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Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Fri Dec 27, 2019 6:42 pm
by Ptarmigan
It is very cold up in Alaska. It is below -50°F!

https://forecast.weather.gov/MapClick.p ... gakP47QiHs

It is no wonder it is warm right now.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:04 am
by Kingwood36
Man i hope we get some type of cold weather soon..this is depressing like last year...

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:07 am
by snowman65
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:04 am Man i hope we get some type of cold weather soon..this is depressing like last year...
we aren't. this winter is a total washout.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:03 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
snowman65 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:07 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:04 am Man i hope we get some type of cold weather soon..this is depressing like last year...
we aren't. this winter is a total washout.
Winter just started. Posts like these suck and offer nothing of substance.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 2:59 pm
by Texaspirate11
I hope everyone had a MERRY CHRISTMAS!
Santa sure delivered some warm weather up north
It was in the 50's/60's - thought I was home here in Texas!!!

We could use some rain though -

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:51 pm
by jasons2k
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:03 pm
snowman65 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:07 am
Kingwood36 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:04 am Man i hope we get some type of cold weather soon..this is depressing like last year...
we aren't. this winter is a total washout.
Winter just started. Posts like these suck and offer nothing of substance.
The meteorological winter is Dec-Jan-Feb. We are almost 1/3 of the way through it. The annual minimums for IAH bottom out from January 3rd - January 24th (mean is 43F - 63F).

We will begin those lowest averages in a week from now. Average temps begin to warm again on January 25th.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 6:08 pm
by Rip76
What are we looking like tomorrow for Texans game time?

Cold/rain?

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
jasons2k wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:51 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:03 pm
snowman65 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:07 am

we aren't. this winter is a total washout.
Winter just started. Posts like these suck and offer nothing of substance.
The meteorological winter is Dec-Jan-Feb. We are almost 1/3 of the way through it. The annual minimums for IAH bottom out from January 3rd - January 24th (mean is 43F - 63F).

We will begin those lowest averages in a week from now. Average temps begin to warm again on January 25th.
I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
by Cpv17
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm
jasons2k wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:51 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 12:03 pm

Winter just started. Posts like these suck and offer nothing of substance.
The meteorological winter is Dec-Jan-Feb. We are almost 1/3 of the way through it. The annual minimums for IAH bottom out from January 3rd - January 24th (mean is 43F - 63F).

We will begin those lowest averages in a week from now. Average temps begin to warm again on January 25th.
I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:48 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm
jasons2k wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:51 pm

The meteorological winter is Dec-Jan-Feb. We are almost 1/3 of the way through it. The annual minimums for IAH bottom out from January 3rd - January 24th (mean is 43F - 63F).

We will begin those lowest averages in a week from now. Average temps begin to warm again on January 25th.
I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.
We are talking winter weather, not just snow. I had accumulating snow 2 Januarys ago. Can’t remember if it was 2013-2014 or the following winter but we had something like 7 events that Winter... mixed bag of stuff, but still.

You live in a bad area for snow, period. I’d bet my chances are a lot higher (albeit not great).

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:52 pm
by kyzsl51
No but weve must recently had many of our ice storms that month! So February can be very cold. From what what I remember especially in 2011 and 2014.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:03 am
by Cpv17
kyzsl51 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 10:52 pm No but weve must recently had many of our ice storms that month! So February can be very cold. From what what I remember especially in 2011 and 2014.
Here in Wharton County we really didn’t have much ice from those events. The precipitation was so light here it barely even amounted to anything, but however, it was definitely very cold.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:08 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
Last real bad, region wide ice storm was February 2011. 2014 had a good one I-10 north but the South side was just rain.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 10:08 am
by MontgomeryCoWx
Picked up 1.32 inches of rain in Magnolia.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 11:01 am
by Rip76
I figured it out. :)

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:34 pm
by DoctorMu
Real uncertainty in the models for cold and winter weather ahead. Euro, GFS, Canadian all have divergent solutions.


Seasonable temps over the next couple of days. The sun is out, so enjoy the great weather.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:46 pm
by DoctorMu
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm
jasons2k wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 4:51 pm

The meteorological winter is Dec-Jan-Feb. We are almost 1/3 of the way through it. The annual minimums for IAH bottom out from January 3rd - January 24th (mean is 43F - 63F).

We will begin those lowest averages in a week from now. Average temps begin to warm again on January 25th.
I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.
Feb 1994? - ice

Jan 1996? - snow/ice

Dec 2004 (toward Houston) major snow

Jan 2007 - ice

Dec 2008 - snow

Mar 2008 - snow

Feb 2010 - snow

Jan 2014 - sleet/mix

Dec 2017 snow

Jan 2018 snow

Nov 2018 snow


Nov = 1
Dec = 3
Jan = 5
Feb = 2
Mar = 1

About what I'd expect. The Nov and March flukes were pretty cool.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:48 pm
by DoctorMu
I will saw the frequency of winter events in 30 years in this area of Texas is a LOT higher over the last 15 years than the previous 15. :)

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Mon Dec 30, 2019 9:03 am
by jasons2k
DoctorMu wrote: Sun Dec 29, 2019 2:46 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 9:35 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Sat Dec 28, 2019 8:25 pm

I’m aware and your post doesn’t address my sentiments. I’m addition, our most active winter weather timeframe (actual events) is from late January through the 3rd week of February.
I’ve lived here over 30 years and all 3 accumulating snow events for me happened in December. I’ve had zero luck those other months.
Feb 1994? - ice

Jan 1996? - snow/ice

Dec 2004 (toward Houston) major snow

Jan 2007 - ice

Dec 2008 - snow

Mar 2008 - snow

Feb 2010 - snow

Jan 2014 - sleet/mix

Dec 2017 snow

Jan 2018 snow

Nov 2018 snow


Nov = 1
Dec = 3
Jan = 5
Feb = 2
Mar = 1

About what I'd expect. The Nov and March flukes were pretty cool.
Almost a perfect bell curve, peaking in January, just like our coldest temps.

Re: December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Tue Dec 31, 2019 9:50 am
by BlueJay
Another beautiful day to end 2019.

I hope everyone has a fulfilling and safe New Year's Eve!

On to 2020...