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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:57 pm
by jasons2k
snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:54 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:46 pm Good luck with the cleanup and am glad the golden triangle residents are safe.
it was way worse here than I expected.
At least the house didn’t blow away. I’m glad y’all are all safe.

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:10 pm
by djmike
snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:54 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:46 pm Good luck with the cleanup and am glad the golden triangle residents are safe.
it was way worse here than I expected.
Waaaay worse than expected here. No one knew that solid last hour was coming. 80 sustained. Let the cleanup begin. Now cutting trees from the roads so folks can pass. Stay safe everyone...

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:19 pm
by snowman65
djmike wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 8:10 pm
snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:54 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:46 pm Good luck with the cleanup and am glad the golden triangle residents are safe.
it was way worse here than I expected.
Waaaay worse than expected here. No one knew that solid last hour was coming. 80 sustained. Let the cleanup begin. Now cutting trees from the roads so folks can pass. Stay safe everyone...
I hope the end is near because it hasn't stopped yet. Maybe even getting stronger

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Fri Oct 09, 2020 11:09 pm
by djmike
Final. 50-70mph for 7 hrs. 80mph sustained for 32 min. Highest gust I got was 84 mph. Final rain 6.52” from Delta. Im done. Im exhausted. Generators giving me a headache but so blessed. Thank you everyone here for what you do and checking in on your neighbors here in Beaumont. Cleanup starts tomorrow. Im out. Gooooood night!

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 12:54 am
by DoctorMu
snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:54 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:46 pm Good luck with the cleanup and am glad the golden triangle residents are safe.
it was way worse here than I expected.
Yeah, it was a bad angle with a much wider eye. That eyewall was right on top of the Texas Coast angling in.

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 12:59 am
by DoctorMu
djmike wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 11:09 pm Final. 50-70mph for 7 hrs. 80mph sustained for 32 min. Highest gust I got was 84 mph. Final rain 6.52” from Delta. Im done. Im exhausted. Generators giving me a headache but so blessed. Thank you everyone here for what you do and checking in on your neighbors here in Beaumont. Cleanup starts tomorrow. Im out. Gooooood night!
Damn, that's even worse than I imagined. Sorry to here it. Thanks for checking in.

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:40 am
by BlueJay
I hope that Delta is the Omega for 2020.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 2:15 pm
by Cromagnum
I see summer is back. Hot and gross outside again.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 3:59 pm
by tropiKal
Just watch, the tropical takeover is happening. Very soon, Houston will regularly see those hot 90F winter days just like the Rio Grande Valley & tropical Mexico.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:10 pm
by Cpv17
Good chance we don’t see any rain the rest of the month of October. La Niña sucks.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:39 pm
by Cromagnum
tropiKal wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 3:59 pm Just watch, the tropical takeover is happening. Very soon, Houston will regularly see those hot 90F winter days just like the Rio Grande Valley & tropical Mexico.
No different than any other winter here. I've been in Houston 40 years and see fall, winter, and summer every cold season.

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:50 pm
by djmike
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 12:54 am
snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:54 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:46 pm Good luck with the cleanup and am glad the golden triangle residents are safe.
it was way worse here than I expected.
Yeah, it was a bad angle with a much wider eye. That eyewall was right on top of the Texas Coast angling in.
Few mets here in Beaumont are now wondering if we got the outer west side of the eye wall in Beaumont. That was 84mph sustained for 32 min is too strong and too long to have that much sustained. Bostwick posted on his FB page that in all of his 40 yrs of meteorology, he has NEVER seen that happen from a storm. I see if I can grab a snippet.
Bostwick on Delta 2020
Bostwick on Delta 2020

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 5:33 pm
by DoctorMu
djmike wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:50 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 12:54 am
snowman65 wrote: Fri Oct 09, 2020 7:54 pm

it was way worse here than I expected.
Yeah, it was a bad angle with a much wider eye. That eyewall was right on top of the Texas Coast angling in.
Few mets here in Beaumont are now wondering if we got the outer west side of the eye wall in Beaumont. That was 84 mph sustained for 32 min is too strong and too long to have that much sustained. Bostwick posted on his FB page that in all of his 40 yrs of meteorology, he has NEVER seen that happen from a storm. I see if I can grab a snippet.

