January 2021

[tireman4]

What could possibly be in store for this year and month?

[tropiKal]

True La Nina kicks in, and puts an end to winter as we know it.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

True La Nina kicks in, and puts an end to winter as we know it.

‘A true La Niña’ comes in many shapes and sizes. A number of factors determine the type of Nina we have, like the PDO, northern Rockie snow pack (Niña is good for them) and source region.... not to mention the GOA.

A true La Niña typically means one thing regarding temperatures... they are very erratic. From very cold to very warm in a matter of a week or two and back again.

Our coldest records are often seen in La Niña Winters or Cool-neutral winters.

I see nothing in the long range to suggest a typical Niña and neither does some of the better long range forecasters. We have consistent precip chances in the mid to long range and frequent cool downs and back to normal.

Cosgrove mentioned last week he sees January as an interesting one for Winter weather in Texas.

Also, Waters are looking to be warming and we should be back to ENSO neutral pretty quickly. If a Niña background State takes hold, it won’t be until Spring/Summer.... which would be horrible, but I doubt it lasts long. However, I don’t really see that happening.

My 2 cents

[tropiKal]

Also, Waters are looking to be warming and we should be back to ENSO neutral pretty quickly. If a Niña background State takes hold, it won’t be until Spring/Summer.... which would be horrible, but I doubt it lasts long. However, I don’t really see that happening.

Ninas are good for summer here, since the ridge is farther north, allowing rain from the underside. 2008, 2012, 2017, etc.

[DoctorMu]

Also, Waters are looking to be warming and we should be back to ENSO neutral pretty quickly. If a Niña background State takes hold, it won’t be until Spring/Summer.... which would be horrible, but I doubt it lasts long. However, I don’t really see that happening.

Ninas are good for summer here, since the ridge is farther north, allowing rain from the underside. 2008, 2012, 2017, etc.

I thought the death ridge didn't exist at all? Your trolling is so weak.

[tropiKal]

I thought the death ridge didn't exist at all?

It doesn't when you're underside, then it becomes a Life Ridge

Your trolling is so weak.

no u.

[Cpv17]

Starting to see some signs on the models of some significant cold that could be headed south in a few weeks. We’ll see.

[MontgomeryCoWx]

Starting to see some signs on the models of some significant cold that could be headed south in a few weeks. We’ll see.

It was a matter of time given the strength of the HP cells in Siberia and the migration over to our side of the globe with the NP and AO/NAO cooperating in week 1/2 of January.

Gonna be a fun last half of January for me. Headed to Montana for some below zero weather!

[Cpv17]

I’m already looking for the next system. Looks like maybe Wednesday.

[snowman65]

Question...my daughter will be going to Colorado Springs from Jan 10-15. Can anyone look into their crystal ball and see what she may expect there..snow chances....etc....i know its still a ways off though...thanks!

[DoctorMu]

I’m already looking for the next system. Looks like maybe Wednesday.

Front on Wednesday, and about the 8-10th another front will reinforce some cooler air.

For now seasonable temps with increasing sun.

So far, this has been the most "normal" winter (presuming Dec 1 as the first day of meteorological winter) I can remember in awhile.

Happy New Year all - we've made it to 2021!

[srainhoutx]

Happy New Year gang. My our 2021 be Tropikally free...

[Belmer]

Question...my daughter will be going to Colorado Springs from Jan 10-15. Can anyone look into their crystal ball and see what she may expect there..snow chances....etc....i know its still a ways off though...thanks!

Looked at all four runs of today's GFS since it gets into that extended timeframe. GFS says nothing to worry about overall. High temperatures generally in the mid to upper 30s and lows in the 20s with a night or two possibly dipping into the teens. Best snow chance looks to be the 11th with a weak shortwave moving through;, but less than an inch is being shown as of now. However, latest GFS run (18z) is different from the previous ones with warmer temps (50s & 40s for highs and no snow). Storm track well to the north with a southwest ridge (hence the warm/drier conditions).

Euro for now says the 10th will be cold with temperatures in the 20s and single digits at night.

[snowman65]

Question...my daughter will be going to Colorado Springs from Jan 10-15. Can anyone look into their crystal ball and see what she may expect there..snow chances....etc....i know its still a ways off though...thanks!

Looked at all four runs of today's GFS since it gets into that extended timeframe. GFS says nothing to worry about overall. High temperatures generally in the mid to upper 30s and lows in the 20s with a night or two possibly dipping into the teens. Best snow chance looks to be the 11th with a weak shortwave moving through;, but less than an inch is being shown as of now. However, latest GFS run (18z) is different from the previous ones with warmer temps (50s & 40s for highs and no snow). Storm track well to the north with a southwest ridge (hence the warm/drier conditions).

Euro for now says the 10th will be cold with temperatures in the 20s and single digits at night.

Thank you!

[DoctorMu]

Mid-50s, sunny, crystal blue skies, light NW breeze. No A/C, watering, etc. It just doesn't get any better than this!

[Cpv17]

January 9th/10th has my attention.

[cperk]

January 9th/10th has my attention.

Care to elaborate.

[DavidH]

Happy New Year gang. My our 2021 be Tropikally free...

[Cpv17]

January 9th/10th has my attention.

Care to elaborate.

Could be a similar setup to what we just dealt with. Rain our way and snow out in the Hill Country. Too far out though so it’s just something to keep an eye on.

[Cpv17]

0z GFS looks very interesting!!