October 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Speaking of changes, can anyone remember the last time we had an EPAC storm's remnants get caught-up in an approaching front over Texas and just dump? When I moved here in 2005, seems like clockwork, every October such an email came from Jeff Lindner warning us to look out for heavy rains. It was like the fall season wasn't complete without at least one of those.

Thinking back now, I can't tell you the last that happened. Years maybe?
Kingwood36
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So after this cool weather disappears tomorrow..when is the next one lol
Cpv17
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cajun wrote: Fri Oct 16, 2020 10:27 am 2.25" in the rain gauge overnight - where did THAT come from? Was expecting about an inch.

Kuykendahl at FM2920.
Wow. We definitely didn’t get that much rain down here on the south side. I just got home and looked at the gauge and we got .60” but I wasn’t even expecting to get that so it’s a win for me.
tropiKal
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Houston is at the same latitude as India. Delhi is at the same latitude as Houston. India have the Himalayas and Karakoram to the north, which Texas has no high mountain range.
That's what allows India to be a climate wet dream - they have huge transverse mountain ranges, so they enjoy nice toasty winters without any worry of destructive cold, along with reliable blessed monsoon rains. It can get pretty hot during spring, but the reliability alone is equable.

In contrast, the US has no such tranverse ranges, so is at the mercy of all kinds of weather extremes at one part or another.

There's a reason why India had robust, complex ancient civilizations, while no such empires existed anywhere in America north of the Rio Grande.
tropiKal
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jasons2k wrote: Thu Oct 15, 2020 1:11 pmA lot more capping in the spring, too. It’s almost like our Climate is becoming like India’s.
That would be the effect, more or less - though there'd be a bit more cyclonic influence without a more consistent monsoon type pattern. It would be more like present day southern/southwest Mexico's.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Oct 16, 2020 10:55 am Speaking of changes, can anyone remember the last time we had an EPAC storm's remnants get caught-up in an approaching front over Texas and just dump? When I moved here in 2005, seems like clockwork, every October such an email came from Jeff Lindner warning us to look out for heavy rains. It was like the fall season wasn't complete without at least one of those.

Thinking back now, I can't tell you the last that happened. Years maybe?
In Oct 1994 we had 18 inches of rain in <18 hours. I had to kick down the fence to let water out of the backward.
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DoctorMu
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Kingwood36 wrote: Fri Oct 16, 2020 4:03 pm So after this cool weather disappears tomorrow..when is the next one lol
Yesterday was a perfect Chamber of Commerce day. The humidity is rushing back today under hazy skies. Gamma really screwed up the upper NW flow we had going. More Big Suck this week with highs near 90°F and DP around 70°F.
Cromagnum
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It can't even stay cool for 24 hours
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snowman65
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this will just be another "winter without winter"
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DoctorMu
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GFS is buying into a very strong cold front in 8-10 days that last more than 24 hours. We'll see about that.

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Cromagnum
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Oct 17, 2020 1:23 pm It can't even stay cool for 24 hours
Yep. Every year is:

Withoutnter
Early summer
Hell
Late summer
Fake fall
More summer
Repeat
redneckweather
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233346.jpeg
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jasons2k
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Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:52 am Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.

Sea breeze and Gulf moisture are cranking up early. October is supposed to be the rainiest month here as capping is low. We've had just a few tenths of an inch this month so far.
txbear
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DoctorMu wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:28 am
jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:52 am Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.

Sea breeze and Gulf moisture are cranking up early. October is supposed to be the rainiest month here as capping is low. We've had just a few tenths of an inch this month so far.
I'm just going to put it bluntly, it's atrocious and disgusting. I'm here for the rains, which if I'm not mistaken, should be driven by cool fronts and/or front overriding. Impacts to the folks in Louisiana aside (really feel for them), seems like Delta really did a number (negatively) to the NW/N flow we had going on.

I'm over it.
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DoctorMu
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txbear wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:33 am
DoctorMu wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 10:28 am
jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 9:52 am Well, on Saturday they had a 50% chance of rain penciled-in for me today.

Yesterday, I had a sinking feeling when it was lowered to 30% for today.

I woke-up to tropical downpours and it’s been raining on and off all morning, and my windows are fogged-up because it’s so muggy outside. My dew point has been steadily rising this morning too. Interesting time of the year, for sure.

Sea breeze and Gulf moisture are cranking up early. October is supposed to be the rainiest month here as capping is low. We've had just a few tenths of an inch this month so far.
I'm just going to put it bluntly, it's atrocious and disgusting. I'm here for the rains, which if I'm not mistaken, should be driven by cool fronts and/or front overriding. Impacts to the folks in Louisiana aside (really feel for them), seems like Delta really did a number (negatively) to the NW/N flow we had going on.

I'm over it.

Agreed.

There's actually a cold front stuck between Calvert and Hearne. Emphasis on stuck.
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jasons2k
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That is true. In fact, west of I-35 you can see it nudging back north on the radar loops. It looks like a see-saw.
unome
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thankful for rain we get today, however much - seems to penetrate the soil better than when we water & also cleans the roof & trees, etc - hearing rumbles of thunder & have had a bit already

https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/
https://www.harriscountyfws.org/
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Oct 19, 2020 1:28 pm That is true. In fact, west of I-35 you can see it nudging back north on the radar loops. It looks like a see-saw.
It's 15° cooler just 90 miles away in Waco. 25°F cooler heat index. Northerly breeze. So close, but so far away! :lol:
TXWeatherMan
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GFS has highs next Tuesday in the upper 30’s and low 40’s around our area. Not sure I’m buying that yet lol.
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