October: Chilly Halloween Outlook

General Weather Discussions and Analysis
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srainhoutx
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BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
754 AM CDT FRI OCT 11 2019

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 830 AM CDT.

* AT 754 AM CDT, A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING A
TORNADO WAS LOCATED JUST SOUTH OF LAKE CONROE DAM, OR NEAR CONROE,
MOVING EAST AT 30 MPH.

HAZARD...TORNADO.

SOURCE...RADAR INDICATED ROTATION.

IMPACT...FLYING DEBRIS WILL BE DANGEROUS TO THOSE CAUGHT WITHOUT
SHELTER. MOBILE HOMES WILL BE DAMAGED OR DESTROYED.
DAMAGE TO ROOFS, WINDOWS, AND VEHICLES WILL OCCUR. TREE
DAMAGE IS LIKELY.

* THIS DANGEROUS STORM WILL BE NEAR...
CONROE AROUND 800 AM CDT.
SHENANDOAH AND WOODLOCH AROUND 810 AM CDT.
CUT AND SHOOT AROUND 820 AM CDT.
PORTER HEIGHTS AROUND 830 AM CDT.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO A BASEMENT OR AN INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING. AVOID WINDOWS. IF YOU ARE OUTDOORS, IN A
MOBILE HOME, OR IN A VEHICLE, MOVE TO THE CLOSEST SUBSTANTIAL SHELTER
AND PROTECT YOURSELF FROM FLYING DEBRIS.

Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

Member: National Weather Association
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srainhoutx
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Tornado Warning cancelled. Front is pushing in quickly. Temperatures have dropped to the Upper 50's in College Station and San Antonio. Those 'colder' temperatures will continue to advance SE this morning. Showers/storms may continue well behind the front throughout the day.

Look for rain chances to return early next week as tropical moisture from the Eastern Pacific, deep tropical moisture from the SW Gulf and another weaker slow moving frontal boundary combine to increase rain chances Monday through Wednesday at least. Enjoy the colder weather while it lasts!
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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srainhoutx
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Friday morning weather briefing from Jeff:

Strong cold front moving across SE TX.

Cold front is currently located just NW of the US 59 corridor and moving to the SE. Temperatures behind the front are falling into the 50’s quickly with Caldwell down to 52 and Brenham 58 with N winds of 20-30mph. Showers and thunderstorms have developed along and behind the boundary and this activity will continue as the front progresses southward.

Based on upstream temperatures, will likely need to lower temperatures for today with most areas falling into the 50’s this afternoon away from the coast. This combined with the strong N wind is going to make for an abrupt difference compared to the low 90’s of yesterday.

Cold air advection will continue tonight with temperatures falling into the mid 40’s up north to lower 50’s for much of the area and near 60 along the coast. Clouds look to hang tough through the night and now skies may be slower to clear on Saturday which may keep many areas in the upper 50’s to mid 60’s for much of the day on Saturday. If skies do not clear on Saturday temperatures could remain in the 50’s and with continued NNE winds…it is going to feel “cold”

Warm front will begin to back northward late Sunday and moisture levels rapidly deepen late Sunday into Monday as the warm front moves across the area. Rain chances will be increasing for the first part of next week and some of the rainfall could be heavy at times.
Carla/Alicia/Jerry(In The Eye)/Michelle/Charley/Ivan/Dennis/Katrina/Rita/Wilma/Humberto/Ike/Harvey

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Kludge
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I got more rain (0.79") in one hour this morning than I've had in total since mid July. That was rough. :cry:
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jasons2k
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Solid red line until it gets to my house, then it splits around me.
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DoctorMu
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srainhoutx wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2019 8:40 am Tornado Warning cancelled. Front is pushing in quickly. Temperatures have dropped to the Upper 50's in College Station and San Antonio. Those 'colder' temperatures will continue to advance SE this morning. Showers/storms may continue well behind the front throughout the day.

Look for rain chances to return early next week as tropical moisture from the Eastern Pacific, deep tropical moisture from the SW Gulf and another weaker slow moving frontal boundary combine to increase rain chances Monday through Wednesday at least. Enjoy the colder weather while it lasts!
The rain (surprise!) has been s pleasant change: 0.65 in IMBY. Temp has dropped nearly 30°F. Windy and cloudy. It's nice to stop sweating.
Last edited by DoctorMu on Fri Oct 11, 2019 9:40 am, edited 1 time in total.
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tireman4
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In Orkando at Mouse World. Stay safe. Just saw radar.
CrashTestDummy
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jasons2k wrote: Fri Oct 11, 2019 9:26 am Solid red line until it gets to my house, then it splits around me.
That's what kept happening to us last year! We were having to water things, while our neighbors were slogging through the mud.

Currently light north wind here in northern Brazoria Co. Things are VERY humid. 82 deg-F.

Wifey currently sitting on a plane in Orlando airport trying to get home. There's a hold on incoming flights to IAH, so they pushed back from the loading ramp to get their on-time departure set then rolled back to park for more than an hour. :|
Gene Beaird,
Pearland, Texas

"You can learn a lot from a Dummy."
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jasons2k
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Glad some folks got some much-needed rain.

I had .10”
Cromagnum
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Line came right at my house. Then went north and south without as drop.
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