MAY 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
unome
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a few showers popped up north of the Woodlands

https://mrms.nssl.noaa.gov/qvs/product_viewer/
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DoctorMu
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A very brief shower in the Brazos Valley this evening. Largely a bust. Glad to see rain where there has been more drought-like conditions in early spring.

We have a couple of nice, dry spring days ahead. Enjoy it while it lasts. Most of the really cool air is sliding east.
CrashTestDummy
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Looks like we got about a 1/2" between last night and this morning's showers. That's a good thing, since stuff was starting to get dry.
Gene Beaird,
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Cromagnum
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Managed about a half inch as well in Rosharon. If we can reliably get that much once a week I would be a happy camper.
Cpv17
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Cromagnum wrote: Wed May 06, 2020 12:28 pm Managed about a half inch as well in Rosharon. If we can reliably get that much once a week I would be a happy camper.
A few miles away from you they got 3-4” yesterday.
Cromagnum
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Cpv17 wrote: Wed May 06, 2020 12:52 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Wed May 06, 2020 12:28 pm Managed about a half inch as well in Rosharon. If we can reliably get that much once a week I would be a happy camper.
A few miles away from you they got 3-4” yesterday.
Yeah I know. The storm literally split in half as it reached my house and the heavier half went west.
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DoctorMu
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Chamber of Commerce Day in CLL. Not too many more left until October.
CrashTestDummy
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Hopefully, the weather cooperates tomorrow, as the Lone Star Flight Museum is planning a fly-over over the greater Houston area. They're trying to get ~20 vintage aircraft in the flight, depending on availability and clearance from the operators:

https://www.lonestarflight.org/public/F ... L-May8.pdf
Gene Beaird,
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Katdaddy
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CrashTestDummy wrote: Thu May 07, 2020 4:26 pm Hopefully, the weather cooperates tomorrow, as the Lone Star Flight Museum is planning a fly-over over the greater Houston area. They're trying to get ~20 vintage aircraft in the flight, depending on availability and clearance from the operators:

https://www.lonestarflight.org/public/F ... L-May8.pdf
Hoping the weather holds out as well for the Fly Over tomorrow. Looking forward to it and missed the Blue Angels yesterday. I should have watched on the trail along Mag Creek instead of the drive way. They were to the N of my location in W League City.
CrashTestDummy
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I was going to go out and at least have a look. Didn't hear anything, and was quietly working away when I heard on my radio stream that the fly over was done. :-(
Gene Beaird,
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jasons2k
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They just lowered my rain chances for tomorrow from 70% down to 50%.
Cpv17
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jasons2k wrote: Thu May 07, 2020 6:13 pm They just lowered my rain chances for tomorrow from 70% down to 50%.
Yeah it looks like most of the rain will be east of us into Louisiana. Better rain chances for us in about a week or so from now.
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DoctorMu
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The Ensemble looks better than GFS and Canadian, but looking more dry than I'd like for the next 2 weeks. This is the 40 day window to load up before the spigot turns off here in the Brazos Valley.
CrashTestDummy
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CrashTestDummy wrote: Thu May 07, 2020 4:26 pm Hopefully, the weather cooperates tomorrow, as the Lone Star Flight Museum is planning a fly-over over the greater Houston area. They're trying to get ~20 vintage aircraft in the flight, depending on availability and clearance from the operators:

https://www.lonestarflight.org/public/F ... L-May8.pdf
Looks like the threat of Friday weather has caused a rescheduling of this event. They will now be flying on Sunday, May 10. Take-off time is also rescheduled to be around 1400 CDT US:

https://www.lonestarflight.org/public/F ... EV_SUN.pdf
Gene Beaird,
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jasons2k
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Rain chances lowered to 40%.

Will probably have to resort to sprinklers.
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Katdaddy
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Showers and a few thunderstorms will develop ahead of a cold front later this afternoon mainly from I-10 down to the coastal areas. The Houston-Galveston areas are on the edge of a marginal risk area thus a few thunderstorms could approach severe limits. Hoping we get at least some well needed rainfall in NW Galveston County. I will gladly take .25" - .50" over a trace or 0.00" :)
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DoctorMu
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Prediction: Bust in College Station

Light to moderate rain in Houston.

Current NOAA forecast has high and dry for a week after that.

Sprinklers on stun.
Cpv17
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DoctorMu wrote: Fri May 08, 2020 11:16 am Prediction: Bust in College Station

Light to moderate rain in Houston.

Current NOAA forecast has high and dry for a week after that.

Sprinklers on stun.
We’ll get some better rain chances in here in the 6-10 day period. Looking like some pretty decent rains and a good bout of severe weather headed our way during that period. The ridging in the west is about to transition to a trough in a few days and the big trough in the east is about to giveaway to a ridge. The Euro has a system digging all the way down into the central/southern part of the Baja Peninsula and it just sits there for a few days and then it looks to be replaced possibly by an even bigger system after that but I have low confidence because that’s too far out. The Euro and GFS along with the CPC forecast look pretty good for us.
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DoctorMu
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Cpv17 wrote: Fri May 08, 2020 12:01 pm
DoctorMu wrote: Fri May 08, 2020 11:16 am Prediction: Bust in College Station

Light to moderate rain in Houston.

Current NOAA forecast has high and dry for a week after that.

Sprinklers on stun.
We’ll get some better rain chances in here in the 6-10 day period. Looking like some pretty decent rains and a good bout of severe weather headed our way during that period. The ridging in the west is about to transition to a trough in a few days and the big trough in the east is about to giveaway to a ridge. The Euro has a system digging all the way down into the central/southern part of the Baja Peninsula and it just sits there for a few days and then it looks to be replaced possibly by an even bigger system after that but I have low confidence because that’s too far out. The Euro and GFS along with the CPC forecast look pretty good for us.
I hope so re: precip.

Huge windshift to the NNE as I type. Maybe a couple of drops headed our way as small cells are just NW of Bryan. It looks iffy.
Cromagnum
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Doesn't look too promising for today at the moment
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