Delta could hug the coast before heading to Lake Charles. Delta's west side still looks robus as she leaves the Yucatan peninsula.
October 2020
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Stormlover2020
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Euro isn’t king anymore
This year it sure hasn't been, but there really isn't any model that has been "king" per se. Seeing the Euro moved a tad east, but it isn't anything substantial from what I can see from free sites and it still west of other models. It will either be right or continue its slight nudges east over the next day. I think tonight's runs will bury the hatchet on where this is likely going to go.
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Stormlover2020
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I mean looks like it’s going more west then wnw on the coast right now
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tireman4
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Levi Cowan
@TropicalTidbits
Recon observations indicate that #Delta was knocked down a bit by passing over land, as expected. Pressure is in ballpark of ~975 mb & max winds ~75-80 mph
TCs need time after land passage to "reset" thermodynamically. Only a slow restrengthening rate rest of today seems likely
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/sta ... 1598795780
@TropicalTidbits
Recon observations indicate that #Delta was knocked down a bit by passing over land, as expected. Pressure is in ballpark of ~975 mb & max winds ~75-80 mph
TCs need time after land passage to "reset" thermodynamically. Only a slow restrengthening rate rest of today seems likely
https://twitter.com/TropicalTidbits/sta ... 1598795780
I'm a little color blind - are these cloud tops as cold as I think they are?
https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off
https://www.weathernerds.org/satellite/ ... nitsst=Off
Last edited by DoctorMu on Wed Oct 07, 2020 3:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
...and maybe a jog south?Stormlover2020 wrote: ↑Wed Oct 07, 2020 2:16 pm I mean looks like it’s going more west then wnw on the coast right now
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Stormlover2020
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My eyes hurt which way is it moving
WSW Just off the Yucatan coast.
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Stormlover2020
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Satellite imagery puts heavy cloud cover over nearly the entire gulf. Its a very photogenic system. Even more so when it finally gets an eye feature.
Per recon beta looks like it's moving more wnw for now. Another plane will be out there soon.
18z ICON is slower and the trough seems not to pick it up as fast. It's still the outlier to the w.
18z ICON is slower and the trough seems not to pick it up as fast. It's still the outlier to the w.
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Stormlover2020
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Yeah nam is more west also
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Texaspirate11
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Trough will pick it up
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Stormlover2020
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Gfs tad west this run
18z gfs is a little further w with landfall late Friday night into early Saturday morning. Just to the e of where Laura hit. Golden triangle would take a pretty good hit and ts force winds could get down as far s as Galveston.
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Stormlover2020
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Scott, also looks like the last 2 runs gfs isn’t kicking out quick like it has been could that be the trough being weaker ?
Everything looks about the same except the storm is a little bigger.
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Stormlover2020
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Stormlover2020
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Hwrf 18 shifts west