February 1-5, 2011 Arctic Blast/Winter Storm Discussion

[tireman4]

Well, the HGX NWS is sticking to their guns....that is a positive...

[snowman65]

My source at HGX says verbatim:

First, my question: "Dude, where's the moisture? Have you seen the WV? I'm a bit worried."

My friend: "It will saturate up by midnight. The WV doesn't mean anything for an isentropic lift event because it's all generated in the low levels. We went 1-3 inches the whole time because there is nothing to support big totals. We did lower them to 1-2 inches but still think the whole area will see snow."

see.I knew it all along....yall quit worrying so much...thanks CC..

[tireman4]

My source at HGX says verbatim:

First, my question: "Dude, where's the moisture? Have you seen the WV? I'm a bit worried."

My friend: "It will saturate up by midnight. The WV doesn't mean anything for an isentropic lift event because it's all generated in the low levels. We went 1-3 inches the whole time because there is nothing to support big totals. We did lower them to 1-2 inches but still think the whole area will see snow."

Well there ya go . I am convinced. Let us get back to having fun on a Thursday. Woo Hoo

[clute28]

PLAIN AND SIMPLE ..if u want snow u gotta go north LOL

[biggerbyte]

I would like to thank Wxman57 for helping me keep it real these past few days. Through some hype, a whole lot of hoping and wishing for a miracle, we come to this point at the beginning of the end of this event. We might see some very light precip. for inland areas, but I don't see how it can be much with the lack of enough moisture, low pressure, or not. That is like firing a gun with no bullets.

So, to wrap it up. Some along the coast, and over towards LA had some excitement. We got to see some cold daytime highs. The lows were challenging for some, but many did not reach the forecasted teens.
So, all in all, it was fun and exciting to watch. The potential, at times, was there for us to have a major winter event. We don't get even the potential for such an event very often.

I hope at least some of you listened to the cautions and warnings about potential huge disappointments. Everyone can be disappointed, but expecting anything might lesson the grieving time. Time to move on, folks. We can continue to hope that something happens to change how things look this evening. I know you newbies want this soooo bad. So do most of the rest of us. I do think my snowman is going to have to wait...



BB

[WeatherGAGA]

There is all these computers and machines and educated weather people. Half say it will snow half say it wont.

[Baseballdude2915]

2004 remember that?
History tends to repeat it self.
Watch the radar blossom tonight between 8-10pm

or

Another bone chilling bust.
Maybe a passing flurry.
No significant accumulations.

So hard to pick a side.

[snowman65]

There is all these computers and machines and educated weather people. Half say it will snow half say it wont.

so go with the one in between them...

[texasrattler]

Well even though it is not going to snow, my kids and I are still going to enjoy our day off tomorrow with movies, popcorn, hot chocolate, and soup oh and of course a NAP!!

I would consider being adopted, although my wife might object!

Unfortunately, my day will be a normal one: maintaining swimming pools dressed as an Eskimo.

[weatherag]

I think most people are in agreement that it will snow. Tricky part is exactly how much moisture will be available. Lift will certainly be there. As wxman pointed out would have been nice to see the surface trough form closer to the coast. We shall see. I'm still hopeful that my grass will be covered in the morning.

[Andrew]

How bout we stop saying it will snow or it won't and wait until around 10 to look at the radar.

[rain]

PLAIN AND SIMPLE ..if u want snow u gotta go north LOL

LOL that's the truth

[ticka1]

i'm on the fence.....love to see snow but it won't be the end of my world if it dont.

Its been a fun ride these last 10 days....and so less stressful then a hurricane.

[TXStormjg]

Okay, here's y 2 cents now!!!

We WILL indeed have some frozen precip tonight....just not as much as we had hoped for. My daughter was happy just to get tomorrow off! She got out of the usual Friday tests! LOL

Now...my prediction for the future: Watch for winter precip next week. We have all the ingredients lining up once again. I have a feeling many will poo poo this, but I have this strange gut feeling that we could see the white stuff AGAIN next week.

Yo METS....whatchall think about that?

[unome]

for all of us hoping for snow...

Red: "Let me tell you something my friend. Hope is a dangerous thing. Hope can drive a man insane."

Andy Dufresne: "Remember Red, hope is a good thing, maybe the best of things, and no good thing ever dies."

Also, if anyone needs a link to soundings, try this one: http://weather.uwyo.edu/upperair/sounding.html

[snowman65]

Okay, here's y 2 cents now!!!

We WILL indeed have some frozen precip tonight....just not as much as we had hoped for. My daughter was happy just to get tomorrow off! She got out of the usual Friday tests! LOL

Now...my prediction for the future: Watch for winter precip next week. We have all the ingredients lining up once again. I have a feeling many will poo poo this, but I have this strange gut feeling that we could see the white stuff AGAIN next week.

Yo METS....whatchall think about that?

poo poo.......poo poo..........lol...jk...let's start it up again!!!

[trlburns]

I am getting very frustrated with this forum.

[Katdaddy]

Snow is extremely rare in SE TX. We have become spoiled by recent snow events and 2004 was a once in a lifetime event. With that said the main forecasted event is still 6 hours out.

[snowman65]

I am getting very frustrated with this forum.

you get used to it..

[TexasMetBlake]

I am getting very frustrated with this forum.

Amen, brother.