Remnants of Hermine

Tropical Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Although I've not paid really close attention to the model's handling of tropics before, the Rapid Refresh has had some 30-35 kt (possibly some 40 kt pixels in there) winds down in that area near the low for the past several hourly cycles.

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srainhoutx
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The 12Z NAM (outlier and non tropical model) suggests a little less development (no Hurricane this run)and brings the low into S TX near Corpus Christi.
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srainhoutx wrote:The 12Z NAM (outlier and non tropical model) suggests a little less development (no Hurricane this run)and brings the low into S TX near Corpus Christi.



Interesting...when I get home in a bit I'm going to fire up the KWRF again and see what happens.
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Rip76
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I don't see how much could happen here, it's almost near land now.
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srainhoutx
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12Z GFS suggests a low (maybe TD) moving NNW near the Coast to Tampico through 48 hours.
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I'm with Rip76 on this - I don't see how anything could or will develop being so close to land. I don't think it will bring us any rain here in SE texas either due to its too far south.
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It looks like some of the models are hinting at a little farther north track. That should increase our rain chances.
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Ptarmigan
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If things get right, 90L has a shot at becoming TD 10 and Hermine. Regardless, we will get rain and that is fine with me.
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Rip76
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I don't see much rain making it this far north.
Hope I'm wrong though, my yard is screaming.
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Rip76 wrote:I don't see much rain making it this far north.
Hope I'm wrong though, my yard is screaming.
With a system like this a lot of the moisture is to the west of the system and with the trof falling back these two things should give a steady flow of rain for us.
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