February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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snowman65
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Im starting to wonder if we should postpone our trip to Irving this weekend...ugh.
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Ted
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Panic shopping coming soon to a store near you....get your chili and stew ingredients before they are gone...seriously...
Kingwood36
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Ted wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 6:51 pm Panic shopping coming soon to a store near you....get your chili and stew ingredients before they are gone...seriously...
Already started here...I went to 3 walmarts..no breed..finally found 2 loafs at heb
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tireman4
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 6:35 pm
Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 6:31 pm When do you guys think they will start watches and warnings for the area?
Saturday. Possibly Friday if models trend stronger with the potential for ice late Saturday.
I am not a pro met, but I woukd wait until late Saturday or early Sunday, if this were a Monday/Tuesday
Event. Predicting winrty weather is tough down here. Freeze warnings, I think I would wait too.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 6:47 pm How's that Thursday storm looking?
We will worry about that early next week. There's a more imminent one right now.
Team #NeverSummer
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I'm not sure how many people understand how borderline Saturday could be.....

That could go from nothing to Ice Storm warning pretty quickly....
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Cromagnum
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djmike wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 6:38 pm Also...something to ponder. We DID have an insane crazy hurricane season. Remember? We always seem to have a wild ride the following winter after a crazy hurricane season. Just say’n... lol
Tons of Gulf storms. Should means tons of Gulf snow.
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djmike
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:15 pm I'm not sure how many people understand how borderline Saturday could be.....

That could go from nothing to Ice Storm warning pretty quickly....
I was just thinking that. Many are forecasting it to start sunday and im seeing a lot that is showing Saturday and Saturday night.
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(IH-10 & College Street)
Cpv17
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:15 pm I'm not sure how many people understand how borderline Saturday could be.....

That could go from nothing to Ice Storm warning pretty quickly....
That’s exactly why I mentioned it in my earlier post. Too many people are focused on the Monday event.
bdog38
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I'm starting to notice friday thru next tuesday temps are dropping in each forecast. we might witness something never seen before. need wood.. candles.. beer.. matches...water are the essentials. No piney woods is going to stop this cold.



skidog49
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don
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:15 pm I'm not sure how many people understand how borderline Saturday could be.....

That could go from nothing to Ice Storm warning pretty quickly....
Yep i mentioned earlier that some of the short range models are trending back towards showing a icing event Saturday night into Valentines day.Earlier runs of the GFS had a pretty potent storm this weekend,but then backed off on it.But if we can get enough lift with the front on Saturday, we could get some wet bulbing bringing us down to freezing.Something to watch for sure.In fact the ICON has temps below freezing north of the 59 corridor on Saturday with precip.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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I wouldn’t mind a 3 day storm followed by another 2 day storm.
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vci_guy2003
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:36 pm I wouldn’t mind a 3 day storm followed by another 2 day storm.
I second that :D
Stormlover2020
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18z euro still blah
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Rip76
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bdog38 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:21 pm I'm starting to notice friday thru next tuesday temps are dropping in each forecast. we might witness something never seen before. need wood.. candles.. beer.. matches...water are the essentials. No piney woods is going to stop this cold.



skidog49
Brown water too.
vci_guy2003
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:50 pm 18z euro still blah
What does "blah" mean, lol
Kingwood36
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vci_guy2003 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:17 pm
Stormlover2020 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:50 pm 18z euro still blah
What does "blah" mean, lol
Still outta whack lol
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jasons2k
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Temperature dropping here and wind picking up
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Kingwood36
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Front finally pushed through here
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Katdaddy
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I have rode out these Winter weather event models for many years and its still intense as always but we are getting closer to the event. Interesting days ahead and will be wrapping up the outside faucets Friday.
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