October 2020

[Cromagnum]

Mother of all feeder bands from Gamma leftovers set to turbocharge this thing.

[Stormlover2020]

Cmc huge shift west

[Cromagnum]

Cmc huge shift west

Moving faster than initially predicted?

[davidiowx]

Cmc huge shift west

Wow...

[don]

One thing that I have noticed is that the models show a pretty large hurricane in the gulf.Which is different from Laura which was more average size. Delta could have a much larger windfield and core than Laura. Notice how the CMC shows a landfall in the same area that Laura hit unfortunately,but the core is almost as far west as the I-45 corridor.

[Cromagnum]

Gonna be nailbiter the next couple of days.

[don]

Im also a little concerned if Delta takes a more westward track about rainfall enhancement along the western side of the storm. Due to the trough over Texas meeting up with Deltas moisture as some of the models are showing. Storms that take the trajectory that the models show Delta taking with a trough to the west , and ridge to the east can cause storms to sometimes have more moisture on the western side of the storm than the east. You tend to see that often with east coast Hurricanes.

I'm not too concerned about Delta yet, but it definitely bears watch as Delta could be large enough to cause impacts here even without a direct hit.

[tireman4]

I am with Andrew and Don. This is what Srain would say, "raises an eyebrow". Let us see what else transpires the rest of today and into tonight.

[tireman4]

Recon data suggests there might be a little pause in #Delta's intensification rate, probably due to a still asymmetric inner core and an eye that remains cloud-filled due to light mid-level shear. This could change later today, but regardless, Delta is already extremely dangerous pic.twitter.com/lq3dd7cmdd
-- Levi Cowan (@TropicalTidbits) October 6, 2020

[sau27]

On satellite Delta has an incredibly fast spin rate (if that is a real thing) I can’t recall seeing cloud tops spin around the center that fast.

[Rip76]

I am with Andrew and Don. This is what Srain would say, "raises an eyebrow". Let us see what else transpires the rest of today and into tonight.

Where is SRain?

[tireman4]

I am with Andrew and Don. This is what Srain would say, "raises an eyebrow". Let us see what else transpires the rest of today and into tonight.

Where is SRain?

He is around. He will probably check in later today

[tireman4]

2:00 PM EDT Tue Oct 6
Location: 18.5°N 83.5°W
Moving: WNW at 16 mph
Min pressure: 956 mb
Max sustained: 140 mph

[tireman4]

2020OCT06 172018 4.0 982.4 65.0 4.0 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF -73.26 -79.07 EMBC N/A 15.0 18.51 83.32 ARCHER GOES16 23.6

For a daytime system...CDO to read like this...with cloud tops at -79 C....sheesh....gracious...

[tireman4]

Mandatory Evacuations for Grand Isle, LAMayor David Camardelle called a mandatory evacuation asking campers, recreation vehicles and boat to evacuate at 11 a.m. on Tuesday due to coastal flooding. #HurricaneDelta @WGNOtv
-- Scot Pilié (@ScotPilie_Wx) October 6, 2020

[Rip76]

2020OCT06 172018 4.0 982.4 65.0 4.0 4.4 4.4 NO LIMIT OFF OFF OFF OFF -73.26 -79.07 EMBC N/A 15.0 18.51 83.32 ARCHER GOES16 23.6

For a daytime system...CDO to read like this...with cloud tops at -79 C....sheesh....gracious...

Yeah wow

[TexasBreeze]

12z Euro getting precariously close to the same locations Laura hit now.

[srainhoutx]

I'm around gang. I see the Westward shifts which is concerning especially for our neighbors in the Golden Triangle and SW Louisiana. We need to see what shape Delta is in once it passes the Cancun/NE Yucatan. I see Josh has safely arrived in Cancun to intercept Delta as well. That sharp turn N and then NNE will make for a nail biter like Laura. Sadly that same area impacted by Laura may well experience Delta.

[Scott747]

G-IV flight is out there right now. 0z runs will begin to zero in on how far w Delta might get.

[Cromagnum]

Until it clears the Yucatan I think all bets are off as far as really nailing how far west it gets before a turn away.