EDE54DF9-BC1A-412E-92E5-BCDA21B8D6BE.jpeg
You probably did. Instead of landfalling into Cameron, LA head on at a 90° angle to the coastline, Delta had drifted to the western edge of the cone, then move northeast not quite parallel with the Texas coast before landfall at nearly the same spot.

Delta had a 30 mile wide eyewall near landfall with a 25 mile thick, meandering eyewall. and the west side of Delta was far stronger than the smaller Laura, even with shearing beginning.

That would mean Orange and Beaumont could feel the wrath of Delta as she came ashore...

After Delta came ashore the eye grew larger and the strongest eyewall that had been on the north side rotated to the west side. I had one eye on the radar and the other on Hurricane Jeff and Piotrowski feeds.

Delta held together inland to at least Jennings where damage was also more severe than expected. Almost looked like tornadic damage.

Below you can see the differences in the tracks. The size and angle of Delta's track along the Texas coast (once it migrated to the west or left side of the cone while offshore was bad news for the Golden Triangle, something I was really concerned about.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 6:43 pm
by Kingwood36
Any cool front in sight?

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:06 pm
by tropiKal
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:39 pmNo different than any other winter here. I've been in Houston 40 years and see fall, winter, and summer every cold season.
The difference is that the cold would be getting weaker. Less "rollercoastering," more constant 70-90F days throughout winter.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:07 pm
by tropiKal
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 6:43 pm Any cool front in sight?
Next Friday.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:10 pm
by TXWeatherMan
tropiKal wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 10:06 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:39 pmNo different than any other winter here. I've been in Houston 40 years and see fall, winter, and summer every cold season.
The difference is that the cold would be getting weaker. Less "rollercoastering," more constant 70-90F days throughout winter.
Hope that doesn’t happen, and I doubt it will anytime soon.

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sat Oct 10, 2020 11:55 pm
by TXWeatherMan
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 6:43 pm Any cool front in sight?
As of right now it looks like a pretty decent one this Friday. That could change though.

Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Posted: Sun Oct 11, 2020 10:41 am
by djmike
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 5:33 pm
djmike wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 4:50 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Sat Oct 10, 2020 12:54 am

Yeah, it was a bad angle with a much wider eye. That eyewall was right on top of the Texas Coast angling in.
Few mets here in Beaumont are now wondering if we got the outer west side of the eye wall in Beaumont. That was 84 mph sustained for 32 min is too strong and too long to have that much sustained. Bostwick posted on his FB page that in all of his 40 yrs of meteorology, he has NEVER seen that happen from a storm. I see if I can grab a snippet.

EDE54DF9-BC1A-412E-92E5-BCDA21B8D6BE.jpeg
You probably did. Instead of landfalling into Cameron, LA head on at a 90° angle to the coastline, Delta had drifted to the western edge of the cone, then move northeast not quite parallel with the Texas coast before landfall at nearly the same spot.

Delta had a 30 mile wide eyewall near landfall with a 25 mile thick, meandering eyewall. and the west side of Delta was far stronger than the smaller Laura, even with shearing beginning.

That would mean Orange and Beaumont could feel the wrath of Delta as she came ashore...

After Delta came ashore the eye grew larger and the strongest eyewall that had been on the north side rotated to the west side. I had one eye on the radar and the other on Hurricane Jeff and Piotrowski feeds.

Delta held together inland to at least Jennings where damage was also more severe than expected. Almost looked like tornadic damage.

Below you can see the differences in the tracks. The size and angle of Delta's track along the Texas coast (once it migrated to the west or left side of the cone while offshore was bad news for the Golden Triangle, something I was really concerned about.
Wow! Thanks! That explains it then 100%. Thank you for the explanation...Caught us all of guard. Glad its over. Now still without power and still doing cleanup but blessed we are all safe and sound. (Brought my elderly mother and aunt to my house for safety and since no one has electricity in Beaumont yet, and have a house of 15 dogs!! 12 dachshunds and 3 Pomeranians. So last few days has been adventurous to say the least. Leave no one behind in times like these.) anyway on to cooler weather and another subject soon i hope. Yall have a great day!

Re: October 2020

Posted: Sun Oct 11, 2020 6:23 pm
by davidiowx
It sure would be nice to experience some fall type weather around here. This heat and humidity is ridiculous for this time of year.