January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
Post Reply
Cpv17
Posts: 5235
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

We need rain more than cold and our New Years system that looked so promising on the models for so many days is now just about toast for our area.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image
Team #NeverSummer
harp
Posts: 248
Joined: Tue Aug 22, 2017 4:35 pm
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:25 pm Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image
Explain, please.
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

harp wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:42 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:25 pm Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image
Explain, please.
Negative PNA, WPO, EPO and a NAO trending negative. The only thing about that setup I don’t particularly like is how negative the PNA is, but we can still work with it.

It’s a setup that should deliver cold to us and if we can cut off a system over the Baja, we are in the game for some winter weather.
Team #NeverSummer
harp
Posts: 248
Joined: Tue Aug 22, 2017 4:35 pm
Contact:

That's what I thought. Thanks for the response!
harp
Posts: 248
Joined: Tue Aug 22, 2017 4:35 pm
Contact:

Interesting stuff. May be a late winter this year according to this. Worth watching since things are so boring at the moment.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... e=emb_logo
User avatar
MontgomeryCoWx
Posts: 2356
Joined: Wed Dec 14, 2011 4:31 pm
Location: Weimar, TX
Contact:

harp wrote: Mon Dec 30, 2019 11:57 pm Interesting stuff. May be a late winter this year according to this. Worth watching since things are so boring at the moment.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... e=emb_logo
The progression is coming. This guy seems to think it’s slower but he sees the same thing I do.
Team #NeverSummer
cperk
Posts: 769
Joined: Sun Aug 19, 2012 12:09 pm
Location: Richmond
Contact:

Happy New Year to all my Wx infinity forum members and their families,and i am looking forward to discussing all the wintry weather we will be receiving in the coming weeks. :D :D
User avatar
Ptarmigan
Statistical Specialist
Statistical Specialist
Posts: 3982
Joined: Wed Feb 03, 2010 7:20 pm
Contact:

MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:08 pm
harp wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:42 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 8:25 pm Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS

Image
Explain, please.
Negative PNA, WPO, EPO and a NAO trending negative. The only thing about that setup I don’t particularly like is how negative the PNA is, but we can still work with it.

It’s a setup that should deliver cold to us and if we can cut off a system over the Baja, we are in the game for some winter weather.
Negative West Pacific Oscillation (WPO), East Pacific Oscillation (EPO), and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) tend to have ridging over Eastern Russian (WPO), Alaska (EPO), and Greenland (NAO). The ridging tend to bring cold air southward.

One can have positive NAO and negative EPO/WPO and still have cold blasts. That happened in December 1983 and February 1989 freeze.
Kingwood36
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sat Dec 29, 2018 10:29 am
Location: Freeport
Contact:

What happend to this rain we were suppose to get today?
User avatar
Rip76
Posts: 1787
Joined: Mon Feb 15, 2010 12:38 am
Location: The Woodlands
Contact:

It appears to fall apart right around the Houston area.
Cpv17
Posts: 5235
Joined: Fri Aug 31, 2018 1:58 pm
Location: El Campo/Wharton
Contact:

Kingwood36 wrote: Wed Jan 01, 2020 11:52 am What happend to this rain we were suppose to get today?
If you were reading my posts from a few days ago, I mentioned that rain chances for the New Years Day event were decreasing. We went from getting 2-4” to maybe a .25”-.50”
Cromagnum
Posts: 2592
Joined: Thu Feb 03, 2011 10:42 pm
Contact:

Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
User avatar
GBinGrimes
Posts: 108
Joined: Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:50 pm
Location: Anderson, TX
Contact:

There were Robins in my pasture yesterday. Not a lone, lost Robin...many , many Robin's. For those of us that do enjoy some winter cold and occasional "wintery mischief" that's a wee bit early to be seeing them and not a good sign.
User avatar
snowman65
Posts: 1191
Joined: Thu Feb 04, 2010 6:39 am
Location: Orange, Tx
Contact:

Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:28 pm Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
I've been saying that. Nobody will believe me.
User avatar
GBinGrimes
Posts: 108
Joined: Mon Jan 27, 2014 1:50 pm
Location: Anderson, TX
Contact:

snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 3:23 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:28 pm Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
I've been saying that. Nobody will believe me.
Pretty sure I do believe you, I just don't want to admit that the chances for really solid cold weather are over. Now, we all know our summer hating buddy from Montgomery County will rebuff that until the bitter end and he does have some graphs that provide some hope for some cold. But, having lived here in SE Texas my entire life, I just don't have the gut feeling that we're going to get really cold, at least for even a couple of days.

However, this IS Texas and weather-wise, well, most anything can happen and occasionally does.
869MB
Posts: 148
Joined: Fri Oct 30, 2015 8:44 am
Location: Katy, TX
Contact:

Interestingly, my neighborhood finished 2019 with approximately 33.60 inches of rain for the entire year. That's well behind most locations in Harris County with respect to rainfall totals.
JDsGN
Posts: 125
Joined: Tue May 23, 2017 10:25 pm
Contact:

869MB wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 7:10 pm Interestingly, my neighborhood finished 2019 with approximately 33.60 inches of rain for the entire year. That's well behind most locations in Harris County with respect to rainfall totals.
The rainfall delta across the county is pretty wide. We got just over 34" in Fairfield at my house and thats well behind normal.
User avatar
djmike
Posts: 1702
Joined: Fri Jan 07, 2011 12:19 pm
Location: BEAUMONT, TX
Contact:

Wow. Beaumont finished with 85.49” for 2019. Hopefully 2020 will provide everyone with beneficial rains. Just not all at once.
KBMT Beaumont 2019 Rains
KBMT Beaumont 2019 Rains
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
mcheer23
Pro Met
Pro Met
Posts: 530
Joined: Fri Jan 11, 2013 11:15 am
Location: Missouri City/ Sugar Land
Contact:

snowman65 wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 3:23 pm
Cromagnum wrote: Thu Jan 02, 2020 2:28 pm Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
I've been saying that. Nobody will believe me.
I don't know what you're looking at, or where you're located...but Tuesday night many locations will fall into the 30's.
Post Reply
  • Information
  • Who is online

    Users browsing this forum: Ahrefs [Bot] and 87 guests