September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Cromagnum
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by Cromagnum » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:30 am

Ounce wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:22 am
txsnowmaker wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 10:53 am
snowman65 wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 10:07 am


They only called for 5" for Imelda for us...we got 30"+....so..yeah, it's likely...
Folks really need to be careful with comparisons to catastrophes like Harvey. Harvey wreaked tremendous destruction to both livelihoods and lives. If this forum becomes little more than a place for hyperbolic prognostications it will do no one any good, including those who are still scarred from storms like Harvey and Imelda. People need to take a cue from our local tv mets and relay perspectives and information in a thoughtful, calm, and measured manner.
Well said.
Harvey was a category 4 when landed at Rockport. Soooo much of a stretch to claim this is a Harvey.
Wind speed does not always correlate with rain. Look at Ismelda and Allison.

biggerbyte
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by biggerbyte » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:42 am

I was going to say the same thing. Catagory of a tropical system does not have to suggest anything other than wind speed. Rainfall from even just low pressure or a depression can be tremendous if it sits and does not move out. Dry air surrounding these systems effects rainfall more than anything.

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snowman65
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by snowman65 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:46 am

I believe today is the 1 year anniversary of Imelda.

biggerbyte
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by biggerbyte » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:46 am

I also have to agree that giving the public the heads up on the potential for flooding if this system is progged to hang around. Being wrong is safer than being uninformed.

Cpv17
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:47 am

biggerbyte wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:42 am
I was going to say the same thing. Catagory of a tropical system does not have to suggest anything other than wind speed. Rainfall from even just low pressure or a depression can be tremendous if it sits and does not move out. Dry air surrounding these systems effects rainfall more than anything.
Supposedly I’m hearing dry air could eat this system up as it nears Texas.

Stormlover2020
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by Stormlover2020 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:54 am

It could but you listen to the storm 2 k people way much

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Rip76
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by Rip76 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:56 am

Stormlover2020 wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:54 am
It could but you listen to the storm 2 k people way much
It was ‘57 that said that.
I could totally see it as well.

Cpv17
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:58 am

Rip76 wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:56 am
Stormlover2020 wrote:
Sat Sep 19, 2020 11:54 am
It could but you listen to the storm 2 k people way much
It was ‘57 that said that.
I could totally see it as well.
Yeah that’s who I heard it from too.

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snowman65
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by snowman65 » Sat Sep 19, 2020 12:00 pm

what happens when they run out of Greek names?

Cromagnum
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Re: September 2020: Tracking TS Beta

Post by Cromagnum » Sat Sep 19, 2020 12:01 pm

I'm good with 5-10 inches of rain spread over a week. Lots of areas badly need it.

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