January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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jasons2k
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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by jasons2k » Sun Jan 26, 2020 10:59 am

Yeah, I’m observing the same here too. Everything is blooming 4-6 weeks early, including the weeds. It was a great morning for a run though.

Cromagnum
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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by Cromagnum » Sun Jan 26, 2020 3:17 pm

Has felt like spring for weeks and looks to continue. Time to put chemicals on lawn and start planting I guess.

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DoctorMu
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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Jan 26, 2020 3:22 pm

For your entertainment from the 12z GFS:

Image

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DoctorMu
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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Jan 26, 2020 3:28 pm

jasons2k wrote:
Sat Jan 25, 2020 4:23 pm
DoctorMu wrote:
Fri Jan 24, 2020 8:24 pm
jasons2k wrote:
Thu Jan 23, 2020 1:05 pm


The effect of freezes against the mosquito population is mostly urban myth and exaggerated. Yes, freezing weather will kill any mosquitoes that are living or hibernating - but that is a relatively small number in winter. Hardly enough to matter. More importantly, the mosquito eggs are not affected by freezes and will be waiting for warmer temperatures and moisture to arrive.

The mosquitoes in Alaska are notoriously awful.

If you are worried about mosquitoes and weeds, your nemesis is the rain, not lack of cold weather.
Your urban myth theory is an urban myth. Mosquitos are inactive if temps are below 50°. Insect populations continue to grow (doubling effect) with warm weather and moisture. They peak in mid Fall in Texas. The only saving grace in BCS is lack of rain in July and August, which mitigates mosquitoes. Fire ant populations, wasps, and yellow jacket populations in the area are also dampened by prolonged winters.

In 2018 we had a prolonged winter and the insect population was down.

Alaskan mosquitoes are adapted to cold. Texas mosquitoes are not. Alaskan eggs survive freezing temps. Texas eggs, not as much.

https://www.ksat.com/weather/2018/02/01 ... osquitoes/
From the very article you linked: "Keck's explanation disproves a common misconception that insects "freeze off" and die."

That's basically the same exact point of my original post. Just swap out the words "common misconception" for "urban myth" and we are saying the same thing....
The longer and colder the winter, the fewer mosquitoes. Mosquitoes die all the time. Keeping the ground cold for longer reduces their presence in the Spring by reduces their generational procreation and population increase. By early Fall the population reaches a maxim. Melting frozen ground requires far more heating than heating the ground another 10°F.

To be more precise, a colder winter will delay the presence of mosquitoes, which is why I specifically targeted our Spring.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/weather/ ... g/7461715/

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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by harp » Sun Jan 26, 2020 3:36 pm

Louisiana gets dumped on that run. It will be gone on the next. However, it has been trending cold beginning around the 6th of February.

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djmike
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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by djmike » Sun Jan 26, 2020 4:46 pm

Im very quickly giving up on this winter. Already almost Feb and still spring time weather. Ive lost all credibility on models for this winter. The lack of cold air is amazing. Just like last year. Next up, 100 degree miserable humid weather.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College St. area)

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jasons2k
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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by jasons2k » Mon Jan 27, 2020 12:27 pm

Today’s forecast was “mostly sunny”...still waiting to see that sun.

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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by Cpv17 » Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:13 pm

jasons2k wrote:
Mon Jan 27, 2020 12:27 pm
Today’s forecast was “mostly sunny”...still waiting to see that sun.
Haha yeah, same here. Haven’t seen one peep of sun yet.

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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by jasons2k » Mon Jan 27, 2020 1:29 pm

Clouds finally burning off here...

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Re: January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by jasons2k » Mon Jan 27, 2020 4:52 pm

What the heck! I was expecting a nice mild 70 degrees when I left the office. Stepped outside - sure didn’t feel like 70, not even close. Just checked the thermometer and it’s 59F! Seriously??!!

I guess I won’t be running in shorts this evening. I was SO looking forward to my run and now I’m bummed!

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