Winter Long Range Discussion

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance I would take this pattern with potential mutliple chances for wintry weather, but id definitely not want a repeat of what happened last february, that was brutal

[Iceresistance]

Iceresistance I would take this pattern with potential mutliple chances for wintry weather, but id definitely not want a repeat of what happened last february, that was brutal

I don't either, but the 12z Canadian went crazy cold, down to near Zero for Central & Northern Texas, & Below zero for Southern & Central Oklahoma.

It may happen again, we're overdue for back-to-back February Cold Waves.

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance Its possible, and to think just a few days ago the models werent showing anything interesting man how that quickly changed

[Iceresistance]

12z Canadian Long range has very cold temperatures, it's unlikely though since it has a cold bias, especially after cold fronts.

[Iceresistance]

With the MJO becoming inactive, it's gotten harder for very cold weather to come here now once again, but if it reemerges at the right timing & if it gets really strong, something really big may be coming in February.

[Stratton20]

More GFS( 17z run) fantasyland fun!

[Cpv17]

More GFS( 17z run) fantasyland fun!

I’m really intrigued about the last part of this month into the beginning of February. I’m a bit bullish on it right now. I know it’s not wise to be a bullish on something over a week out but it definitely has my interest.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 agreed and this is also something interesting and its inside of 10 days, GEFS sniffing out some more wintry mischief next week?

[Cpv17]

CPV17 agreed and this is also something interesting and its inside of 10 days, GEFS sniffing out some more wintry mischief next week?

Yeah.. and that could be just the beginning of a possible pattern change. There’s a chance it could be turning quite cold after that with more winter weather chances.

[Stratton20]

CPV17 man that would be amazing! Fingers crossed!

[Cpv17]

Some interesting history here:

https://www.weather.gov/maf/The_Coldest_Night_in_Texas

[Iceresistance]

Watch the 12z GEFS at your own risk.

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance what does it show

[Iceresistance]

Iceresistance what does it show

Crazy Ensemble Member Snowfall & Mean Snowfall, but the Run is not done yet.

The fun on the GEFS really begins on February 1st.

[Iceresistance]

12z GFS has something potentially big at the end of the run, & it's coming this way (More info on S2K)

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance yup has a deep trough digging into the southwest, too bad its fantasyland because that would definitely be something interesting to watch

[Iceresistance]

Iceresistance yup has a deep trough digging into the southwest, too bad its fantasyland because that would definitely be something interesting to watch

Unless it develops consistency

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance we will see, their is alot of cold air behind that trough on that particular run, for now just something to casually watch

[Iceresistance]

18z GFS WOW! (More info. on S2K)

[Stratton20]

Iceresistance saw it, problem is the dreaded SE Ridge is showinf up on the run at the same time period