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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:42 am
by Cromagnum
This storm is in opposite world. It dies down during DMax and flares up during DMin

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:45 am
by Scott747
Something weird is up with the new recon obs. Readings new hurricane force gusts. Not sure if it's rain contaminated. Also the center might be a little further nw.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:55 am
by TexasBreeze
It sure does look well organised south of Lake Charles. Mid level circulation on radar there in the middle of the storm cells?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:56 am
by Kingwood36
Anyone know where I can find radar to look at beta?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:58 am
by Scott747
This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:59 am
by Stormlover2020
Scott, is the new center farther north ?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:00 am
by Rip76
I noticed on the WV loop this morning that some of that dry air looked like it was getting pushed back a bit.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:03 am
by weatherguy425
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:58 am This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:08 am
by Scott747
Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:59 am Scott, is the new center farther north ?
As of now, no indication from the recon obs. Thought there was a hint of one just to the NW.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
by Scott747
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:03 am
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:58 am This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit.

That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
by weatherguy425
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:03 am
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 9:58 am This is surprisingly a decent set of recon obs. It's far better than the entire mission last night. Definitely still a 50kt storm and they could even increase it a bit.

That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:14 am
by unome
Galveston Ferry service suspended https://twitter.com/GalvestonFerry/

Water levels likely a foot higher during tnight's high tide per https://twitter.com/NHC_Surge

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:14 am
by TXWeatherMan
If the center is forming more to the NW how would that affect the track?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:15 am
by davidiowx
Just based off of vis satellite, Beta looks to be trying to wrap up some. The curvature of the coast may be helping a bit. Will be interesting to see the progress throughout today.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am
by Kingwood36
Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am
by davidiowx
Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/f ... &length=12

You can change the band and the frames loop above the images.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:19 am
by davidiowx
Beta definitely has some dry air to deal with (no secret there) but that moist air down in the BoC is interesting. Anyone think that blob could end up helping feed Beta some additional moisture?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:19 am
by Kingwood36
davidiowx wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:16 am Anyone know where I can find visible satellite of beta?
https://www.star.nesdis.noaa.gov/GOES/f ... &length=12

You can change the band and the frames loop above the images.
Thanks!

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:22 am
by Scott747
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:13 am
Scott747 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:11 am
weatherguy425 wrote: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:03 am

That's one hell of a vortex then because there were finding similar obs well removed from it to the w.
It may be interesting to watch the evolution if convection persists.
Yeah it can easily be deceiving.

And hopefully nobody misinterprets my posts thinking I'm saying it rapidly intensifying. I just wasn't expecting it to have so many legitimate obs this strong this morning after the recon run last night.

50-60 mph sustained winds with higher gusts is no joke. Especially if the duration is for a lengthy time which not only will cause severe beach erosion but it has the potential for a larger range of power loss.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sun Sep 20, 2020 10:23 am
by srainhoutx
Looks like the upper ridge over the SE is building in over Louisiana. Interesting to see the convection building NW of the center with expansion of clouds to the West. Visible zoomed 0.5 km sure shows a wrapped up circulation with Beta. I see the first squalls are nearing Galveston Bay.