Tropical Depression Isaac:

[srainhoutx]

I won't be surprised to see a WSW jog as that heavier band wraps around the W side of the 'center.' The HRRR has been fairly accurate in suggesting that may well happen...

[Rip76]

I won't be surprised to see a WSW jog as that heavier band wraps around the W side of the 'center.' The HRRR has been fairly accurate in suggesting that may well happen...

Srain, I swear I was thinking the same exact thing.

[biggerbyte]

Sure looks like this may indeed be a coast rider, at least in the short term. At some point it will kick out to the north, but that could end up being across east Texas. It will be central LA, or further west when it does.

[Rip76]

Watching the Weather Channel at the bar.
I see a baby bit of WSW.

[srainhoutx]

Product: Air Force Vortex Message (URNT12 KNHC)
Transmitted: 29th day of the month at 00:10Z
Aircraft: Air Force Aircraft (Last 3 digits of the tail number are 308)
Storm Number & Year: 09L in 2012
Storm Name: Isaac (flight in the North Atlantic basin)
Mission Number: 32
Observation Number: 06
A. Time of Center Fix: 28th day of the month at 23:57:00Z
B. Center Fix Coordinates: 29°00'N 89°33'W (29.N 89.55W)
B. Center Fix Location: 74 miles (119 km) to the SSE (156°) from New Orleans, LA, USA.
C. Minimum Height at Standard Level: 1,151m (3,776ft) at 850mb
D. Estimated (by SFMR or visually) Maximum Surface Wind: 57kts (~ 65.6mph)
E. Location of the Estimated Maximum Surface Wind: 38 nautical miles (44 statute miles) to the E (93°) of center fix
F. Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: From 174° at 82kts (From the S at ~ 94.4mph)
G. Location of Maximum Flight Level Wind Inbound: 51 nautical miles (59 statute miles) to the E (93°) of center fix
H. Minimum Sea Level Pressure: 968mb (28.59 inHg)
I. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Outside Eye: 18°C (64°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,521m (4,990ft)
J. Maximum Flight Level Temp & Pressure Altitude Inside Eye: 23°C (73°F) at a pressure alt. of 1,524m (5,000ft)
K. Dewpoint Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): 21°C (70°F)
K. Sea Surface Temp (collected at same location as temp inside eye): Not Available
L. Eye Character: Open in the southeast
M. Eye Shape: Concentric (has an inner and outer eye)
M. Inner Eye Diameter: 12 nautical miles (14 statute miles)
M. Outer Eye Diameter: 21 nautical miles (24 statute miles)
N. Fix Determined By: Penetration, Radar, Wind, Pressure and Temperature
N. Fix Level: 850mb
O. Navigation Fix Accuracy: 0.02 nautical miles
O. Meteorological Accuracy: 1 nautical mile
Remarks Section:
Maximum Flight Level Wind: 96kts (~ 110.5mph) in the northeast quadrant at 22:49:30Z
Maximum Flight Level Wind Outbound: 94kts (~ 108.2mph) in the west quadrant at 0:03:50Z

[CAK]

Looks like a jog west... could be a wobble... http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... 9&smooth=0

[cristina99]

watching TWC just now and it showed a "future track" and to me it sure looks like it heads west along the coast. Now I am but a weather "groupie," but is anyone else seeing the same thing?

[weatherrabbit]

Looks like a jog west... could be a wobble... http://www.wunderground.com/radar/radbl ... 9&smooth=0

looks like its just getting south of grand isle? I do see a west moving atm..

[wxman666]

Don't know if anyone looked at this HGX discussion yet....

.DISCUSSION...
A QUICK UPDATE OUT FOR THE SHOWERS LINGERING IN THE NORTHERN
COUNTIES AND TO RAISE CHANCES AFTER MIDNIGHT FOR SOME SHOWERS IN
THE EASTERNMOST COUNTIES.

ISAAC MADE LANDFALL IN PLAQUEMINES PARISH ON THE MOUTH OF THE
MISSISSIPPI WITH A WOBBLE TO THE NORTH BUT IS NOW WOBBLING BACK TO
THE WEST AND MAY MAKE ANOTHER LANDFALL LAFOURCHE PARISH.

MAY BE UPDATING AGAIN LATER THIS EVENING BASED ON ISAACS MOTION
AND LATEST RUNS THAT BECOME AVAILABLE IF THEY HAPPEN TO TREND
WEST.
45
&&

[rain]

watching TWC just now and it showed a "future track" and to me it sure looks like it heads west along the coast. Now I am but a weather "groupie," but is anyone else seeing the same thing?

I saw that too but they said it will go off to the north. Hurricane Central said it is moving NW. They said advisory shows due west motion since 7:00, but the official track is NW

[djmike]

Wow....now he looks to be doing a Southwest jog...

[Scott747]

Reporting station where Josh is located -

http://www.weatherhq.com/weather-statio ... he-airport

Link for other areas around current center -

http://www.weatherhq.com/galliano,-sout ... servations

[biggerbyte]

watching TWC just now and it showed a "future track" and to me it sure looks like it heads west along the coast. Now I am but a weather "groupie," but is anyone else seeing the same thing?

I saw that too but they said it will go off to the north. Hurricane Central said it is moving NW

Eventually heading off to the north is correct, but when is the question. They are wrong about its current heading. No way is it NW.

[rain]

watching TWC just now and it showed a "future track" and to me it sure looks like it heads west along the coast. Now I am but a weather "groupie," but is anyone else seeing the same thing?

I saw that too but they said it will go off to the north. Hurricane Central said it is moving NW

Eventually heading off to the north is correct, but when is the question. They are wrong about its current heading. No way is it NW.

I posted more a few posts above this. Sorry for the double post.

[djmike]

Dont think he will make it to TX, but every mile he gets closer and closer to us, the more we will feel! I remember this morning hearing we wont be feeling any effects...well that changed throughout the day...according to QPF 2"-4" of rain now for BPT area.

[redneckweather]

I don't see any westward movement what so ever. If anything a slight movement to the northwest but more than likely dang near stationary. I've looked at 5 different radar loops and none show a westward movement.

[djmike]

Ok, if the storm IS moving west or southwest OR stalled or barely moveing....then WHY isn't the NHC reflecting any of that on thier updates?

[CaliforniaSux]

Ok, if the storm IS moving west or southwest OR stalled or barely moveing....then WHY isn't the NHC reflecting any of that on thier updates?

Who knows. But HGX mentions in their discussion...

[Scott747]

The NHC doesn't all of a sudden change directional heading based on short-term wobbles or perceived movement. The heading/movement is blended. Last night was an example.

Next complete advisory is out at 10.

[Scott747]

Pressure steady at 968.