Remnants of Matthew Inland Over Southern Mexico

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Remnants of Matthew Inland Over Southern Mexico

Post by Met Tech » Sat Sep 18, 2010 7:49 am

Global models have been rather consistent in having some type of development next week in the Caribbean, possibly moving toward the Gulf. I don't know if Josh and Strat are up for it so soon, but I'm already hoping this is another chase opportunity--talk about a reality show! :)

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by srainhoutx » Sat Sep 18, 2010 8:21 am

From the PREDICT Team...

The models continue to hint at a monsoonal development in
eastern Eastpac that moves northward over Mexico into the
western Caribbean ... with different results between the models.
While most models stall it in the southwestern Caribbean,
NOGAPS moves it northward along the east coast of Nicaragua.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by Andrew » Sat Sep 18, 2010 8:27 am

6z GFS Here we go:

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I can already see the lack of sleep for the next couple of weeks.
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by Rip76 » Sat Sep 18, 2010 8:56 am

Looking from my phone it's hard to tell, but is there something spinning up in the gulf from the remnants of Karl?

I don't need anything next week with the Rush concert coming up at the Woodlands.

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by Snowman » Sat Sep 18, 2010 9:00 am

yea there is a blob in the western gulf left over from karl. Is it even possible for another tropical system to form the remnants of a system that moves inland like karl?

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by srainhoutx » Sat Sep 18, 2010 9:06 am

Snowman wrote:yea there is a blob in the western gulf left over from karl. Is it even possible for another tropical system to form the remnants of a system that moves inland like karl?

There is a an area of broad lower pressures now across the the Gulf and Western Caribbean. Also a trough axis hanging N to S in the Western Gulf. Mid September and boundaries can bring surprises. Let's see if something begins to spin up off the Mexican Coast as the day wears on. It may well help our rain chances locally.

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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by Andrew » Sat Sep 18, 2010 9:07 am

Snowman wrote:yea there is a blob in the western gulf left over from karl. Is it even possible for another tropical system to form the remnants of a system that moves inland like karl?

No model support along with the fact that these storms are most likely heat driven and will die down tonight means that there isn't really a chance of anything forming. Now if it stays together overnight then maybe we will have something.
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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by Andrew » Sat Sep 18, 2010 10:52 am

GFS has trouble with it this run. ALMOST hits Mexico as a strong storm then dissipates it and sends it north:

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Re: Caribbean/Gulf Development Next Week?

Post by srainhoutx » Sat Sep 18, 2010 11:30 am

12Z Canadian is at it again...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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