNAMICS.
BECAUSE LEE IS SO LARGE (A LARGE ROSSBY WAVE)...A GENERAL
DRIFTING MOTION HAS BEEN OBSERVED (FIRST NORTHWARD NOW WESTWARD).

[Ptarmigan]

NAM model for Lee. An interesting one. NAM has handled Lee well.

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M

[maroondreams]

NAM model for Lee. An interesting one. NAM has handled Lee well.

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M

Is that even possible? Wouldn't the ridge have to build back in REALLY strong for that to happen?

[sleetstorm]

Baytown is also getting some nice strong wind gusts from Tropical Storm Lee, as well. There were two breif yet nice rain showers earlier as well.

[Andrew]

NAM model for Lee. An interesting one. NAM has handled Lee well.

http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/NCOMAGWEB/appc ... mageSize=M

Is that even possible? Wouldn't the ridge have to build back in REALLY strong for that to happen?

If the NAM happens it will be nothing short of a miracle....

[TexasBreeze]

I'm suprised how far west the clouds/rain have gotten. It's cloudy with dark skies in the east and it looks like the system isn't done making westerly progress yet...

[Andrew]

I'm suprised how far west the clouds/rain have gotten. It's cloudy with dark skies in the east and it looks like the system isn't done making westerly progress yet...

Defiantly a western progression over the past couple of hours. Lets see how long it can continue.... SO CLOSE!

[BoonDog]

Got a very light misty shower a little bit ago