February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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djmike
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Beaumont
Mike
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Rip76
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Snowing pretty good in Friendswood
Snakeswx
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I'm kinda amazed at how steadily the snow is still coming down... On radar the precip moved out a long time ago.. kinda thought it would shut off when that back edge got here but it's still snowing
Cromagnum
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No snow. Lots of ice and sleet. Staying put for a couple days minimum.
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DoctorMu
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:11 am
txsnowmaker wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:02 am We’ve got a bigger problem. ERCOT said 15 minutes to an hour for rolling blackouts, but Center Point is apparently saying that due to excessive demand they’re having to cut power during rolling blackouts for longer than expected. Many including me have been out for hours so they owe a bit more of an explanation as to how long we’ll be out for and how frequently they’ll be shutting off. Apparently 12,000 megawatts of power is offline due to frozen wind turbines. Those who want us completely off reliable natural gas should take a cue and learn an important lesson in logic and reason from this event.
More than half of America is an emotion over logic crowd so don’t hold your breath.
TBF, wind turbines in the Dakotas don’t go offline. This is a walk in the park for those in Fargo or Minneapolis. They’re laughing at uss and how we’ll need Federal assistance for snow and cold. I had to explain last night to my post-doc from Europe that he did not have to show up for work. In Chicago this is just another Monday. Texans are I’ll prepared for real winter weather.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:08 am, edited 1 time in total.
Kingwood36
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Lot of ice...no snow
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djmike
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Honestly I think we dodged a bullet as far as freezing rain on power lines. Roads are covered in ice under the snow but as far as ice one trees and power lines, I see very little here in Beaumont. Entergy sent a text now for us that rolling blackouts will begin today. No outage duration. Thats scary. Power keeps flickering for past several hours. Im sure they are switching over to different grids or something. Im not a power guy. Lol. But we will start having blackouts here too.
Mike
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jasons2k
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It’s pretty but was hoping for more snow than that. Just a dusting on top of the sleet.. 15 degrees.
Kingwood36
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What's this freezing rain for Wed looking like..if that happens it's really going to wreck the the power situation
unome
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:06 am TBF, wind turbines in the Dakotas don’t go offline. This is a walk in the park for those in Fargo or Minneapolis. They’re laughing at uss and how we’ll need Federal assistance for snow and cold. I had to explain last night to my post-doc from Europe that he did not have to show up for work. In Chicago this is just another Monday. Texans are I’ll prepared for real winter weather.
well said, Dr - it reached -38 in the land of my birth last night & all is well there (over -50 in the last week or so) 8-) They could improve building codes here, it would help if water lines run down an uninsulated, exterior wall are required to be insulated, etc... improved insulation would help when power use surges in summer as well
Cromagnum
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Roads completely iced over in Rosharon. At least 1/4 inch, maybe a bit more.
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weatherguy425
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Noticing some minor, but certainly noticeable northwest-southeast oriented snow bands... Lakes Conroe and Houston may explain the eastern-two.
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unome
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per CenterPoint on TWC just now:

"unfortunately, if you are a customer in the Houston area and are without power right now, you should be prepared to be without power for the rest of the day"
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srainhoutx
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weatherguy425 wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:44 am Not to jump ahead, but overnight trended towards starting (at least) our next storm system as freezing rain across a large portion of the area. We'll have to see if models continue to trend colder with a longer duration of freezing rain Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Looks like the NAM may have been closest to reality across SE Texas for the overnight storm. Today into the 12Z runs tomorrow should provide some ground truth to the possibilities for storm #2.
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Snakeswx
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weatherguy425 wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:31 am Noticing some minor, but certainly noticeable northwest-southeast oriented snow bands... Lakes Conroe and Houston may explain the eastern-two.
I would be in line with the lake conroe band but just off to its nnw and I am still getting a steady light snow here
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MontgomeryCoWx
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3-4 inches here... beautiful
Team #NeverSummer
weatherguy425
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srainhoutx wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 8:34 am
weatherguy425 wrote: Mon Feb 15, 2021 6:44 am Not to jump ahead, but overnight trended towards starting (at least) our next storm system as freezing rain across a large portion of the area. We'll have to see if models continue to trend colder with a longer duration of freezing rain Tuesday night and Wednesday.
Looks like the NAM may have been closest to reality across SE Texas for the overnight storm. Today into the 12Z runs tomorrow should provide some ground truth to the possibilities for storm #2.
First test may come today; has afternoon MAX temperatures in the mid to upper 20s.
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snowman65
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Maybe it depends on where you live but I will take the December 2017 event over this every time.
Kingwood36
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I have a feeling we are going to have a bad tropical season now
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