September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Scott747
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By Tuesday Euro is near Port A as a weak to moderate ts moving slowly n. Ridging is a tad stronger this run.
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sambucol
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The data from the recon tonight will clarify more regarding track and areas that will receive the rainfall. The models might change.
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don
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12z EURO shows a setup for very heavy rainfall amounts in Southeast Texas as the storm sits basically stationary around Matagorda Bay.And slowly rides the coast similar to the GFS.
Scott747
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By Wednesday it's a little inland over brazoria county and lifting me.
Scott747
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Euro has ever so slightly moved towards what the GFS is depicting. Even the Ukie did as well though not as much.
davidiowx
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This Euro run looks like a huge rainmaker all along the TX coast. We def need rain but I don't want a foot of it in a few days..
Cpv17
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Something I’ve noticed on the Euro is that it seems to be trending a lil more west with each passing run. Y’all seeing this too?
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djmike
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Port A? Port Aransas or Port Arthur?
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Stormlover2020
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Euro has been little west biased about 30-50 miles al year
Scott747
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:44 pm Something I’ve noticed on the Euro is that it seems to be trending a lil more west with each passing run. Y’all seeing this too?
As I mentioned the Euro is swinging around to what the GFS is showing. Stronger ridging and delayed interaction with the trough.
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Rip76
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djmike wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:45 pm Port A? Port Aransas or Port Arthur?
Aransas, I believe.
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djmike
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Rip76 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:49 pm
djmike wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:45 pm Port A? Port Aransas or Port Arthur?
Aransas, I believe.
Thank you
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Kingwood36
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:44 pm Something I’ve noticed on the Euro is that it seems to be trending a lil more west with each passing run. Y’all seeing this too?
Yup I've noticed it as well
Scott747
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I'd guess with the 4 pm update there will be a subtle shift w towards the lower Texas coast with intensity remaining the same.
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snowman65
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If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
cperk
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snowman65 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
I hope your insurance agent is not a forum member. :)
Kingwood36
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cperk wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:05 pm
snowman65 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
I hope your insurance agent is not a forum member. :)
I hear Colorado is nice this time of yr lol
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tireman4
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cperk wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 2:05 pm
snowman65 wrote: Fri Sep 18, 2020 1:56 pm If we flood again I will literally set my house on fire and never come back.
I hope your insurance agent is not a forum member. :)
Jake, from State Farm?
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jasons2k
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If these small west shifts continue, we could see our rainfall totals go up significantly. Something to watch.
Kingwood36
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I guess Dr Jim's forecast of going east and not affecting texas didnt pan out
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