MAY 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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DoctorMu wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 4:12 pm
jasons2k wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 3:50 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 3:18 pm
We dodge a bullet. I rushed to put the van in the garage.
Glad you are OK. That looked pretty nasty.

Rain steadily picking-up here.
We had swirling winds 40 mph, gusting to over 50 mph. Just a bit of outdoor furniture tossing. 0.85 inches out of it. Could have been more, but good enough.

Round 2 is possible tonight. Keep an eye out for cells approaching Killeen.
I had about the same here. The rain is just now starting to wind-down a bit so the verdict is still out on the total (.53" so far).

The winds were probably the longest period of 40-50 mph winds/gusts I've seen since Hurricane Ike. The lone exception may have been that overnight MCS that came through either last year or year before (it's a blur now) along I-10 that just endlessly dumped flooding rains as the inflow kept feeding it. I think the winds were more sustained and longer in this one though.
Waded
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djmike wrote: Tue May 26, 2020 12:31 pm So is that it? Last week and weekend qpf and many BPT mets made it seem like it was gonna be a possible flooding event. We got maybe two moderate rain showers and that was it. Looks like nothing forecasted really but maybe a 30-40% pop up showers remaining of the week. I was expecting washouts all Sun-Tues. NWS at one point showed 70% for Tues wed and thurs...oh well, blessed to have gotten some rain.
This was the last post I read on this forum yesterday. I remember checking HGX and seeing a typical 30% chance of rain summer-esque pattern. Then 5 minutes ago in the Clear Lake Area I heard an explosion that took me a second to realize was thunder. Then I checked HGX again and saw hell and high water was rolling into town.

Big rain event forecasted and busts. Big rain event forecasted and busts. Typical summer pattern forecasted and Hell's Fury decides to visit. It's a bit exhausting at times.
Cromagnum
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txbear wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 4:19 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 4:16 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 4:13 pm Paint Rock is getting hammered right now.
That's the cell to watch for tonight if it holds together.
And now everyone knows where Paint Rock, America is!

I know! I was there this weekend.
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Katdaddy
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Severe Thunderstorm Warning
TXC015-039-071-157-167-201-291-339-473-481-272230-
/O.NEW.KHGX.SV.W.0092.200527T2128Z-200527T2230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
Severe Thunderstorm Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
428 PM CDT Wed May 27 2020

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Severe Thunderstorm Warning for...
Northeastern Wharton County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Austin County in southeastern Texas...
Western Galveston County in southeastern Texas...
Fort Bend County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Montgomery County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
Chambers County in southeastern Texas...
Southeastern Waller County in southeastern Texas...
Southern Liberty County in southeastern Texas...
Harris County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 530 PM CDT.

* At 428 PM CDT, severe thunderstorms were located along a line
extending from near Nome to Liberty to 6 miles northwest of Dayton
to near Woodbranch to near The Woodlands to near Tomball to near
Jersey Village to near Katy to near Brookshire to 9 miles north of
Eagle Lake, moving southeast at 20 mph.

HAZARD...60 mph wind gusts.

SOURCE...Radar indicated.

IMPACT...Expect damage to roofs, siding, and trees.

* Locations impacted include...
Pasadena, Pearland, western League City, Sugar Land, Baytown,
Missouri City, Friendswood, Deer Park, Rosenberg, Alvin, Stafford,
South Houston, Bellaire, Humble, West University Place, Katy,
Richmond, Galena Park, Tomball and Jacinto City.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

For your protection move to an interior room on the lowest floor of a
building.

This is a DANGEROUS SITUATION. These storms are producing widespread
wind damage across the area. SEEK SHELTER NOW inside a sturdy
structure and stay away from windows!
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don
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Winds have been gusting up to 60 mph here for the last 20 minutes pretty potent line with reports of powerlines down in Katy.
Cromagnum
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Looks gnarly facing north towards Manvel.

Image
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DoctorMu
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Waded wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 4:42 pm
djmike wrote: Tue May 26, 2020 12:31 pm So is that it? Last week and weekend qpf and many BPT mets made it seem like it was gonna be a possible flooding event. We got maybe two moderate rain showers and that was it. Looks like nothing forecasted really but maybe a 30-40% pop up showers remaining of the week. I was expecting washouts all Sun-Tues. NWS at one point showed 70% for Tues wed and thurs...oh well, blessed to have gotten some rain.
This was the last post I read on this forum yesterday. I remember checking HGX and seeing a typical 30% chance of rain summer-esque pattern. Then 5 minutes ago in the Clear Lake Area I heard an explosion that took me a second to realize was thunder. Then I checked HGX again and saw hell and high water was rolling into town.

Big rain event forecasted and busts. Big rain event forecasted and busts. Typical summer pattern forecasted and Hell's Fury decides to visit. It's a bit exhausting at times.
A good 10-15 minutes of sustained intensity similar to that. The blowing rain probably caused me to overestimate the rainfall total.

The MCS is hauling @$$ to the coast.
Cromagnum
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See where they are predicting a 2nd line to setup shop later and potentially be worse?
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don
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Im a little concerned there may be more instability than anticipated for the storms tonight as the sun is trying to come back out already.
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Texaspirate11
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It was totally crazy down here near Kemah - funnel cloud sighted - hail high winds and heavy rains
JSC clocked wind gusts of 47 mph!
Rain with no name - man, it was crazy.
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Texaspirate11
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don wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 5:32 pm Im a little concerned there may be more instability than anticipated for the storms tonight as the sun is trying to come back out already.
I thought the same thing - at first I thought the atmo was too worked over for another slam - but then that SUN popped out....
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jasons2k
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It’s only 67 here but the storms NW of here have new warnings out. I’m a bit surprised to be honest. That’s an indication of some serious cold air aloft.
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don
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Yeah storms are firing up sooner than i expected.
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DoctorMu
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jasons2k wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 7:13 pm It’s only 67 here but the storms NW of here have new warnings out. I’m a bit surprised to be honest. That’s an indication of some serious cold air aloft.
There are quick drive through cells. Just had 10 minutes of rain. Another cell is on its heels. So much for a walk/run with the dog.

The gusts peaked at 55 mph evidently here in Round 1.
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tireman4
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Lightning and thunder outside in Humble....second round..
Cromagnum
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Looks like they are petering out
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed May 27, 2020 10:08 pm Looks like they are petering out
Yep. Models were showing this happening.
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jasons2k
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I’m at .88 when with even more to the NW.

I think my actual total is higher because the rain was blowing sideways..
dp6
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Because of training we ended up with 5 waves of storms on Lake Conroe today. Thankfully no hail, just 1.5" of rain and some great light shows.

And now maybe a 6th wave for us is popping up in a Conroe-Austin-Waco triangle. Already a severe warning on the Rockdale-Georgetown line that seemingly formed out of nothing in just a few minutes.
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snowman65
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meanwhile.....what's up with this???
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