October 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
prospects8903
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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by prospects8903 » Thu Oct 08, 2020 10:14 pm

0z GFS and nam a little west

Andrew
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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Andrew » Thu Oct 08, 2020 10:21 pm

prospects8903 wrote:
Thu Oct 08, 2020 9:43 pm
What kind of impacts am I looking at in Orange, Tx
Tropical storm conditions probably. Gusts between 50-60mph I would say would be possible, but the majority of the really bad stuff should stay east.
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Ptarmigan
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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Ptarmigan » Thu Oct 08, 2020 10:25 pm

Let's hope Delta weakens.

Scott747
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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Scott747 » Fri Oct 09, 2020 1:52 am

Will wait for a vdm from recon but looks like beta took a decent jog to the nw. Might be closer to 93.8 now.

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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Andrew » Fri Oct 09, 2020 1:53 am

Scott747 wrote:
Fri Oct 09, 2020 1:52 am
Will wait for a vdm from recon but looks like beta took a decent jog to the nw. Might be closer to 93.8 now.
Yea most recent recon and radar are showing some NW movement.
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Scott747
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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Scott747 » Fri Oct 09, 2020 1:57 am

Andrew wrote:
Fri Oct 09, 2020 1:53 am
Scott747 wrote:
Fri Oct 09, 2020 1:52 am
Will wait for a vdm from recon but looks like beta took a decent jog to the nw. Might be closer to 93.8 now.
Yea most recent recon and radar are showing some NW movement.

I was waiting for recon to confirm but it's been showing up on the Brownsvill radar, and continues to do so.

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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Andrew » Fri Oct 09, 2020 2:14 am

Looking at radar, you can see two eyewalls, indicating a ERC might be going on. It would also explain some of the weakening.
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Stormlover2020
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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Stormlover2020 » Fri Oct 09, 2020 3:39 am

Still looks like it’s moving little north west but who knows

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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by Andrew » Fri Oct 09, 2020 4:00 am

Stormlover2020 wrote:
Fri Oct 09, 2020 3:39 am
Still looks like it’s moving little north west but who knows
Looks like based on radar and recon, we may finally be getting the true north heading.
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Re: October 2020: Tracking Hurricane Delta

Post by unome » Fri Oct 09, 2020 4:24 am

one of the features Chris put on the "storm page" at Tropical Atlantic was movement based on derived data from best track, it auto-calcs, so no guess-work if you have things to do & still want to follow closely

http://hurricanecity.com/models/models. ... 0&storm=26

Code: Select all

 Derived Data based on Best Track Information

  This information was automatically derived by our site for this storm from the latest best track data

6 Hour Average Movement ( About ):

Toward the N or 350° at 10.2 knots (11.7 mph | 18.9 km/h)

12 Hour Average Movement:

Toward the NNW or 344° at 9.9 knots (11.4 mph | 18.3 km/h)

24 Hour (1 Day) Average Movement:

Toward the NNW or 328° at 9.8 knots (11.3 mph | 18.1 km/h)

48 Hour (2 Day) Average Movement:

Toward the NW or 310° at 12.0 knots (13.9 mph | 22.3 km/h)

120 Hour (5 Day) Average Movement:

Toward the WNW or 300° at 10.4 knots (12.0 mph | 19.3 km/h)
Accumulated Cyclone Energy (ACE) Index: 12.8375 104 kt2   About

Highest Sustained Wind achieved so far:

120 knots (138 mph | 62 m/s | 222 km/h)
Storm Icon for Highest Development

Highest Level of Development achieved so far:

Major Hurricane
these folks are going to need all our help we can spare, breaks my heart
https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/mrms_v12 ... s_step=120

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