January 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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I'm pulling for you all! It's snowing big time here on the Smoky Mountains this evening. My current forecast is calling for a foot of snow before it ends tomorrow evening. Fingers crossed for my SE Texas neighbors!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Kingwood36
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I see Lucy is about to tee up the football..
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Kingwood36 wrote: Thu Jan 07, 2021 8:00 pm I see Lucy is about to tee up the football..
I wouldn’t get my hopes up south of I10. Those in the Woodlands and north and west stand a much better chance.

Lucy comes into play within 24 hours, not 72 hours. A lot changes with Winter Weather in SETX 3 days out for good and bad.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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That map looks more like it with a central Texas passing with wrap around....

I sure hope the coastal guys get in on it
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Kingwood36
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MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Thu Jan 07, 2021 9:10 pm
That map looks more like it with a central Texas passing with wrap around....

I sure hope the coastal guys get in on it
I'm taking your advice and not getting my hopes up lol
TexasBreeze
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The 18 and 12z NAM sure did look better than the 0z. Even College Station is on the edge of it.
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snowman65
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Man thats looking better for us in Orange...staying hopeful...
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:51 pm
Stormlover2020 wrote: Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:41 pm 18z gfs sucks for everyone
The temps are too warm on the GFS.
The GFS always does this. Hold the line for awhile...
GFS bites on the 18Z. Remember the 'canes.
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DoctorMu
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Katdaddy wrote: Thu Jan 07, 2021 7:15 pm LOL! Yep I get it and will never forget being on S2K Christmas Eve afternoon and hearing our friends in N and NW Houston seeing snow flurries and seeing the radar looking positive for them.......and fast forward to 9PM that night......one word.....WOW!
I drove down from College Station to Houston with the kids...and to see those mammoth flakes on 290 near 1960. By the time we got to Gessner there were 2-3 inches on the grass. Then the thermostat stuck on the van and the vehicle overheated 3 blocks from my wife's brother during a snowstorm. We walked the rest of the way in the pouring, heavy snow. :lol:

It was the first time my kids ever saw snow in person. An unforgettable Christmas Eve.
redneckweather
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After a quick look at the models this morning, I'm not seeing a single one that brings snow to any parts of Southeast Texas. Maybe a few flurries mixed with rain for places north of I-10 as the system pulls away. If I'm missing something, let me know.
Kingwood36
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redneckweather wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 7:07 am After a quick look at the models this morning, I'm not seeing a single one that brings snow to any parts of Southeast Texas. Maybe a few flurries mixed with rain for places north of I-10 as the system pulls away. If I'm missing something, let me know.
Looking that way..it was never really a guarantee it would snow here anyway. Maybe a flake or 2 on the far north counties
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Still 2 days out, remember models suck with winter weather down in this area, usually it can throw meteorologist for a loop!!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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redneckweather wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 7:07 am After a quick look at the models this morning, I'm not seeing a single one that brings snow to any parts of Southeast Texas. Maybe a few flurries mixed with rain for places north of I-10 as the system pulls away. If I'm missing something, let me know.
Euro brings snow to Montgomery, Grimes, Brazos....
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redneckweather
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The latest NAM run...let's lock it in and call it a day.🙂
20210108_085008.jpg
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snowman65
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I wonder what the forecast looked like 2 days prior to the December 2017 event?
Kingwood36
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redneckweather wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:03 am The latest NAM run...let's lock it in and call it a day.🙂

20210108_085008.jpg
I'm good with that!
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tireman4
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snowman65 wrote: Fri Jan 08, 2021 9:04 am I wonder what the forecast looked like 2 days prior to the December 2017 event?
It was losing and gaining with some runs....
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tireman4
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Remember, (This is quoting Travis Herzog last night, whom I respect) this system is still 1500 miles from us. A slight bit on the track can make huge difference. The models will waffle to and fro up until the event. The trend is your friend.
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