September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
weatherguy425
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Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:03 am
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:58 am This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit.

That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
unome
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Galveston Ferry service suspended https://twitter.com/GalvestonFerry/

Water levels likely a foot higher during tnight's high tide per https://twitter.com/NHC_Surge
TXWeatherMan
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If the center is forming more to the NW how would that affect the track?
davidiowx
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Just based off of vis satellite, Beta looks to be trying to wrap up some. The curvature of the coast may be helping a bit. Will be interesting to see the progress throughout today.
Kingwood36
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Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?
davidiowx
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/f ... &length=12

You can change the band and the frames loop above the images.
davidiowx
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Beta definitely has some dry air to deal with (no secret there) but that moist air down in the BoC is interesting. Anyone think that blob could end up helping feed Beta some additional moisture?
Kingwood36
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davidiowx wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/f ... &length=12

You can change the band and the frames loop above the images.
Thanks!
Scott747
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weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:03 am

That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Yeah it can easily be deceiving.

And hopefully nobody misinterprets my posts thinking I'm saying it rapidly intensifying. I just wasn't expecting it to have so many legitimate obs this strong this morning after the recon run last night.

50-60 mph sustained winds with higher gusts is no joke. Especially if the duration is for a lengthy time which not only will cause severe beach erosion but it has the potential for a larger range of power loss.
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srainhoutx
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Looks like the upper ridge over the SE is building in over Louisiana. Interesting to see the convection building NW of the center with expansion of clouds to the West. Visible zoomed 0.5 km sure shows a wrapped up circulation with Beta. I see the first squalls are nearing Galveston Bay.
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unome
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10 AM Key Messages for https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/#Beta
150333_key_messages_sm - Copy.png
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Rip76
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Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:22 am
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am


That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Yeah it can easily be deceiving.

And hopefully nobody misinterprets my posts thinking I'm saying it rapidly intensifying. I just wasn't expecting it to have so many legitimate obs this strong this morning after the recon run last night.

50-60 mph sustained winds with higher gusts is no joke. Especially if the duration is for a lengthy time which not only will cause severe beach erosion but it has the potential for a larger range of power loss.
Is recon out there right now? If so, where can I look at these numbers?
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srainhoutx
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Rip76 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:31 am
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:22 am
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am

It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Yeah it can easily be deceiving.

And hopefully nobody misinterprets my posts thinking I'm saying it rapidly intensifying. I just wasn't expecting it to have so many legitimate obs this strong this morning after the recon run last night.

50-60 mph sustained winds with higher gusts is no joke. Especially if the duration is for a lengthy time which not only will cause severe beach erosion but it has the potential for a larger range of power loss.
Is recon out there right now? If so, where can I look at these numbers?
https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/recon/
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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txbear
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That wind field looks impressive. I was surprised to see those peak winds in the recon data set given the lack of real organization yesterday. Will be interesting see how everything reacts to that, and if Beta keeps the convention up. Could we see it briefly stack before it makes it inland?
Cromagnum
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Maybe its my eyes but looks like track shifted closer to us and lifts out of here slower.

Image
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djmike
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First Beta band in Beaumont. Drop more than I expected and winds gusts were pretty good too.
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Rip76
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Getting some rain here in Friendswood as well.
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jasons2k
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We just went out on a walk outside. It's clear off to the NW but I observed mid and high-level clouds racing rapidly to the northwest..quicker than I expected.
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Texaspirate11
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Raining by the bay. Water is almost to our dock now
Just because you're disabled, you don't have to be a victim
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djmike
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Cromagnum wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:57 am Maybe its my eyes but looks like track shifted closer to us and lifts out of here slower.

Image
It did. Last track was right into Matagorda Bay. Track shifted east a tad, now north of Matagorda Bay.
Last edited by djmike on Sun Sep 20, 2020 11:13 am, edited 1 time in total.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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