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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:02 pm
by Scott747
12z Ukie caves and gets further w with landfall just n of Matagorda Bay as a TS and moves inland some. Stalls for a day before lifting out, albeit slower.

Trough isn't as deep. Now if the Euro starts showing a weaker trough....

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:14 pm
by Rip76
And what is the Weather Channel showing? “World’s Wildest Weather.”

If this was headed toward Florida, I wonder what would be on.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:15 pm
by Cpv17
12z Euro landfall in Matagorda on Monday.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:16 pm
by Kingwood36
Wxman57 is good at what he does but other times he is wrong..i seen him say 1 thing and the storm does another...nobody is 100% correct at forecasting

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:17 pm
by biggerbyte
I mentioned last night that all this dry air over Texas, and all that shear was really going to kick this systems tail. I posted it then deleted it because I not want to cause a ruckus. LOL We will see.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:22 pm
by Cpv17
Wow, exactly what Scott hinted at. The Euro is near San Antonio on Tuesday. That would definitely put us on the dirty side and you’d think it would be pulling in a lot of moisture from the Gulf?

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:23 pm
by Stormlover2020
Euro has been west bias all year

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:24 pm
by Cpv17
Stormlover2020 wrote: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:23 pm Euro has been west bias all year
It’s not just the Euro that shows this. HWRF shows it too. And we’d probably get a lot more rain with that track.

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:26 pm
by srainhoutx
European QPF through hour 78

Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Posted: Sat Sep 19, 2020 1:26 pm
by TexasBreeze
The Euro pattern would be a game changer dragging in a moist southeast flow...
Well inland then goes ne after visiting San Antonio.