February 2021: Arctic Outbreak/Warmup Begins

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Kingwood36
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Summer and 90s and 100% humidity will be here before you know it....how depressing 😞

Wouldn't be suprised to see it come back in the coming days tho...
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don
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Looks like the GFS and Euro may be slowly meeting in the middle.Which is typically what happens most of the time to be honest.the GFS still has the cold air and winter storm setup but it is delayed slightly and isn't as long lasting as the previous run.Like I said yesterday, i wouldn't buy into any extreme temps with this setup,even though a couple of hard freezes and a wintry mix is definitely possible.
Last edited by don on Sun Feb 07, 2021 4:47 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Kingwood36
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don wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 4:46 pm Looks like the GFS and Euro may be slowly meeting in the middle.Which is typically what happens most of the time to be honest.Like I said yesterday, i wouldn't buy into any extreme temps with this setup,even though a couple of hard freezes and a wintry mix is definitely possible.
I dont even think the wintery mix is there anymore is it?
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don
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Yes on Monday,but again not that it matters this far out lol we have to have the cold air first.
Kingwood36
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don wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 4:51 pm Yes on Monday,but again not that it matters this far out lol we have to have the cold air first.
Oh lord ...shall we say a prayer?
Stormlover2020
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Models struggle with shallow air masses coming from Canada let’s see what it shows on wed
Kingwood36
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 5:00 pm Models struggle with shallow air masses coming from Canada let’s see what it shows on wed
Highs in 80s lows in the 60s..lol
cperk
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The GFS temps still support a wintry mix on the 15th.
Kingwood36
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Gfs still on it.....
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Thundersleet
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Hi, everyone. I have been away for a long time. Our first possible-potential Arctic Outbreak for the end of this new work week/this coming weekend?
Kingwood36
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Thundersleet wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 6:04 pm Hi, everyone. I have been away for a long time. Our first possible-potential Arctic Outbreak for the end of this new work week/this coming weekend?
Well if you look at the models...half say yes half say no..hell at this point its a toss up
Kingwood36
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Lol.....
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Kingwood36
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Who knows
Last edited by Kingwood36 on Sun Feb 07, 2021 7:51 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Cpv17
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I’m to the point with the models if it’s past 3 days I’m not even gonna worry about it. Let’s get this inside 3 days with unanimous model support and then I’ll pay more attention to it. Till then I’m done with this crap.
harp
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It is very frustrating.
Kingwood36
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We all say that...but we will be right back here when the next runs come out lol its like crack..you wanna stop but sometimes you just can't lol
Stormlover2020
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Euro 18z is colder also
danmaloney
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I demand an end to this negativity and model hugging. Models are only one tool. Use wisdom. Look at the atmosphere. Look at the jet stream. Look at the high pressure cell. We need positive analysis.
Kingwood36
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 7:36 pm Euro 18z is colder also
Yup it did...1052mb High sliding south Saturday
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Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 7:43 pm
Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 7:36 pm Euro 18z is colder also
Yup it did...1052mb High sliding south Saturday
Let’s see if it’s still showing that by Wednesday for this coming Saturday. I’m sticking to my 72 hour rule here.
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