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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
by weatherguy425
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:03 am
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:58 am
This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit.
That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:14 am
by unome
Galveston Ferry service suspended
https://twitter.com/GalvestonFerry/
Water levels likely a foot higher during tnight's high tide per
https://twitter.com/NHC_Surge
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:14 am
by TXWeatherMan
If the center is forming more to the NW how would that affect the track?
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:15 am
by davidiowx
Just based off of vis satellite, Beta looks to be trying to wrap up some. The curvature of the coast may be helping a bit. Will be interesting to see the progress throughout today.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am
by Kingwood36
Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am
by davidiowx
Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am
Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/f ... &length=12
You can change the band and the frames loop above the images.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:19 am
by davidiowx
Beta definitely has some dry air to deal with (no secret there) but that moist air down in the BoC is interesting. Anyone think that blob could end up helping feed Beta some additional moisture?
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:19 am
by Kingwood36
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:22 am
by Scott747
weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Yeah it can easily be deceiving.
And hopefully nobody misinterprets my posts thinking I'm saying it rapidly intensifying. I just wasn't expecting it to have so many legitimate obs this strong this morning after the recon run last night.
50-60 mph sustained winds with higher gusts is no joke. Especially if the duration is for a lengthy time which not only will cause severe beach erosion but it has the potential for a larger range of power loss.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:23 am
by srainhoutx
Looks like the upper ridge over the SE is building in over Louisiana. Interesting to see the convection building NW of the center with expansion of clouds to the West. Visible zoomed 0.5 km sure shows a wrapped up circulation with Beta. I see the first squalls are nearing Galveston Bay.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:30 am
by unome
10 AM Key Messages for
https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Beta
150333_key_messages_sm - Copy.png
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:31 am
by Rip76
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:22 am
weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Yeah it can easily be deceiving.
And hopefully nobody misinterprets my posts thinking I'm saying it rapidly intensifying. I just wasn't expecting it to have so many legitimate obs this strong this morning after the recon run last night.
50-60 mph sustained winds with higher gusts is no joke. Especially if the duration is for a lengthy time which not only will cause severe beach erosion but it has the potential for a larger range of power loss.
Is recon out there right now? If so, where can I look at these numbers?
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:35 am
by srainhoutx
Rip76 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:31 am
Scott747 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:22 am
weatherguy425 wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Yeah it can easily be deceiving.
And hopefully nobody misinterprets my posts thinking I'm saying it rapidly intensifying. I just wasn't expecting it to have so many legitimate obs this strong this morning after the recon run last night.
50-60 mph sustained winds with higher gusts is no joke. Especially if the duration is for a lengthy time which not only will cause severe beach erosion but it has the potential for a larger range of power loss.
Is recon out there right now? If so, where can I look at these numbers?
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:43 am
by txbear
That wind field looks impressive. I was surprised to see those peak winds in the recon data set given the lack of real organization yesterday. Will be interesting see how everything reacts to that, and if Beta keeps the convention up. Could we see it briefly stack before it makes it inland?
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:57 am
by Cromagnum
Maybe its my eyes but looks like track shifted closer to us and lifts out of here slower.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:00 am
by djmike
First Beta band in Beaumont. Drop more than I expected and winds gusts were pretty good too.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:02 am
by Rip76
Getting some rain here in Friendswood as well.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:04 am
by jasons2k
We just went out on a walk outside. It's clear off to the NW but I observed mid and high-level clouds racing rapidly to the northwest..quicker than I expected.
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:09 am
by Texaspirate11
Raining by the bay. Water is almost to our dock now
Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta
Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:11 am
by djmike
Cromagnum wrote: ↑Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:57 am
Maybe its my eyes but looks like track shifted closer to us and lifts out of here slower.
It did. Last track was right into Matagorda Bay. Track shifted east a tad, now north of Matagorda Bay.