January 2021

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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January 2021

Post by tireman4 » Sun Dec 20, 2020 8:47 am

What could possibly be in store for this year and month?

tropiKal
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Re: January 2021

Post by tropiKal » Sat Dec 26, 2020 4:59 pm

True La Nina kicks in, and puts an end to winter as we know it.

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: January 2021

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Sat Dec 26, 2020 7:00 pm

tropiKal wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 4:59 pm
True La Nina kicks in, and puts an end to winter as we know it.
‘A true La Niña’ comes in many shapes and sizes. A number of factors determine the type of Nina we have, like the PDO, northern Rockie snow pack (Niña is good for them) and source region.... not to mention the GOA.

A true La Niña typically means one thing regarding temperatures... they are very erratic. From very cold to very warm in a matter of a week or two and back again.

Our coldest records are often seen in La Niña Winters or Cool-neutral winters.

I see nothing in the long range to suggest a typical Niña and neither does some of the better long range forecasters. We have consistent precip chances in the mid to long range and frequent cool downs and back to normal.

Cosgrove mentioned last week he sees January as an interesting one for Winter weather in Texas.

Also, Waters are looking to be warming and we should be back to ENSO neutral pretty quickly. If a Niña background State takes hold, it won’t be until Spring/Summer.... which would be horrible, but I doubt it lasts long. However, I don’t really see that happening.

My 2 cents
Team #NeverSummer

tropiKal
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Re: January 2021

Post by tropiKal » Sun Dec 27, 2020 9:29 pm

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 7:00 pm
Also, Waters are looking to be warming and we should be back to ENSO neutral pretty quickly. If a Niña background State takes hold, it won’t be until Spring/Summer.... which would be horrible, but I doubt it lasts long. However, I don’t really see that happening.
Ninas are good for summer here, since the ridge is farther north, allowing rain from the underside. 2008, 2012, 2017, etc.

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DoctorMu
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Re: January 2021

Post by DoctorMu » Wed Dec 30, 2020 11:42 am

tropiKal wrote:
Sun Dec 27, 2020 9:29 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Sat Dec 26, 2020 7:00 pm
Also, Waters are looking to be warming and we should be back to ENSO neutral pretty quickly. If a Niña background State takes hold, it won’t be until Spring/Summer.... which would be horrible, but I doubt it lasts long. However, I don’t really see that happening.
Ninas are good for summer here, since the ridge is farther north, allowing rain from the underside. 2008, 2012, 2017, etc.
I thought the death ridge didn't exist at all? Your trolling is so weak. :lol:

tropiKal
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Re: January 2021

Post by tropiKal » Wed Dec 30, 2020 2:03 pm

DoctorMu wrote:
Wed Dec 30, 2020 11:42 am
I thought the death ridge didn't exist at all?
It doesn't when you're underside, then it becomes a Life Ridge 8-)
Your trolling is so weak.
no u. :lol:

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Re: January 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Dec 31, 2020 12:52 pm

Starting to see some signs on the models of some significant cold that could be headed south in a few weeks. We’ll see.

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: January 2021

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Thu Dec 31, 2020 8:00 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Thu Dec 31, 2020 12:52 pm
Starting to see some signs on the models of some significant cold that could be headed south in a few weeks. We’ll see.
It was a matter of time given the strength of the HP cells in Siberia and the migration over to our side of the globe with the NP and AO/NAO cooperating in week 1/2 of January.

Gonna be a fun last half of January for me. Headed to Montana for some below zero weather!
Team #NeverSummer

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Re: January 2021

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Jan 01, 2021 1:36 pm

I’m already looking for the next system. Looks like maybe Wednesday.

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snowman65
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Re: January 2021

Post by snowman65 » Fri Jan 01, 2021 3:24 pm

Question...my daughter will be going to Colorado Springs from Jan 10-15. Can anyone look into their crystal ball and see what she may expect there..snow chances....etc....i know its still a ways off though...thanks!

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