September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
sau27
Posts: 415
Joined: Sat Apr 24, 2010 12:04 am
Location: Bellaire
Contact:

Full sun here in museum district.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

TexasBreeze wrote: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:35 pm That is some of the heavier core rains along I-10. The actual center is by Matagorda Bay moving east along the coast.
Oops sorry i meant to say the core instead of the center lol.
TexasBreeze
Posts: 942
Joined: Sun Sep 26, 2010 4:46 pm
Location: NW Houston, TX
Contact:

That spotty sun is destabilizing things showing more oranges and reds on the west side.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Looking like a new line organizing along the 290 Corridor according to radar.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

sau27 wrote: Tue Sep 22, 2020 3:38 pm Full sun here in museum district.
That's not good as the heat will escape back into the atmosphere tonight, and could allow more fuel and instability for Beta to work with tonight.
sau27
Posts: 415
Joined: Sat Apr 24, 2010 12:04 am
Location: Bellaire
Contact:

Looks like at least a portion of the LLC has made its way back over the water by Matagorda.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Rainfall totals so far from abc13
Attachments
119968931_3380612898682392_5667211060752757411_o.jpg
gregco31
Posts: 20
Joined: Mon Feb 08, 2010 2:21 pm
Contact:

It is soupy and gross up here in Atascocita. That seems a little concerning as it moves further east and the atmosphere feels so charged right now.
davidiowx
Posts: 1062
Joined: Thu Jan 23, 2014 2:39 pm
Location: Richmond, TX
Contact:

So I was just looking at the weather channel radar app future radar and sheesh, it blows up tonight. Does anyone know what model that app used for future cast?
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
459 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020


.SHORT TERM [Tonight through Wednesday Night]...

Tropical Depression Beta, currently over southwestern portions of
the CWA, has produced some very healthy rounds of heavy rain over
portions of SE TX overnight/early this morning. There have been a
lot of reports of flooded roadways, overtopping of bayous/creeks,
and water rescues through early this afternoon. We did have a bit
of a break this afternoon, but there is concern that this heating
(albeit short) will help to fuel another round of heavy rains for
this late afternoon through tonight. Near-term models (especially
HRRR/NAM) have verified rather well of late, and if going forward
with this line of thinking, we could see another band of rains de-
velop close to where the earlier one set up this morning.

Rainfall totals so far today have averaged from 5 to 10 inches with
isolated amounts up to 15 inches. Unfortunately, we are still going
with these same numbers for this evening. And so depending on where
these bands set up...we could see an *additional* 5 to 10 inches of
rain with isolated amounts up to 15 inches possible tonight. Bayous
and drainage systems are expected to be quickly overwhelmed if this
forecast verifies. Please exercise extreme caution if traveling out
on the roadways tonight and tomorrow morning. As Beta moves further
east tomorrow, rain chances will be slowly decreasing from the west
to east.
Texashawk
Posts: 170
Joined: Wed Feb 02, 2011 1:29 pm
Contact:

I’m just not seeing it. Seems like rain bands just can’t get going over the Gulf west of Chambers County. Are they expecting the bands to form later?
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Yes, as Beta's center moves closer more bands are expected to develop. And there's already a feeder band forming over the city.
Cromagnum
Posts: 2592
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

That TWC future cast looks pretty bad if it happens.

https://weather.com/weather/radar/inter ... .78,-95.38
User avatar
jasons2k
Posts: 5360
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 12:54 pm
Location: Imperial Oaks
Contact:

Beta seems to be on the move now to the ENE. Almost due East.
davidiowx
Posts: 1062
Joined: Thu Jan 23, 2014 2:39 pm
Location: Richmond, TX
Contact:

That band along 290 is dumping some heavy rain right now. Flooding on side streets/feeder roads will begin shortly if not already happening.
User avatar
don
Posts: 2575
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 3:33 pm
Location: Heights
Contact:

Yeah im in the feeder band here in the Heights and the rainfall rates are very high right now.My street is starting to flood.
User avatar
srainhoutx
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 19611
Joined: Tue Feb 02, 2010 2:32 pm
Location: Maggie Valley, NC
Contact:

Folks need to keep a keen eye on the the developments this evening.
Attachments
EijjOr7VgAIS0yI.jpeg
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
Facebook.com/Weather Infinity
Twitter @WeatherInfinity
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

don wrote: Tue Sep 22, 2020 5:43 pm Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
459 PM CDT Tue Sep 22 2020


.SHORT TERM [Tonight through Wednesday Night]...

Tropical Depression Beta, currently over southwestern portions of
the CWA, has produced some very healthy rounds of heavy rain over
portions of SE TX overnight/early this morning. There have been a
lot of reports of flooded roadways, overtopping of bayous/creeks,
and water rescues through early this afternoon. We did have a bit
of a break this afternoon, but there is concern that this heating
(albeit short) will help to fuel another round of heavy rains for
this late afternoon through tonight. Near-term models (especially
HRRR/NAM) have verified rather well of late, and if going forward
with this line of thinking, we could see another band of rains de-
velop close to where the earlier one set up this morning.

Rainfall totals so far today have averaged from 5 to 10 inches with
isolated amounts up to 15 inches. Unfortunately, we are still going
with these same numbers for this evening. And so depending on where
these bands set up...we could see an *additional* 5 to 10 inches of
rain with isolated amounts up to 15 inches possible tonight. Bayous
and drainage systems are expected to be quickly overwhelmed if this
forecast verifies. Please exercise extreme caution if traveling out
on the roadways tonight and tomorrow morning. As Beta moves further
east tomorrow, rain chances will be slowly decreasing from the west
to east.
It's gone as original expected. Isolated very heavy rain.

It's been raining all day here. Going to check on the gauge...

...and I see some brown patch already, despite putting fungicide down last week. Can we ever get a break? Can't even enjoy a single day of the transition from watering season to brown patch season!
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

srainhoutx wrote: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:41 pm Folks need to keep a keen eye on the the developments this evening.
Ruh Roh.

The CoC has moved maybe 15 miles NE. Looks like the early Euro rainfall prediction is coming to fruition.
User avatar
DoctorMu
Posts: 5648
Joined: Sun Jun 28, 2015 11:58 am
Location: College Station
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:28 pm That TWC future cast looks pretty bad if it happens.

https://weather.com/weather/radar/inter ... .78,-95.38
Did they run out of Ice Trucker reruns?
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot] and 65 guests