December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
kyzsl51
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by kyzsl51 » Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:52 pm

No but weve must recently had many of our ice storms that month! So February can be very cold. From what what I remember especially in 2011 and 2014.

Cpv17
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by Cpv17 » Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:03 am

kyzsl51 wrote:
Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:52 pm
No but weve must recently had many of our ice storms that month! So February can be very cold. From what what I remember especially in 2011 and 2014.
Here in Wharton County we really didn’t have much ice from those events. The precipitation was so light here it barely even amounted to anything, but however, it was definitely very cold.

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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:08 am

Last real bad, region wide ice storm was February 2011. 2014 had a good one I-10 north but the South side was just rain.
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MontgomeryCoWx
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:08 am

Picked up 1.32 inches of rain in Magnolia.
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Rip76
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by Rip76 » Sun Dec 29, 2019 11:01 am

I figured it out. :)

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DoctorMu
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:34 pm

Real uncertainty in the models for cold and winter weather ahead. Euro, GFS, Canadian all have divergent solutions.


Seasonable temps over the next couple of days. The sun is out, so enjoy the great weather.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:57 pm, edited 1 time in total.

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DoctorMu
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:46 pm

Cpv17 wrote:
Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm
jasons2k wrote:
Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:51 pm


The meteorological winter is Dec-Jan-Feb. We are almost 1/3 of the way through it. The annual minimums for IAH bottom out from January 3rd - January 24th (mean is 43F - 63F).

We will begin those lowest averages in a week from now. Average temps begin to warm again on January 25th.
I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.
Feb 1994? - ice

Jan 1996? - snow/ice

Dec 2004 (toward Houston) major snow

Jan 2007 - ice

Dec 2008 - snow

Mar 2008 - snow

Feb 2010 - snow

Jan 2014 - sleet/mix

Dec 2017 snow

Jan 2018 snow

Nov 2018 snow


Nov = 1
Dec = 3
Jan = 5
Feb = 2
Mar = 1

About what I'd expect. The Nov and March flukes were pretty cool.

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DoctorMu
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by DoctorMu » Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:48 pm

I will saw the frequency of winter events in 30 years in this area of Texas is a LOT higher over the last 15 years than the previous 15. :)

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jasons2k
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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by jasons2k » Mon Dec 30, 2019 9:03 am

DoctorMu wrote:
Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote:
Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote:
Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm


I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.
Feb 1994? - ice

Jan 1996? - snow/ice

Dec 2004 (toward Houston) major snow

Jan 2007 - ice

Dec 2008 - snow

Mar 2008 - snow

Feb 2010 - snow

Jan 2014 - sleet/mix

Dec 2017 snow

Jan 2018 snow

Nov 2018 snow


Nov = 1
Dec = 3
Jan = 5
Feb = 2
Mar = 1

About what I'd expect. The Nov and March flukes were pretty cool.
Almost a perfect bell curve, peaking in January, just like our coldest temps.

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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Post by BlueJay » Tue Dec 31, 2019 9:50 am

Another beautiful day to end 2019.

I hope everyone has a fulfilling and safe New Year's Eve!

On to 2020...

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