April 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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Neighbors in the Golden Triangle need to be weather aware
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unome
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https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/md0405.html

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Mesoscale Discussion 0405
NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
1239 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

Areas affected...upper coast of TX...southwest LA

Concerning...Tornado Watch 120...

Valid 191739Z - 191845Z

The severe weather threat for Tornado Watch 120 continues.

SUMMARY...Convective trends towards a supercellular convective mode
are increasing as 700mb flow intensifies this afternoon. Large to
very large hail is possible with the mature supercells. A tornado
risk will probably accompany the stronger/more persistent low-level
mesocyclones.

DISCUSSION...Radar imagery trends over the past hour are showing
warm sector development of storms acquiring some intermittent
rotation north of the greater Houston area. A robust supercell has
also recently developed to the north of Matagorda Bay moving towards
the south side of the Houston metro during the next few hours. The
boundary layer across the upper coast of TX continues to destabilize
as temperatures warm through the 70s and into the lower 80s near
Galveston Bay.

As storms continue to gradually intensify during the early
afternoon, coincident with the aforementioned strengthening flow in
the low to mid levels, the risk for a tornado and large to very
large hail will correspondingly increase with the strongest storms.
Short-term model guidance is suggesting at least some severe
activity will move across the Galveston Bay vicinity and into
southwest LA and the near-shore waters during the next 2-4 hours.

..Smith.. 04/19/2020

...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product...

ATTN...WFO...LCH...SHV...HGX...
ajurcat
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BIL in El Campo said streets are flooded but no hail.
davidiowx
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And of course, getting split again here in Richmond. Just can’t catch a break!! Come onnnnnn
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djmike
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Weather ready here in Beaumont. Light rain this morning and that was it. Hopefully this afternoons storms will be beneficial here. Suns out here now. May be an explosion of storms later. SWA!!
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
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Katdaddy
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Tornado Warning
TXC039-321-191930-
/O.NEW.KHGX.TO.W.0007.200419T1853Z-200419T1930Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
153 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
West central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...
Northeastern Matagorda County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 230 PM CDT.

* At 152 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located 8 miles northeast of Van Vleck, or 10 miles northwest
of Sweeny, moving east at 30 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
West Columbia around 210 PM CDT.
Wild Peach Village around 215 PM CDT.
Holiday Lakes and western Bailey`s Prairie around 230 PM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
Cromagnum
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Nice hook on radar.

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Cromagnum
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I'm about 10 miles north of this nastiness, but confirmed tornado down there with 0.5 inch hail.

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davidiowx
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Def a nasty storm!
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davidiowx
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And of course, all going around me in Richmond.. sigh
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Katdaddy
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
Tornado Warning
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
227 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

The National Weather Service in League City has issued a

* Tornado Warning for...
Central Brazoria County in southeastern Texas...

* Until 300 PM CDT.

* At 224 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm with a history of producing a
tornado was located over Holiday Lakes, or near Angleton, moving
east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed.
Damage to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree
damage is likely.

* This dangerous storm will be near...
Angleton around 235 PM CDT.
Danbury around 240 PM CDT.
Liverpool around 250 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Chocolate Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
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Katdaddy
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Severe Weather Statement
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
242 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

TXC039-192000-
/O.CON.KHGX.TO.W.0008.000000T0000Z-200419T2000Z/
Brazoria TX-
242 PM CDT Sun Apr 19 2020

...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 300 PM CDT FOR EAST
CENTRAL BRAZORIA COUNTY...

At 242 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located over Danbury, or near Angleton, moving east at 35 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and half dollar size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Liverpool around 250 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include
Chocolate Bayou.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
davidiowx
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Location: Richmond, TX
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I realllly hope I get rain. I know I’m just jinxing myself to miss out :cry:
Cpv17
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davidiowx wrote: Sun Apr 19, 2020 3:20 pm I realllly hope I get rain. I know I’m just jinxing myself to miss out :cry:
The rain is over for your area. Wednesday will be the next chance. Doesn’t look like much of a chance though. Wednesday’s system appears to be mainly north of our region.
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djmike
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And once again, the one hopeful looking cell looks to be breaking down and falling apart before it gets to Beaumont. I give up. Im done. I cant win. Gonna be one helleva water bill next month.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
davidiowx
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Location: Richmond, TX
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Cpv17 wrote: Sun Apr 19, 2020 3:26 pm
davidiowx wrote: Sun Apr 19, 2020 3:20 pm I realllly hope I get rain. I know I’m just jinxing myself to miss out :cry:
The rain is over for your area. Wednesday will be the next chance. Doesn’t look like much of a chance though. Wednesday’s system appears to be mainly north of our region.
What a bummer.... we have a lake house near Many, LA. At least there has been a lot up there to fill up Toledo Bend after the damn construction all winter.

Guess I’ll be pulling out the sprinklers in the morning!
Cromagnum
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Got 15 bags of peat moss spread over the front yard just in time for a quick 0.5 inch of rain. Hopefully I can reverse this stress and get the damned take all root rot to start burning in hell. I'm not about to lose my entire front yard again after this crap killed it 3 years ago.
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Katdaddy
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...A TORNADO WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 500 PM CDT FOR CENTRAL
LIBERTY COUNTY...

At 426 PM CDT, a severe thunderstorm capable of producing a tornado
was located near Dayton Lakes, or 13 miles north of Liberty, moving
east at 45 mph.

HAZARD...Tornado and quarter size hail.

SOURCE...Radar indicated rotation.

IMPACT...Flying debris will be dangerous to those caught without
shelter. Mobile homes will be damaged or destroyed. Damage
to roofs, windows, and vehicles will occur. Tree damage is
likely.

This dangerous storm will be near...
Hardin around 430 PM CDT.

Other locations impacted by this tornadic thunderstorm include Moss
Hill.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! Move to a basement or an interior room on the lowest
floor of a sturdy building. Avoid windows. If you are outdoors, in a
mobile home, or in a vehicle, move to the closest substantial shelter
and protect yourself from flying debris.
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DoctorMu
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Pretty much a bust up here in College Station. Better than a tornado, though.

Can still keep sprinklers off for now. Fingers crossed for we northern counties on Wednesday for some rain. GFS and Canadian are still looking like mostly N of I-10 and east of I-45. A possible maybe from the Euro.
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DoctorMu
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Dry air filtering in. If feels like a Spring evening back in NC. Slight breeze, low dew point. :P Bottle it up!
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