November 2019: Thanksgiving Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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Katdaddy
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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by Katdaddy » Tue Nov 19, 2019 5:51 am

A Dense Fog Advisory is in effect for the Upper TX Coast including the Houston-Galveston areas. The fog will burn off this morning resulting in another beautiful sunny day with highs in the mid to upper 70s across SE TX.
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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by Cpv17 » Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:24 am

The system next week before Thanksgiving looks to be a pretty big system, but it doesn’t look like right now it’ll be too much for southeast Texas. Looks like a central and north Texas event.

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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by tireman4 » Tue Nov 19, 2019 2:01 pm

000
FXUS64 KHGX 191758
AFDHGX

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1158 AM CST Tue Nov 19 2019

.DISCUSSION...

Updated for the 18Z TAF issuance.

&&

.AVIATION...

VFR conditions will prevail across SE Texas today. Mostly sunny
skies with FEW/SCT high clouds moving across the region this
afternoon. Winds will continue light and variable as surface high
pressure shift east-southeastward today. Low dewpoint spread
along with clear skies and calm to light winds could once again
set the stage for areas of patchy fog to develop across some areas
of the CWA tonight into early Wednesday morning. This could
result in brief periods of MVFR to IFR conditions during this
period. Wednesday, stronger southerly wind flow expected as the
pressure gradient strengthens, along with an increase in cloud
coverage. 24

&&

.PREV DISCUSSION... /ISSUED 1015 AM CST Tue Nov 19 2019/

UPDATE...

Forecast continues on track; no changes were made the previous
issuance. Surface high pressure will continue to dominate the
local weather today, resulting in sunny skies and light variable
winds. Temperatures this afternoon will reach the mid 70s
areawide. Afternoon/evening, the high pressure will shift east-
southeastward along the Gulf coastal regions, allowing onshore
flow to return to the local area. Tonight, temperatures will
generally range in the upper 50s to low 60s. Another round of
patchy fog is expected to develop across portions of SE Texas
overnight through early Wednesday morning, possibly affecting the
morning commute. 24

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
College Station (CLL) 58 79 65 79 63 / 0 10 20 40 30
Houston (IAH) 60 77 66 78 65 / 0 10 10 30 20
Galveston (GLS) 65 73 67 74 65 / 0 10 10 20 10

&&

.HGX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
TX...NONE.
GM...NONE.
&&

$$

Discussion...24
Aviation...24

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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by Cpv17 » Tue Nov 19, 2019 3:35 pm

Looks like a pretty boring weather pattern setting up over the next couple weeks according to the CPC. Below normal precipitation and above normal temps.

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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by srainhoutx » Tue Nov 19, 2019 7:55 pm

Greetings from Haywood County. We arrived safely this afternoon with fantastic travel weather during our 1000 mile drive and the mountains are gorgeous! It's sort of fitting that light rain and some wet snow flakes greeted us after sunset. Pictures coming soon.
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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by Ptarmigan » Tue Nov 19, 2019 10:08 pm

GBinGrimes wrote:
Mon Nov 18, 2019 9:07 pm

100 % correct. The sky is clear and, here in Grimes County as of a little bit ago, dark enough to see a magnificent star field.

Hot, cold, wet or dry, we here in Texas are blessed with differences in weather. Those who lament "boring days" just hold on a bit. Record cold already in November and we've yet to hit real winter. Amazing stuff.

Hello Orion's Belt!
harp wrote:
Mon Nov 18, 2019 9:14 pm
Orion is clearly visible! Beautiful!
I have seen the Orion Nebula with the telescope. Very spectacular, especially with a camera. 8-)

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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by harp » Tue Nov 19, 2019 11:40 pm

Umm, don't look now, but the 0Z GFS dumps the arctic right down the Plains into Texas and Louisiana during the first few days of December.... it will likely be gone next run, but it's cool to look at.

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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by Katdaddy » Wed Nov 20, 2019 6:05 am

Clouds will continue to increase today with highs around 80F. Some light showers will be possible this afternoon. The warm weather continues until our next front Friday evening with showers and thunderstorms. A few thunderstorms could be strong with gusty winds. The weekend will have lots of sun and highs in the 60s and lows in the 40s.
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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by MontgomeryCoWx » Wed Nov 20, 2019 8:51 am

srainhoutx wrote:
Tue Nov 19, 2019 7:55 pm
Greetings from Haywood County. We arrived safely this afternoon with fantastic travel weather during our 1000 mile drive and the mountains are gorgeous! It's sort of fitting that light rain and some wet snow flakes greeted us after sunset. Pictures coming soon.
I won't be far from you this weekend. Heading to Athens, GA then Stone Mountain.
Team #NeverSummer

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Re: November 2019: Slow Warming Trend/Thanksgiving Outlook

Post by srainhoutx » Wed Nov 20, 2019 9:15 am

Good morning from the Great Smokey Mountains!
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