January 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
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Swing and a miss from BWY8 north loop and south looks like.
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djmike
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Andrew wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 8:09 pm
djmike wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 8:02 pm Latest balloon data from NWSLC shows above freezing still at 10,000 feet for our area which pretty much puts the nail in the coffin for us in Beaumont. We better get in on the next one.
There should be a decent gradient between Lake Charles and Southeast Texas. A lot less warm air advection in the mid/lower levels. The problem is I think we are just running out of time for precipitation.
Looking at radar, I agree. If we get 1 flake it will be at the very end . Im not staying up either. Not worth it now. Lol. Maybe better luck next time.
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AtascocitaWX
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Lucy pulls the football again for Houston....
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jasons2k
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My sister near Bedias just lost power.
Andrew
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I am not sure if this was really a bust for the Houston area. Most reliable models indicated the snow line would stay over the northern part of SE Texas and that held up pretty well. I think this was well forecasted by models, the NWS, and the media.
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Kingwood36
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I dont understand how nws is telling me I have a 40% chance of snow after 3 am? Wouldn't the orecip be gone by then?
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don
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AtascocitaWX wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 8:18 pm Lucy pulls the football again for Houston....
No not really most models mainly shown a sleet mix in the Houston area,which is verifying now.It was always a long shot of getting all snow in metro Houston.Which is why Harris county was never under a warning or advisory.
redneckweather
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Here is what my drive looked like between Madisonville and Bedias along Hwy90! Very treacherous with many vehicles that left the road and into the ditches and creeks. I had to crawl along at 12mph with my hazards on and white knuckled it all the way to Shiro where conditions got better. It was a full on blizzard. No telling how much that stretch is going to end up with. This was at 3pm.
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snowman65
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True...true...
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davidiowx
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Andrew wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 8:23 pm I am not sure if this was really a bust for the Houston area. Most reliable models indicated the snow line would stay over the northern part of SE Texas and that held up pretty well. I think this was well forecasted by models, the NWS, and the media.
Could not agree more, I mentioned this a few pages back. As much as we ar rushed to surprises down here, models and the NWS are good at what they do with the technology they have. The models and NWS nailed this
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tireman4
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Yep. Agreed. They nailed it. I think I stated about the NAM, if it verifies..
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DoctorMu
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redneckweather wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 8:28 pm Here is what my drive looked like between Madisonville and Bedias along Hwy90! Very treacherous with many vehicles that left the road and into the ditches and creeks. I had to crawl along at 12mph with my hazards on and white knuckled it all the way to Shiro where conditions got better. It was a full on blizzard. No telling how much that stretch is going to end up with. This was at 3pm.

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That's pretty much what it looked like here. A few idiots attempted to drive through the neighborhood, but they had no traction in the heavy, wet snow, graupel, sleet mix on the ground.
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DoctorMu
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Snowing in aisetta - Woodville. There's still a possibility of action towards the LA line in the next 4 hours
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jasons2k
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FWIW - this is what the NWS had forecasted. Pretty close it seems.
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djmike
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Beaumont/Orange is now in a sliver of no rain....Doubt we see anything in next few hours. It was fun with the hopes but disappointed. Maybe next time STORM maybe next time. Our little corner misses out on a lot (of the fun stuff). Lol
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suprdav2
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Nothing here in Cypress but cold rain with the occasional sleet pellet or 2.

Drove up to College Station and started seeing some flurries around Hempstead, but not much accumulation until you almost get to Navasota.

College Station looked beautiful with all of the snow!!
Cpv17
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djmike wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 9:07 pm Beaumont/Orange is now in a sliver of no rain....Doubt we see anything in next few hours. It was fun with the hopes but disappointed. Maybe next time STORM maybe next time. Our little corner misses out on a lot (of the fun stuff). Lol
Idk about you but I’m waiting for some behemoth high dropping south out of western Canada with its eyes set on Texas meeting up with a behemoth low coming out of Mexico traveling right along the coast of Texas. My dream scenario right there.
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DoctorMu
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suprdav2 wrote: Sun Jan 10, 2021 9:20 pm Nothing here in Cypress but cold rain with the occasional sleet pellet or 2.

Drove up to College Station and started seeing some flurries around Hempstead, but not much accumulation until you almost get to Navasota.

College Station looked beautiful with all of the snow!!
Finally got the Karma pay back for Christmas Eve 2004. College Station had no snow that day, and I did sacrifice a minivan to the weather gods on the road trip to Houston! :lol:
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tireman4
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I gotta say...the NAM really whiffed on this one. Gotta give the Euro and GFS their just due. I knew the NAM was not good in tropical scenarios, but my goodness.
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don
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0z Global models are already sniffing out another winter storm next weekend. :P
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