Hurricane season 2020 opinions

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Cpv17
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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by Cpv17 » Wed May 27, 2020 4:01 pm

Many ensemble members of the Euro are showing formation in the BOC, same members are pretty strong.

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srainhoutx
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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by srainhoutx » Thu May 28, 2020 7:36 am

The models are suggesting a robust Central America Monsoonal Gyre develops early next week with multiple low centers rotating within the gyre in the EPAC, Western/NW Caribbean and the Bay of Campeche. The various computer schemes will struggle to identify which of those low centers could become more dominate. Typically these monsoonal gyre systems are loose, sloppy and big rain makers.

As of today it's worth monitoring and as Hurricane Season 2020 begins officially June 1st, all eyes turn toward the Gulf and the Tropics.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Pas_Bon
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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by Pas_Bon » Thu May 28, 2020 2:37 pm

My opinion on hurricane season is that we will have a hurricane season this year. I don’t see it being cancelled or delayed by COVID-19

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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by Scott747 » Fri May 29, 2020 1:15 am

This is becoming slightly more interesting. Euro, Canadian and GFS are in reasonable agreement even if it's in the long range.

It's also sped up the potential for development instead of being in total fantasy land.

Need a few more runs but something to keep an eye on.

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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by Pas_Bon » Fri May 29, 2020 7:05 am

Has anyone seen the satellite loop from the BOC this morning?

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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by Scott747 » Sat May 30, 2020 6:27 am

The ensembles for both the GFS and Euro are fairly active for something in the Western Gulf next weekend.

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snowman65
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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by snowman65 » Sat May 30, 2020 9:37 pm

a ways out but got us in the bullseye...again....already....can't wait to move.
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srainhoutx
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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 04, 2020 11:03 am

Phil Klotzbach and his CSU team increase their 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook this morning to 19 named storms, 9 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes. These numbers include the first 3 named storms that have already occurred.
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unome
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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by unome » Thu Jun 04, 2020 2:57 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Jun 04, 2020 11:03 am
Phil Klotzbach and his CSU team increase their 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook this morning to 19 named storms, 9 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes. These numbers include the first 3 named storms that have already occurred.
what was it before, I don't remember ? How much of an increase ?

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Re: Hurricane season 2020 opinions

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Jun 04, 2020 3:31 pm

unome wrote:
Thu Jun 04, 2020 2:57 pm
srainhoutx wrote:
Thu Jun 04, 2020 11:03 am
Phil Klotzbach and his CSU team increase their 2020 North Atlantic Hurricane Outlook this morning to 19 named storms, 9 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes. These numbers include the first 3 named storms that have already occurred.
what was it before, I don't remember ? How much of an increase ?
Their previous forecast was 16 named storms, 8 Hurricanes and 4 Major Hurricanes.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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