September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Katdaddy
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Just got a burst of very heavy rain in W League City. This is the NE edge of the training feederband that has been hammering Brazoria County
Scott747
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djmike wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 12:51 pm
Scott747 wrote: Mon Sep 21, 2020 12:45 pm Almost all models are coming into agreement with the GFS and a stall just inland or drifting back offshore before slowly lifting out either Wednesday or Thursday.
Drifting back out, will that be a game changer or not do much if anything?
Too many variables with such a complicated setup....

It could easily washout, or it could maintain an identity with continuing rotating bands into parts of the middle and upper Texas coast until Wednesday or Thursday.
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Katdaddy
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1252 PM CDT Mon Sep 21 2020

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Galveston County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 130 PM CDT.

* At 1251 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a
tornado was located 8 miles southeast of Port Bolivar, or 8 miles
east of Galveston Pier 21, moving west at 25 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Port Bolivar and Pelican Island around 115 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
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Rip76
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Very nice band setting up over Friendswood.

It also appears to be moving North on radar
Waded
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I've seen worse looking storms. Pretty.

Image
Last edited by Waded on Mon Sep 21, 2020 1:25 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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don
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Strong feeder band moving into metro Houston. As expected the heaviest precipitation is displaced to the north of the center.
Scott747
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12z Euro joins in...

Barely gets onshore before drifting back offshore and moving slowly up the coast as a depression towards sw la by Thursday.
Scott747
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Movement still looks like a slow drift towards Aransas/Matagorda Bay. Hard to tell, especially without recon. Last mission had com issues. Should be another mission this afternoon.
Cromagnum
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Little engine that could. It's making a pretty good fuss despite all it had to fight against.
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djmike
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Intensity models starting to keep TS winds through hour 72 (if it goes back over water up the coast) like some models are now suggesting.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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