January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead
We need rain more than cold and our New Years system that looked so promising on the models for so many days is now just about toast for our area.
- MontgomeryCoWx
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Interesting set up coming if you believe the GEFS
Team #NeverSummer
Explain, please.
- MontgomeryCoWx
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Negative PNA, WPO, EPO and a NAO trending negative. The only thing about that setup I don’t particularly like is how negative the PNA is, but we can still work with it.
It’s a setup that should deliver cold to us and if we can cut off a system over the Baja, we are in the game for some winter weather.
Team #NeverSummer
That's what I thought. Thanks for the response!
Interesting stuff. May be a late winter this year according to this. Worth watching since things are so boring at the moment.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... e=emb_logo
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... e=emb_logo
- MontgomeryCoWx
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The progression is coming. This guy seems to think it’s slower but he sees the same thing I do.harp wrote: ↑Mon Dec 30, 2019 11:57 pm Interesting stuff. May be a late winter this year according to this. Worth watching since things are so boring at the moment.
https://www.youtube.com/watch?time_cont ... e=emb_logo
Team #NeverSummer
Happy New Year to all my Wx infinity forum members and their families,and i am looking forward to discussing all the wintry weather we will be receiving in the coming weeks.
Negative West Pacific Oscillation (WPO), East Pacific Oscillation (EPO), and North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) tend to have ridging over Eastern Russian (WPO), Alaska (EPO), and Greenland (NAO). The ridging tend to bring cold air southward.MontgomeryCoWx wrote: ↑Sun Dec 29, 2019 9:08 pmNegative PNA, WPO, EPO and a NAO trending negative. The only thing about that setup I don’t particularly like is how negative the PNA is, but we can still work with it.
It’s a setup that should deliver cold to us and if we can cut off a system over the Baja, we are in the game for some winter weather.
One can have positive NAO and negative EPO/WPO and still have cold blasts. That happened in December 1983 and February 1989 freeze.
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What happend to this rain we were suppose to get today?
It appears to fall apart right around the Houston area.
If you were reading my posts from a few days ago, I mentioned that rain chances for the New Years Day event were decreasing. We went from getting 2-4” to maybe a .25”-.50”Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Jan 01, 2020 11:52 am What happend to this rain we were suppose to get today?
Looks like we aren't getting into the 30s again until February. Winter cancel
- GBinGrimes
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There were Robins in my pasture yesterday. Not a lone, lost Robin...many , many Robin's. For those of us that do enjoy some winter cold and occasional "wintery mischief" that's a wee bit early to be seeing them and not a good sign.
- GBinGrimes
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Pretty sure I do believe you, I just don't want to admit that the chances for really solid cold weather are over. Now, we all know our summer hating buddy from Montgomery County will rebuff that until the bitter end and he does have some graphs that provide some hope for some cold. But, having lived here in SE Texas my entire life, I just don't have the gut feeling that we're going to get really cold, at least for even a couple of days.
However, this IS Texas and weather-wise, well, most anything can happen and occasionally does.
Interestingly, my neighborhood finished 2019 with approximately 33.60 inches of rain for the entire year. That's well behind most locations in Harris County with respect to rainfall totals.
The rainfall delta across the county is pretty wide. We got just over 34" in Fairfield at my house and thats well behind normal.
Wow. Beaumont finished with 85.49” for 2019. Hopefully 2020 will provide everyone with beneficial rains. Just not all at once.
Mike
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)
Beaumont, TX
(IH-10 & College Street)