January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

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mcheer23
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January 2020: Unsettled WX Week Ahead

Post by mcheer23 » Fri Dec 27, 2019 10:22 am

New Years day looks like a cool and wet one!


https://www.wpc.ncep.noaa.gov/qpf/97ep4 ... 1577464634

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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by Cpv17 » Fri Dec 27, 2019 2:13 pm

The 12z Euro is looking good for some much needed rain!!

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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by Ptarmigan » Fri Dec 27, 2019 6:35 pm

A start of a new decade.

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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by harp » Fri Dec 27, 2019 11:55 pm

0Z GFS has that sub zero air lined up all along the Canadian border and northern Plains, but it WILL NOT budge south. It's stuck there. Frustrating.

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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by srainhoutx » Sat Dec 28, 2019 1:18 pm

If the 12Z European model is correct, a shot of that bitter cold air that is building in Alaska heads toward the Gulf in about 7 to 10 days. I see the Polar Vortex is shifting away from Alaska and beginning to set up East in Canada. Perhaps this is a signal that the pattern is relaxing that has been responsible for flooding the Lower 48 with mild Pacific air.
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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by Cpv17 » Sat Dec 28, 2019 1:57 pm

I see both the Euro and GFS now have the heaviest rains to our south and east for the New Years system .. bad trend to see.

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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:04 am

The overnight 0z Euro looked good for cold!! Bad thing is that it looks like the chances for rain for the New Years system that looked so promising the past several days is now fading away.

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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:06 am

Again, my time period looks like it might be nails on.

I’m horrible at predicting actual winter weather events, but I can follow the cold across the globe.
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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:34 am

MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:06 am
Again, my time period looks like it might be nails on.

I’m horrible at predicting actual winter weather events, but I can follow the cold across the globe.
Well you know a lot more about weather than most of the people on here lol including myself. I know about half of what you know haha

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Re: January 2020: Starting off the new decade cool and wet

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:54 pm

GFS brings cold to the east, while Canadian leaves the cold in the west.

12Z Euro still bringing significant cold into the plains after Jan 7.

Three completely different solutions over the next 10-12 days.

"Uncertainty" then is the word of the day.

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