September 2020:

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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unome
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Rip76
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Cromagnum wrote: Sat Sep 05, 2020 5:56 pm And everything is off to the north again...
Yep, total junk.
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srainhoutx
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We had a cold front overnight in the Smokey Mountains. I'm sitting on the front porch enjoying 64F at 7:30 PM. Just an early taste of what SE Texas will experience Thursday into next weekend.
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Rip76
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Some rain creepin’ slowly southward
davidiowx
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Nice T’storms down here in Richmond area. Can’t complain one bit. Can’t wait until next Wed-Fri though!
Cromagnum
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Right on cue, all the good stuff dies as it gets near hwy 6.

And then reforms...south of me.
redneckweather
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Looks like another front rolling down on the 19th to keep the fall weather going.
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tireman4
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As Dan Meador stated, It takes one to get it started
Cpv17
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I’m no longer seeing any really cool readings behind this front. Looks like the models have trended to keeping the trough out west. We still could see low to mid 60’s for lows though. Looks like a decent chance of rain come mid week.
mcheer23
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 10:12 am I’m no longer seeing any really cool readings behind this front. Looks like the models have trended to keeping the trough out west. We still could see low to mid 60’s for lows though. Looks like a decent chance of rain come mid week.
Yup GFS and EURO backing off a bit...
Cpv17
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mcheer23 wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 11:15 am
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 10:12 am I’m no longer seeing any really cool readings behind this front. Looks like the models have trended to keeping the trough out west. We still could see low to mid 60’s for lows though. Looks like a decent chance of rain come mid week.
Yup GFS and EURO backing off a bit...
The latest 12z GFS significantly backed off the cold front but it looks much wetter. Fine with me.
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TxLady
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"IF" the front were to make it through; would that early passage signal an end to the dreaded last couple of weeks in September, as far as Hurricane probabilities for South East Texas?
Cromagnum
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TxLady wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 12:30 pm "IF" the front were to make it through; would that early passage signal an end to the dreaded last couple of weeks in September, as far as Hurricane probabilities for South East Texas?
Only if they keep coming down.
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Rip76
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TxLady wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 12:30 pm "IF" the front were to make it through; would that early passage signal an end to the dreaded last couple of weeks in September, as far as Hurricane probabilities for South East Texas?
It would certainly help.
Unless we had a close homebrew spin up.
Cpv17
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Well I hope the GFS pans out. It has some decent rains here. The Euro not so much.
Cromagnum
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So close I can see and smell the rain. It better do something at my house for once.

Edit: Nope. The left cell blew up and the one south of me disintegrated. High and dry for the hundredth time. So damned frustrating. :x

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DoctorMu
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mcheer23 wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 11:15 am
Cpv17 wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 10:12 am I’m no longer seeing any really cool readings behind this front. Looks like the models have trended to keeping the trough out west. We still could see low to mid 60’s for lows though. Looks like a decent chance of rain come mid week.
Yup GFS and EURO backing off a bit...
Lucy and the fotballed yet again. No dry air and lows in the 50s...Curse you, Red Baron!
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snowman65
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so close...
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Kingwood36
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60s for lows are better then 80s anyday...
Cpv17
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Kingwood36 wrote: Sun Sep 06, 2020 3:59 pm 60s for lows are better then 80s anyday...
Might not even be in the 60’s with the way the trends are going. In fact, the front may not even make it here.
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