Remnants of Matthew Inland Over Southern Mexico

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txsnowmaker
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by txsnowmaker » Sun Sep 19, 2010 12:39 pm

Bring on cooler weather. Hopefully our weather pattern will follow history rather than current model forecasts and we will get our first cold front in time to drive tropical activity away from our area.

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srainhoutx
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by srainhoutx » Sun Sep 19, 2010 1:27 pm

Well the Euro has a very large storm in the Gulf @ hour 240...low resolution from the ECMWF site...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Met Tech
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by Met Tech » Sun Sep 19, 2010 1:30 pm

sambucol wrote:
Ok. I'm curious if Texas is possibly at target.
Looks like it's doing the same as GFS; in this last frame at 180 hours (27/00Z) it just starts headed WNW as if it's going to make a northwest/north turn afterward. Central pressure 969 mb, by the way--a bit hard to read on that graphic.

Image
Last edited by Met Tech on Sun Sep 19, 2010 1:33 pm, edited 2 times in total.

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by srainhoutx » Sun Sep 19, 2010 1:31 pm

Here are the resolutions of the Euro from Allan Huffman's site at 850mb and 500mb...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by srainhoutx » Sun Sep 19, 2010 1:37 pm

Interesting that the KWRF is also suggesting a powerful system. Worth watching and thanks Met Tech for those graphics. Looks like an interesting week as the NHC has now mentioned PGI46L or the general location in the latest Tropical Weather Discussion as a surface trough...

A SURFACE TROUGH IS OFF THE COAST OF SOUTH AMERICA ALONG 13N48W
4N52W. WIDELY SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION IS FROM 10N-14N
BETWEEN 48W-54W.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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cisa
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by cisa » Sun Sep 19, 2010 2:15 pm

any guesses as to how Upper TX coast figures into this? I know it's early.
No rain, no rainbows.

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sambucol
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by sambucol » Sun Sep 19, 2010 2:17 pm

I think we aren't out of the woods on the upper TX coast. But I could be wrong.

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by srainhoutx » Sun Sep 19, 2010 2:20 pm

Still very early and we know things change quickly. To use a phrase that has been tossed around before, Tampico to Bermuda would be in the 'cone' today IMO.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by cisa » Sun Sep 19, 2010 2:21 pm

Yeah, I'm kinda sensing that myself. Well, tis the season. :?
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by cisa » Sun Sep 19, 2010 2:23 pm

Thanks guys!
No rain, no rainbows.

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