Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States

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djmike
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Extratropical Depression Lee: Inland N Gulf States

Post by djmike » Wed Aug 24, 2011 9:01 am

Anyone have any insight on the possible Labor Day weekend Gulf storm Larry Cosgrove has mentioned for several days now in his daily posts? I can't seem to find not one topic about it anywhere! I don't know whether to get my hopes up or not...Thanks

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-hous ... st-24-2011
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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by srainhoutx » Wed Aug 24, 2011 9:11 am

djmike wrote:Anyone have any insight on the possible Labor Day weekend Gulf storm Larry Cosgrove has mentioned for several days now in his daily posts? I can't seem to find not one topic about it anywhere! I don't know whether to get my hopes up or not...Thanks

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-hous ... st-24-2011
Day 10 GFS and Euro have suggested some disturbed weather in the NW Caribbean/Southern Gulf. We will see.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by djmike » Wed Aug 24, 2011 12:28 pm

Mike
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(IH-10 & College St. area)

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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by djjordan » Fri Aug 26, 2011 8:00 am

Any new model information regarding Labor Day weekend here in SE Texas? I've got a busy outdoors weekend planned that weekend.... I know it's still a week off but any insight from our professionals would help. Thanks everyone.
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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by djmike » Fri Aug 26, 2011 10:24 am

Larry Cosgrove continues to mention it in his daily posts along with a noticable cold front on or around that time frame aswell...Here's the link for todays post.

http://www.examiner.com/weather-in-hous ... st-26-2011

:D
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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by Katdaddy » Sat Aug 27, 2011 7:39 am

New Orleans AFD:

FRI AND INTO NEXT WEEKEND...THE MDLS ARE STRUGGLING IN HOW THEY
HANDLE THE RIDGE AND A POSSIBLE WEAK UPPER LOW OVER TX/WRN GULF. THE
ECMWF AND CANADIAN ARE A LITTLE FURTHER NORTH WITH THE RIDGE AND
STRONGER WITH THE UPPER LOW AND THEN PUSH IT EAST INTO THE GULF.
THIS COULD LEAD TO A WEAK SFC LOW TO DEVELOP IN THE GULF AND COULD
BARE WATCHING. ON THE OTHER HAND THE GFS IS WEAKER WITH THE UPPER
LOW AND THEN RETROGRADES THE MID LVL RIDGE FASTER AND THUS NOT
LEADING TO ANY SFC LOW. LUCKILY THIS IS AT THE BACK END OF THE FCST
SO WE HAVE TIME TO WATCH AND IF ANYTHING DOES DEVELOP IT WOULD BE
NEXT WEEKEND.

Corpus Christi AFD:

AT THIS TIME...WILL WAIT AND SEE WHAT FUTURE MODEL RUNS HAVE IN STORE
FOR SOUTH TEXAS IN THE EXTENDED. ALSO...THESE TWO MODELS TRY TO
DEVELOP SOMETHING TROPICAL IN THE GULF OF MEXICO BEYOND DAY 7 (BOTH
DIFFER ON TIMING AND LOCATION).

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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by wxman57 » Sat Aug 27, 2011 1:49 pm

Or possibly a pattern change that might bring some deep Gulf moisture to Texas, along with some rain. Euro now agrees with the GFS in that. No development in the 12Z Euro run.

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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by don » Sat Aug 27, 2011 2:49 pm

12z Euro does show a trough of low pressure along the Texas coast...these have been known to spin up into homebrew storms from time to time...

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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by Ptarmigan » Sat Aug 27, 2011 5:25 pm

wxman57 wrote:Or possibly a pattern change that might bring some deep Gulf moisture to Texas, along with some rain. Euro now agrees with the GFS in that. No development in the 12Z Euro run.
Let's hope that is the case. Rain. :twisted: 8-)

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Re: Possible Labor Day Gulf Storm!

Post by PaulEInHouston » Sun Aug 28, 2011 7:04 am

wxman, correct me if I'm wrong, but the death ridge is progged to weaken and move East/NE towards TN valley, correct? I've seen some say move West but don't think that's the case. East would open up the GOM, especially TX coast for tropical moisture and associated with a weakness along the lower/mid TX coast. The ECMWF has backed off on hintings of BOC development but GFS keeps hinting at BOC/Yucatan/W Carrib?

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