February 2020

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Re: February 2020

Post by jasons2k » Wed Feb 26, 2020 10:02 pm

srainhoutx wrote:
Wed Feb 26, 2020 6:34 pm
Meanwhile it's snowing across the Smokey Mountains this evening. Cheers!
Please send us pictures :-) They are always nice to see :-)

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jasons2k
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Re: February 2020

Post by jasons2k » Wed Feb 26, 2020 10:45 pm

I'm at 43 with a dew point of 29. Areas northwest of Magnolia are already at freezing. Just checked KHOU and they show 32 for IAH. It's gonna be a close one. I'm not gonna go out and cover anything at this point. All of my sensitive plants are under a tree canopy and against a fence to the north.

Edit: Low just lowered to 32. Figures.

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Re: February 2020

Post by Cromagnum » Thu Feb 27, 2020 6:48 am

Bottomed out at 36 at my place.

unome
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Re: February 2020

Post by unome » Thu Feb 27, 2020 7:38 am

warmed to 34 on our patio - hopefully the last frost/freeze dance this spring

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/map/?&zoom=11& ... ovider=ALL

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jasons2k
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Re: February 2020

Post by jasons2k » Thu Feb 27, 2020 7:51 am

I got down to 32.0 on this frosty morning. Surrounding areas were a little colder.

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srainhoutx
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Re: February 2020

Post by srainhoutx » Thu Feb 27, 2020 8:23 am

jasons2k wrote:
Wed Feb 26, 2020 10:02 pm
srainhoutx wrote:
Wed Feb 26, 2020 6:34 pm
Meanwhile it's snowing across the Smokey Mountains this evening. Cheers!
Please send us pictures :-) They are always nice to see :-)
Looking NW off my front porch this morning. Right at 2 inches with a NW flow snow event. We have a clipper system arriving tomorrow afternoon with another 2 to 3 inches expected.
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tireman4
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Re: February 2020

Post by tireman4 » Thu Feb 27, 2020 9:18 am

00
FXUS64 KHGX 271000
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
400 AM CST Thu Feb 27 2020

.SHORT TERM [Through Friday]...

With a dry northwest flow aloft and surface high pressure over
south Tx drifting eastward into the upper Tx coastal waters, look
for clear skies thru the period. Overnight lows in the 30s will
rebound to near 60 today...and around 70 Friday. 47


.LONG TERM [Friday night through Thursday]...

A northwest upper flow pattern backing more zonal through the
weekend, in tandem with regional surface high pressure centered
off to the east, will ensure a very dry and pleasant start to
the weekend. The mainly clear Leap Day (Saturday) will begin cool
with inland low to middle 40s / coastal lower to middle 50s and
will warm into the interior middle 70s / coastal upper 60s as
onshore flow returns through the day.

Early March will begin much more warm and humid as southerlies
strengthen and increase PW`s into the 1.30 inch range through
Tuesday (above the 75th percentile for early March). Partly
becoming mostly cloudy early week days with slight precipitation
chances for streamer showers on Monday. Very stout southerlies in
the 10 to 20 mph range will be what enhances a warm/moist air
advection regime as mid layer southwesterly winds downstream of
an approaching U.S. Southwest trough push 850mb temperatures back
up in the lower to middle teens (deg C). Hence, much warmer early
day conditions with minimum temperatures in the lower to middle
60s...days warming well into the middle to upper 70s.

Models still show a deep upper trough entering the state late
Tuesday and then lifting up and over northeast state early
Wednesday. The deepness of this trough is projected to produce a
split jet feature over East Texas overnight Wednesday morning.
The best upper level dynamics and lower level frontogenesis will
occur during the overnight hours Tuesday night into early
Wednesday morning. While shortwave energy riding up and over
eastern Texas Tuesday afternoon generates periods of rain and
possible isolated (elevated) thunder, the best chance for the
strongest weather/highest QPF will be focused over the northern
half of the CWA Tuesday night into Wednesday morning. The front
will sweep through early Wednesday and clear any lingering light
rain and cloud cover out to the east mid to late Wednesday morning.
Mainly clear skies under westerlies Wednesday afternoon as the
day warms from the 50s to the 70s. A reinforcing dry cold front on
Thursday will veer winds more northwesterly and strengthen them
while advecting in a much drier air mass (sub 0.20 inch pwats). As
of now, late work week humidities are progged to be very low as
dew points plunge into the lower 20s by Friday morning. The cold
air advection will not be as strong as this dry air intrusion but
still strong enough to regulate a mostly sunny Thursday afternoon`s
maximum warmth to the middle to upper 60s. 31

&&

.MARINE...
Will extend the low water advisory until 8am for the bays (mainly
the northern peripheries)...which should cover the next low tide
cycle. Look for gradual recovery thereafter. Will also maintain the
caution wording in the Gulf for a few more hours with ongoing 15-
20kt north winds. Speeds should continue diminishing thru the day.
Surface high pressure will move eastward and into the upper Tx
coastal waters today...eventually exiting to the east on Saturday.
Onshore winds will then resume. A lengthening fetch of moderate to
strong sse winds and building seas are then expected into early next
week. A combo of caution/advsy flags is possible as early as Sunday.
Dependent on conditions at the time, we`ll also be on the lookout
for possible sea fog development Mon/Tue but wind speeds appear to
be a limiting factor. The next wx system & associated cold front is
penciled in for Tue night. 47


&&

.AVIATION...
VFR. 47

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 59 35 70 44 74 / 0 0 0 0 0
Houston (IAH) 57 37 70 44 73 / 0 0 0 0 0
Galveston (GLS) 55 46 65 54 68 / 0 0 0 0 0

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...Low Water Advisory until 6 AM CST early this morning for the
following zones: Galveston Bay...Matagorda Bay.

SMALL CRAFT SHOULD EXERCISE CAUTION until 6 AM CST early this
morning for the following zones: Waters from Freeport to
Matagorda Ship Channel TX from 20 to 60 NM...Waters from
High Island to Freeport TX from 20 to 60 NM.

&&

$$

Short/Marine/Aviation...47
Long...31

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Re: February 2020

Post by CrashTestDummy » Thu Feb 27, 2020 10:42 am

31 and frost on the ground this morning. Pearland Regional Airport said it was 34 at the same time.
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas

"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."

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Re: February 2020

Post by Cpv17 » Thu Feb 27, 2020 1:14 pm

No idea how cold it ended up here at my house. I’d say somewhere in the mid to upper 20’s. It was already down to 31 at 3am here so I’d estimate 27 or 28.

I’m ready for some rain and storms now. I saw channel 13’s forecast earlier and noticed they had 60% for next Tuesday. Maybe I’ll get something then. The Euro calls for about an inch of rain widespread across SETX, but the GFS keeps it well north and east of interstate 10.

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jasons2k
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Re: February 2020

Post by jasons2k » Thu Feb 27, 2020 1:36 pm

srainhoutx wrote: Looking NW off my front porch this morning. Right at 2 inches with a NW flow snow event. We have a clipper system arriving tomorrow afternoon with another 2 to 3 inches expected.
Thanks for posting! Beautiful photo!

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