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December 2019: Warming Trend/Weekend Rain/Christmas Outlook

Posted: Fri Nov 29, 2019 1:14 pm
by Katdaddy
Lots of sun, lower humidity, and cooler temps to start December 2019.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Sat Nov 30, 2019 5:10 pm
by oleander
As we begin December, I just have one question: Where did 2019 go? Wow!

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Sat Nov 30, 2019 11:00 pm
by DoctorMu
Fabulous weather for the next week. Seasonal to slightly above average temps with sunny to partly cloudy skies. Store it in a bottle for summer!

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Sun Dec 01, 2019 9:53 am
by CrashTestDummy
Happy end of hurricane season, all!

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Sun Dec 01, 2019 10:52 am
by snowman65
Looks like if you want cold weather in December you'll have to move.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Sun Dec 01, 2019 11:54 am
by Kingwood36
snowman65 wrote: Sun Dec 01, 2019 10:52 am Looks like if you want cold weather in December you'll have to move.
Was just going to ask if any cold weather was on the way...

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Sun Dec 01, 2019 2:58 pm
by srainhoutx
You folks enjoy the beautiful SE Texas weather on this first day of Meteorological Winter. Winter Storm Warnings have just been issued here in the Smokey Mountains. Higher elevations along the Tennessee/North Carolina could see a foot of snowfall by the time it winds down tomorrow night. I did some preparations yesterday and stocked up on food just in case we get stuck on the mountain for a couple of days. If it plays out, I'll post pictures tomorrow... ;)

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2019 1:01 pm
by Belmer
While it's just two days into meteorological winter, and under three weeks till true winter... don't look for any 'winter-like' conditions at least through the middle of the month. Pattern looks rather quiet with a +PNA, -EPO and somewhat of a neutral/- NAO. Those conditions keep the weather here in SETX mild/seasonal with no real big fluctuations.

If you're a cold weather lover, November certainly was a tease (as it was last year). It should go without saying, but winter forecasting is one of the more challenging seasons to forecast (IMO). Not just long term, but medium range as well. It can turn volatile in a hurry within a few days out. With that said, there is beginning to be some hints that the pattern will adjust to a more favorable pattern as we near the end of the year and flip to 2020... but take that with a grain of salt at this time.

Meanwhile, this type of pattern will work well in Steve's favor... :)

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm
by harp
Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:18 pm
by Ptarmigan
harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....
What hour? GFS goes up to 384 hours.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:27 pm
by harp
Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:18 pm
harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....
What hour? GFS goes up to 384 hours.
Starting around hour 258.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:31 pm
by Ptarmigan
harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:27 pm
Ptarmigan wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 7:18 pm
harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....
What hour? GFS goes up to 384 hours.
Starting around hour 258.
Thank you Harp. I just looked and there is a cold blast. Too early to tell and can change. Nice to see though. 8-) ;)

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2019 8:05 pm
by Belmer
harp wrote: Mon Dec 02, 2019 5:30 pm Umm, you boys in Texas need to take a look at the 18Z GFS.....
Over 48 hours of ice/sleet in Oklahoma and nearing 3 inches of ice in north Texas, including Dallas? Ha! Let's absolutely hope that doesn't verify.
850mb temps barley go below freezing past OK/TX border. No frozen precipitation down here, would be just a cold rain.

Amusing to look at, but don't count on it. An event like that would absolutely cripple OK and northern TX for weeks and would not be a fun Christmas for those folks.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Mon Dec 02, 2019 11:21 pm
by harp
The 0Z completely loses it it. Not a trace! LOL!!!

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Tue Dec 03, 2019 6:00 am
by Katdaddy
More beautiful weather across SE TX with slightly warmer highs after a chilly start this morning with temps mostly in the 30s and low 40s except 51F on Galveston Island.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Tue Dec 03, 2019 8:03 am
by srainhoutx
I see the possibility of a volatile weather pattern shaping up next week across the Region. The ensemble guidance suggests a deep mid latitude trough across the Plains and several disturbances as well as cold fronts arrive every couple of days. While nothing extremely cold jumps out in the medium/longer range, my hunch is the Western Pacific Typhoon and a wobbly Stratospheric Polar Vortex may shake up the upper air pattern across the Northern Hemisphere.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:10 pm
by Cpv17
Best looking run of the Euro I’ve seen in quite some time for SETX.

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:21 pm
by harp
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:10 pm Best looking run of the Euro I’ve seen in quite some time for SETX.
Can you post?

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Wed Dec 04, 2019 3:29 pm
by Cpv17
harp wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:21 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Dec 04, 2019 2:10 pm Best looking run of the Euro I’ve seen in quite some time for SETX.
Can you post?
Well it doesn’t really have any major cold, but it has a good rain event for us next Wednesday. About 1-3”

Re: December 2019: Beautiful Weather to Start December

Posted: Thu Dec 05, 2019 6:52 am
by snowman65
Well the latest GFS is VERY interesting starting around mid December....yikes....