June 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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tireman4
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June 2020

Post by tireman4 » Wed May 27, 2020 8:24 pm

June. Here we are

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djmike
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Re: June 2020

Post by djmike » Thu May 28, 2020 3:57 pm

Let the looooong nights begin and the nail biting model watching commence....
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Re: June 2020

Post by Cpv17 » Thu May 28, 2020 4:46 pm

djmike wrote:
Thu May 28, 2020 3:57 pm
Let the looooong nights begin and the nail biting model watching commence....
Haha you hit the nail on the head right there!!

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srainhoutx
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Re: June 2020

Post by srainhoutx » Sat May 30, 2020 7:21 pm

The NHC has issued a 20% chance of tropical development in the Bay of Campeche for day 5.
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Re: June 2020

Post by Scott747 » Sun May 31, 2020 7:02 am

Things are moving along fairly quickly. NHC has highlighted the area in the BoC where the remnants of Amanda may slowly redevelop during the beginning of the week.

Operational models are weak bit the
ensembles have some strong signals.

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Re: June 2020

Post by srainhoutx » Sun May 31, 2020 7:43 am

The NHC has raised the chances for tropical development to 40% the next 2 days and 50% over the next 5 days in the Bay of Campeche. The Western Gulf is beginning to look rather unsettled.
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Re: June 2020

Post by vci_guy2003 » Sun May 31, 2020 8:08 am

So it looks to curl back toward Mexico and stay way down south.

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Re: June 2020

Post by srainhoutx » Sun May 31, 2020 8:26 am

vci_guy2003 wrote:
Sun May 31, 2020 8:08 am
So it looks to curl back toward Mexico and stay way down south.
The morning Weather Prediction Center surface chart for day 7 suggests a weak surface low may be entering the NW Gulf. There is a lot of uncertainty regarding the potential track or strength of the area of disturbed weather associated with the Central America Monsoonal Gyre. Right now we monitor, but I suspect the real immediate issue will be the possibility of heavy rainfall somewhere along the Texas and Louisiana Coast.
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Re: June 2020

Post by Cpv17 » Sun May 31, 2020 10:52 am

12z GFS has a landfall near San Luis Pass as a 993 mb storm. Probably a strong tropical storm. From there it moves straight north pretty slowly.

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Re: June 2020

Post by tireman4 » Sun May 31, 2020 1:29 pm

As I stated before, things are everchanging. Stay weather aware

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