January Weather Discussion: Slight Chance Severe Storms

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vbhoutex
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tireman4 wrote:Holy Moly the temperature is still dropping.....Wind is howling and I am on the third floor
This front has definitely come in stronger than expected, or it looks that way to me. We are currently at 35.2f and continuing a steady drop. Even if the rate slows we should easily be in the upper 20's to 30f by morning(I'm just inside the Beltway near Hammerly and Gessner). I will be surprised if there isn't a lowering of the progged lows for tonight and tomorrow night. To top it off the wind is still 10-20 mph and gusty which means we are still getting plenty of mixing and no radiational cooling of consequence.
biggerbyte
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We don't have the snow, but we certainly have the cold. Bitter cold even for some... Ahem! Wxman57.. :)

Interesting days ahead. Hopefully my giving up will mean some winter precip. around here before winters end.
It usually does!!!! Lol


Brrrrr
sleetstorm
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This is off topic, but do any of you have any intention to go to Mardi Gras next month.
vci_guy2003
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How come it's nearing freezing already? Nobody predicted this.
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vci_guy2003 wrote:How come it's nearing freezing already? Nobody predicted this.

Yea the front has come in a lot stronger than predicted. I am at 35-36 as of now and still dropping. I will probably get colder than I did last time.
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ronyan
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37.8 F here near the coast.
vbhoutex
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I'm at 30.7f here in Spring Branch.
Baseballdude2915
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Temps already busting, chilly night ahead. Might not make it out of the 40s tomorrow.
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00z GFS gets cold for the beginning of February but as Wxman stated earlier things will change

Code: Select all

FIELD  TEMPERATURE   DEW POINT      
LEVEL      2M             2M   
UNITS      DEGC            DEGC
 HR

+132.     -4.2           -7.8
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Andrew
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Baseballdude2915 wrote:Temps already busting, chilly night ahead. Might not make it out of the 40s tomorrow.

And tomm night is expected to be colder.
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ronyan
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-42 at International Falls currently!

35.2 F here and falling pretty fast. I hope it doesn't freeze because I told my neighbors they didn't need to cover the plants...
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ronyan wrote:-42 at International Falls currently!

35.2 F here and falling pretty fast. I hope it doesn't freeze because I told my neighbors they didn't need to cover the plants...

With a dew-point in the middle 20's I am pretty sure you will at least hit 32.
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unome
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28 here in Cypress

Int'l Falls, MN hit -44 for their low http://www.weather.gov/data/obhistory/KINL.html

some record lows up there http://coolwx.com/record/

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wxman57
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Interesting 6Z GFS run for the end of the month. 1983-1989-type freeze and snow to the coast. Of course, it's only one run in a model that is flopping all over the place in the long run. Note the temps on the 6Z meteogram below are NOT highs/lows. They're the midnight and noon temperatures forecast by the 6Z GFS. Note the NOON temperature of 18F on Wed. Feb 2nd:

Image

Lots of snow down south, too:
Image

Will it happen? Probably not. Will I see 80F in the next few weeks? Only indoors if I turn up the heat a lot.
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srainhoutx
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I saved this image from Tuesday. The GFS has been hinting a significant storm may happen during this time frame since then. Interesting to say the least. And where did this cloud cover come from? That was not expected...
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Andrew
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wxman57 wrote:Interesting 6Z GFS run for the end of the month. 1983-1989-type freeze and snow to the coast. Of course, it's only one run in a model that is flopping all over the place in the long run. Note the temps on the 6Z meteogram below are NOT highs/lows. They're the midnight and noon temperatures forecast by the 6Z GFS. Note the NOON temperature of 18F on Wed. Feb 2nd:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/iahgfsx6zjan21.gif

Lots of snow down south, too:
http://www.twisterdata.com/data/models/ ... URFACE.png

Will it happen? Probably not. Will I see 80F in the next few weeks? Only indoors if I turn up the heat a lot.
Map to go along with data:

Image


I know it is so far away but at the same time it is rare for even the gfs to show this type of cold air coming down. Low's in the lower teens is not something you see everyday from the gfs even in the long long range. As you said though way to far out to be anything more than speculation.
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srainhoutx
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JB had an interesting video update on the freebie accuweather site yesterday. He is suggesting the pattern may well produce a 1993 Super Storm type system. He may be on to something... ;)

http://www.accuweather.com/video/731462 ... follow.asp
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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TexasMetBlake
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Wow, temps in AK are approaching -60s...

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srainhoutx
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The Yukon and NW Territories are cold as well...

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Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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unome
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forecast highs - Celsius & Fahrenheit are the same at -40, how about that

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