August 2020:

[srainhoutx]

My first call for landfall is High Island. Hopefully by tomorrow morning we will have a clear picture of the track

[DoctorMu]

GOES-16 view - nice eyewall formation:

[MontgomeryCoWx]

My prediction is Crystal Beach

[srainhoutx]

GOES-16 view:

I'm feeling the impact of Marco's moisture here in the Smokey's. Mountains are wringing out the tropical moisture very efficiently this afternoon.

[don]

My prediction has been Chambers county also.

[christinac2016]

I'm only a novice and weather enthusiast; so can someone explain to me about the ridge? The way I'm looking at the graphic of the eye wall it looks like it could go directly to MS or border of MS/LA.

But I do enjoy reading about these weather events and am impressed with what y'all know.

[txbear]

FWIW, High Island has been in the true middle of the models and Ensembles since Sunday...

Ensembles, man...

(It's the) NAM coming in dang near over Galveston Bay. 12z Texas Tech WRF ensemble finally got updated through the landfall forecast hour with landfall in Galveston and maybe a touch further south. Really feeling for those folks in the bullseye (wherever that may end up actually being).

[jasons2k]

I’m sticking to my guns and calling Surfside to San Luis Pass. That’s where I landed with my hours-long Sunday morning analysis and I’m staying with it. I fully realize there needs to be another adjustment overnight for that to be plausible. I factored-in another shift tonight in my original analysis so I see no need to back off that just yet.

[Andrew]

The more NW movement that we have been seeing is good news for us. A lot of the models had the storm continuing at a west or WNW movement for much of today. I expect more "stair-climbing" but the trend has been favorable for us. I think between tx-124 and the border is looking most likely at this point for landfall

[unome]

Matt is a great Met tasked with servicing millions of people. Some luxuries aren’t afforded. Calls have to be made, despite ongoing risk. It isn’t easy for them or any other Met.

Thank you for this - they have a huge following, are highly credentialed & provide a valuable service

[AtascocitaWX]

The more NW movement that we have been seeing is good news for us. A lot of the models had the storm continuing at a west or WNW movement for much of today. I expect more "stair-climbing" but the trend has been favorable for us. I think between tx-124 and the border is looking most likely at this point for landfall

Still looks like a WNW movement on the visible.

[Scott747]

New track is just to the e the golden triangle.

[AtascocitaWX]

Wxman 57 says he has landfall at High Island.

[Kingwood36]

New track is just to the e the golden triangle.

Blake from khou said no change in the track?

[Kingwood36]

What effects would freeport feel from this?

[Andrew]

The more NW movement that we have been seeing is good news for us. A lot of the models had the storm continuing at a west or WNW movement for much of today. I expect more "stair-climbing" but the trend has been favorable for us. I think between tx-124 and the border is looking most likely at this point for landfall

Still looks like a WNW movement on the visible.

A WNW movement may have continued but the overall trend definitely gained more latitude than what a lot of the westerly favoring models were showing. Even the ECMWF was showing some west trends for today that never happened.

[srainhoutx]

Jack Bevin at the forecast desk. One of the last "old timers" since Lex retired.

[tireman4]

My guess, since Sunday, has been Galveston. I am thinking she goes right up 45. I am so probably wrong.

[weatherguy425]

Levi addresses current movement in the video, too (7:20ish) -

https://youtu.be/lCYk20429Ks

[unome]

FWIW: Matt is a Met but Eric is not.

Correct.

"Certified Meteorologist" https://spacecityweather.com/about-space-city-weather/