September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cpv17
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TXWeatherMan wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2020 2:24 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2020 1:47 pm 99L continues to organize this afternoon in the Eastern Caribbean Sea.
No chance this gets in the gulf right?
I’m hearing that maybe it gets into the BOC and goes into Mexico.
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Ptarmigan
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2020 9:57 am Number of recorded storms affecting Texas
Month Number of storms
June
8
July
7
August
19
September
25
October
13
November
2
Texas Hurricane History
https://www.weather.gov/media/lch/event ... istory.pdf

The November 1839 Hurricane was probably a small hurricane, like Jerry in 1989.

It is possible tropical systems have hit Texas in April and May.
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Ptarmigan
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2020 4:11 pm
TXWeatherMan wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2020 2:24 pm
srainhoutx wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2020 1:47 pm 99L continues to organize this afternoon in the Eastern Caribbean Sea.
No chance this gets in the gulf right?
I’m hearing that maybe it gets into the BOC and goes into Mexico.
Too early to say at this point.
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jasons2k
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This was from this afternoon's AFD from the Houston-Galveston NWS Office:
In regards to the tropics: a tropical wave near the Windwards
should continue moving west the next several days. NHC gives this
system a good chance of developing into a depression in the next
day or two. Majority of the medium range solutions take the
"center" toward Central America and Mexico, though a wave axis
along its northern periphery may emerge off the Yucatan and into
the Bay of Campeche late in the week...and toward the Mexico`s
east coast this weekend. Upper ridging situated across the
northern Gulf Coast states should theoretically keep things to our
south, and of note, few models show much if any organization. That
said...we are heading toward peak season (and it is 2020 after all)
so it`s always worth keeping an eye on things regardless.
redneckweather
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Sun Aug 30, 2020 10:42 am Like I said ike and rita says different.
Yea, both hit the 2nd and 3rd week in September. Our days are numbered as the threats for us getting hit by a big storm dwindle significantly after mid Septmeber.
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Texaspirate11
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HGX NWS:
Some of the
extended guidance is showing signs of a September cold front for
the middle of next week.

45
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Stormlover2020
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I don’t believe it just yet
AtascocitaWX
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Texaspirate11 wrote: Mon Aug 31, 2020 7:55 am HGX NWS:
Some of the
extended guidance is showing signs of a September cold front for
the middle of next week.

45
Oh Wow..... That would be nice.
javakah
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HGX NWS:
Hey Charlie Brown, why don't you kick this football while I hold it?
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jasons2k
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The run the last two mornings has been oppressive. I made it for about 2.5 miles and had to quit. Just too hot. I guess this is payback for that string of nice mornings about a week+ ago. At least we got that rain the other day (1.86" here). Maybe some more folks will get lucky today.

I'm ready for that first cold front.
mcheer23
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:34 am The run the last two mornings has been oppressive. I made it for about 2.5 miles and had to quit. Just too hot. I guess this is payback for that string of nice mornings about a week+ ago. At least we got that rain the other day (1.86" here). Maybe some more folks will get lucky today.

I'm ready for that first cold front.
You don't have much longer to wait for that front... :D
redneckweather
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Stormlover2020 wrote: Mon Aug 31, 2020 8:19 am I don’t believe it just yet
I'm just speaking form a climo point of view. Anything can happen of course.
redneckweather
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jasons2k wrote: Mon Aug 31, 2020 10:34 am The run the last two mornings has been oppressive. I made it for about 2.5 miles and had to quit. Just too hot. I guess this is payback for that string of nice mornings about a week+ ago. At least we got that rain the other day (1.86" here). Maybe some more folks will get lucky today.

I'm ready for that first cold front.
I run 2.5 miles in the middle of the day and it's a struggle...I'm right there with you. Come on cold fronts!
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tireman4
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Yep. This is killing runs ..
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srainhoutx
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That's an impressive trough and cool down in the medium/long range for Texas. Fingers crossed it's real!!
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Ptarmigan
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Let's hope so.
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Texaspirate11
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srainhoutx wrote: Mon Aug 31, 2020 3:50 pm That's an impressive trough and cool down in the medium/long range for Texas. Fingers crossed it's real!!
I'd love to say good riddance to hurricane season for Texas -
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GBinGrimes
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srainhoutx wrote: Mon Aug 31, 2020 3:50 pm That's an impressive trough and cool down in the medium/long range for Texas. Fingers crossed it's real!!
Seen that so many times the past few years and it never happens. Gonna be good for you though Steve in the Carolinas.

Fingers crossed though!
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tireman4
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Once I hear Steve say stepping down, I am in!
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MontgomeryCoWx
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srainhoutx wrote: Mon Aug 31, 2020 3:50 pm That's an impressive trough and cool down in the medium/long range for Texas. Fingers crossed it's real!!
Absolutely beautiful map. A tingle ran down my leg!

Welcome FALL 2020!
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