August Weather Discussion

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Ptarmigan
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wxman57 wrote:Rain is on the horizon! Models all showing the "death ridge" over Texas breaking down by Thursday with a lot of tropical moisture streaming northward across the western Gulf. Could be a nice, rainy Labor Day weekend.
Our RAID has come to kill that Cockroach Ridge of Death. :lol: :twisted: 8-)
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jasons2k
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I was even hotter Sunday - 113 at my place.
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srainhoutx
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Afternoon update from Jeff re: Montgomery County Wildfire and future early September tropic troubles:

A wildfire has developed near Needham Rd and FM 494 in SE Montgomery County this afternoon. The fire is burning in heavy pine forest and brush with several homes in the area. Several local fire departments are responding to cut containment lines.

While RH is very low this afternoon, winds are weak with a flat pressure gradient and while the fire is spreading, it is spreading at a fairly slow rate and at this time has not reached into the tree canopy as some of the larger fires did this past June. Winds will likely increase some early this evening as the seabreeze moves inland from the south and southeast.

End of the Week:
Nearly all forecast models now attempt to close off a surface low pressure over the western/northwestern Gulf of Mexico this weekend. In fact the ECMWF and GFS show a fairly deep surface low off the TX coast this weekend that is left to meander in a weak steering flow and then begins to drift SW as high pressure builds southward early next week from the central plains. Significant forecast changes may be required for the period from Friday-Monday given the potential for a tropical system to develop off the TX coast. This may also have a big impact on rain chances and totals this weekend with rainfall becoming more concentrated near the coast/offshore. Any time you have the potential for surface low formation over 88-90 degree waters and abundant tropical moisture if can spell trouble. Stay tuned!


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jgreak
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There seems to be so many crisscrossing boundaries - curious as to why nothing is firing along them? Seems as though heating wouldn't be a problem :?:
Andrew
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jgreak wrote:There seems to be so many crisscrossing boundaries - curious as to why nothing is firing along them? Seems as though heating wouldn't be a problem :?:

Boundaries that crossed would be a good thing. When two boundaries combine, that is when you see some of the strongest storms. The main problem we have is it is just too dry. Even with the lift from the sea breeze and some of the other boundaries, it wasn't enough to get many storms going. Don't worry this weekend looks promising. :)
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sleetstorm
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I am seeing some dead trees & shrubs here in Baytown.
vbhoutex
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sleetstorm wrote:I am seeing some dead trees & shrubs here in Baytown.
If you are just starting to see them you are lucky. A drive by Memorial Park off of I-610 will make you sick. Literally hundreds, if not thousands of dead trees are visible. I am losing shrubs as well as grass in my yard and I have been watering. If I watered enough to keep everything green and growing, as opposed to just keeping it alive, I would go bankrupt. Rain so far this month in the Spring Branch area of Houston is 0.26"(I think it is that much).
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tireman4
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We are just beat down with the temperatures. I figured, what the heck, why not go for broke. Well, we did. Ahh. Sigh..


.CLIMATE...
THE TEMPERATURE HAS REACHED 100 DEGREES AT BOTH HOUSTON AND
COLLEGE STATION THIS AFTERNOON...CAPPING OFF WHAT WILL GO DOWN AS
HOTTEST MONTH OF ANY MONTH ON RECORD FOR SOUTHEAST TEXAS. FOR
COLLEGE STATION...THIS IS THE 58TH DAY OF 100-DEGREE
TEMPERATURES...TYING THE ALL-TIME RECORD FOR MOST IN A YEAR SET IN
1917. THE TEMPERATURE REACHED 100 DEGREES A TOTAL OF 30 OUT OF THE
31 DAYS THIS MONTH IN HOUSTON...SOMETHING THAT SEEMED ALMOST
UNTHINKABLE PRIOR TO THIS MONTH. THE AVERAGE DAILY HIGH
TEMPERATURE IN HOUSTON FOR AUGUST WILL EXCEED 100 DEGREES FOR THE
FIRST TIME EVER FOR ANY MONTH. THE MONTHLY AVERAGE TEMPERATURE IN
HOUSTON WILL END UP CLOSE TO 90.4 DEGREES...WHICH EXCEEDS THE
PREVIOUS RECORD HOTTEST MONTH (AUGUST 2010) BY A WHOPPING 2.7
DEGREES. 35

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CAK
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Good Riddance to August discussion... an August I'd like to soon forget.
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