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Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 10:00 am
by Cromagnum
It's very damp in the air. The front should have a nasty line ahead of it later today.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 11:28 am
by Kingwood36
snowman65 wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 9:55 am With this incoming very cold air so early in the season, could there be any impacts on the overall temps for the remainder of the winter season? I know the earlier forecasts called for warmer or much warmer than average for pretty much the entire US.....??
I was wondering the same thing..last yr we had a pretty decent cold fall..then when winter came it barely got cold at all

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 12:20 pm
by jasons2k
Cromagnum wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 10:00 am It's very damp in the air. The front should have a nasty line ahead of it later today.
Front is through already. Passed my place at about 6:20 this morning when I was at a very comfortable 70 degrees. Down to 57 now. We should see some showers and maybe a little thunder with the 850mb front this afternoon but nothing major.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 12:40 pm
by Cpv17
Where’s the rain at? I thought it would be raining off and on all day today. Big chance of rain and nothing has come out of it.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 12:42 pm
by jasons2k
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 12:40 pm Where’s the rain at? I thought it would be raining off and on all day today. Big chance of rain and nothing has come out of it.
Lull for now - this was the update a couple of hours ago:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Houston/Galveston TX
1039 AM CDT Wed Oct 30 2019

.DISCUSSION...

SHORT TERM [Today Through Tonight]...
Updated grids/forecast this morning to account for the frontal
boundary position and some timing adjustments to the pops. The
leading edge of the NW wind shift is just south of Matagorda Bay
to near LBX to GLS Bay. There is quite a gradient with temps
across the area, with Caldwell at 47 and Galveston at 78. The
front should move through Galveston in about an hour. Much of the area will see somewhat of a break in the rain from now through early afternoon, but around mid afternoon expect showers and isolated thunderstorms to develop and expand in coverage as the 850 mb front moves in and across the area this eve. Later today we will be issuing a wind advisory for coastal areas with strong northerly winds expected overnight. Wood

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 12:51 pm
by DoctorMu
srainhoutx wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 9:57 am The 12Z NAM suggest we will struggle to reach a high in the low/mid 40's tomorrow with a freeze possible across our Western and Northern Regions tomorrow morning. Light winds and clear skies Friday morning may well bring 30's into Metro Houston. Gardner's be aware!
Canadian joins NAM in bringing the freezing temps to CLL tomorrow night. A frosty but clear Halloween night placing that 30°F record in sight.

Progressive pattern after the weekend.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 3:16 pm
by djmike
Crazy. 81 in Beaumont while you guys in Hou are at 58!
Its hot, very humid here. Cmon front! You can do it!

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 3:21 pm
by Texaspirate11
Driving to Minneapolis....32 and snow showers in Iowa. Ugh. I hate this wx.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 4:05 pm
by snowman65
djmike wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 3:16 pm Crazy. 81 in Beaumont while you guys in Hou are at 58!
Its hot, very humid here. Cmon front! You can do it!
Right! It's 20 deg difference from here to Conroe (55-75)

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:04 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Feels amazing outside. Our hellish September weather is a distant memory!

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:24 pm
by Cpv17
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:04 pm Feels amazing outside. Our hellish September weather is a distant memory!
I think you need to move lol

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:49 pm
by Cpv17
Judging by the latest run of the models, it doesn’t look like these strong cold fronts are going to let up anytime soon over the next couple weeks. There could be another major front coming later next week. And a few days after that the 18z GFS has a 1050mb high dropping south out of Canada.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 7:53 pm
by txbear
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:04 pm Feels amazing outside. Our hellish September weather is a distant memory!
Could not agree more.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 8:21 pm
by MontgomeryCoWx
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:24 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:04 pm Feels amazing outside. Our hellish September weather is a distant memory!
I think you need to move lol
We got a second place outside of Bozeman, MT

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 10:55 pm
by Cpv17
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 8:21 pm
Cpv17 wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:24 pm
MontgomeryCoWx wrote: Wed Oct 30, 2019 6:04 pm Feels amazing outside. Our hellish September weather is a distant memory!
I think you need to move lol
We got a second place outside of Bozeman, MT
Perfect!! Lol

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Wed Oct 30, 2019 11:13 pm
by jasons2k
I just went outside to let the dogs out. That wet, chilly wind is brutal. No, thank you. This is Houston, Texas not Montana. I’m sleeping in tomorrow morning. Too cold to run.

So sad about the Astros :(

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Thu Oct 31, 2019 12:43 am
by DoctorMu
The advection is really rolling in here. Tomorrow will be a nice day to dry out. Another inch of rain in the backyard. I'm happy for our trees, bushes. Despite 2 application of fungicide over the last month and sulfur, the brown patch is back this afternoon with a vengeance. With a frost night tomorrow night, that's the end of mowing season.

This time of year can feature our best weather. Not steel gray Nov skies like the midwest, and El Nino Jan and Feb (like last winter). Cold (that's relative in TX) weather is not a bother, but rain and cold are no fun. It might as well snow.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Thu Oct 31, 2019 8:07 am
by srainhoutx
38F in NW Harris County and breezy. The forecast low tomorrow morning for IAH is 33F. Our typical first freeze at Bush is around December 6th or so.

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Thu Oct 31, 2019 8:40 am
by CrashTestDummy
Great googly-moogly!!! Who turned the thermostat down?!? Could you at least turn the fans down a bit?!?

:o

Re: October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

Posted: Thu Oct 31, 2019 10:26 am
by DoctorMu
This afternoon should be sunny and in the 50s. Great weather for running.

Low near freezing tonight in CLL, Conroe and NW Harris.