September 2019 - Warm End of September

[Cromagnum]

Damn this looks bad for the east side.

https://mobile.twitter.com/spann/status ... 1105349640

https://mobile.twitter.com/weatherdak/s ... 9523691520

[tireman4]

hmmm like by 4?

To me it looks like the heaviest rain may begin to develop over Metro Houston within the next couple of hours. The band will slowly drift SE into Ft Bend, Southern/Central/SE Harris in the early afternoon. The damage will be done by 4 PM as those potential heavy rainfall rates could be impacting area roadways. Just my hunch...

You know we trust those hunches...over many many years in the business...

[snowman65]

Just got home in Orange from work in Beaumont. Glad I left when I did. Had to rescue my father in law again, just like Harvey. He will more than likely flood again. He is in Mauriceville. 85 years old and after going through Harvey with no flood insurance I hope this isnt too much for him. Fortunately he has flood insurance this time. Hope this winds down in the next 6 hours or so.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
FLASH FLOOD WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
850 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2019

...FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY, NORTHWESTERN
CHAMBERS, SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY, AND NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTIES...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN LEAGUE CITY HAS ISSUED A

* FLASH FLOOD WARNING FOR...
SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...
NORTHEASTERN HARRIS COUNTY IN SOUTHEASTERN TEXAS...

* UNTIL 1115 AM CDT.

* AT 846 AM CDT, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REPORTED FLASH FLOODING
OCCURING IN THE WARNED AREA DUE TO PERSISTENT HEAVY RAIN WITH RAIN
RATES UP TO TWO TO FOUR INCHES PER HOUR. MULTIPLE ROADS AND
HIGHWAYS ARE IMPASSABLE. WATER IS RISING INTO RESIDENTIAL
BUILDINGS. PLEASE DO NOT TRAVEL UNLESS YOU HAVE TO AND SEEK HIGHER
GROUND IN EMERGENCIES. ADDITIONAL HEAVY RAINFALL IS EXPECTED.

THIS IS A FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCY FOR SOUTHEASTERN MONTGOMERY,
NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS, SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY, AND NORTHEASTERN HARRIS
COUNTIES. THIS IS A PARTICULARLY DANGEROUS SITUATION. SEEK HIGHER
GROUND NOW!

* SOME LOCATIONS THAT WILL EXPERIENCE FLOODING INCLUDE...
HUMBLE, SPRING, KINGWOOD, BARRETT, CROSBY, NORTHERN MONT BELVIEU,
PATTON VILLAGE, ROMAN FOREST, WOODBRANCH, OLD RIVER-WINFREE, PLUM
GROVE, WOODLOCH, ATASCOCITA, LAKE HOUSTON, PORTER HEIGHTS, NEW
CANEY AND PORTER.

[srainhoutx]

Jeff advises those in NE Harris County...DO NOT TRAVEL...shelter in place

[Tx2005]

Is the rain over Humble/Kingwood/Atascocita expected to keep moving throughout the morning? It’s coming down pretty hard now. I hope we don’t see this for hours on end.

[srainhoutx]

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
CIVIL EMERGENCY MESSAGE
AT THE REQUEST OF HARRIS...MONTGOMERY...LIBERTY AND CHAMBERS
OEM...
RELAYED BY NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
909 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2019

THE FOLLOWING MESSAGE IS TRANSMITTED AT THE REQUEST OF
HARRIS...MONTGOMERY...LIBERTY AND CHAMBERS OFFICES OF EMERGENCY
MANAGEMENT....

DUE TO FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCIES IN NORTHEAST HARRIS COUNTY
INCLUDING KINGWOOD AND HUMBLE, MONTGOMERY COUNTY, LIBERTY COUNTY
AND CHAMBERS COUNTY, EMERGENCY MANAGEMENT REQUEST RESIDENTS TO
STAY PUT AND SHELTER IN PLACE. DO NOT VENTURE ON TO ANY ROADS IN
THESE AREAS. PEOPLE TRAVELLING ON AREA HIGHWAYS NEED TO AVOID THIS
AREA AND CHANGE TRAVEL PLANS. IF YOU ARE TRAPPED IN YOUR HOUSE
DUE TO FLOODING CALL EMERGENCY PERSONEL FOR EVACUATION RESCUE.

[srainhoutx]

Update from Jeff;

Flash Flood Emergency until 1115 am SE Montgomery County, NE Harris County, Liberty County

This is an extremely dangerous and life threatening situation…persons should shelter in place…Do Not travel.

3-hr rainfall rates of 6-10 inches over this area. Significant flash flooding is in progress. Water is entering homes in Huffman and water rescues are ongoing.

If you feel your life is in danger…call 911

[srainhoutx]

Jeff states water entering structures in Kingwood

[tireman4]

Those inflow rates (25 to 40 knots), the dewpoints down around the coast (80 degrees) and the serious moisture (2.0 to 2.2 PWATS) in the area will be a headache all day long. Folks, please stay tuned here, HGX and your local outlets for information.

[ccbluewater]

The southern line in NW Harris County starting to line up right over my house.

[srainhoutx]

Stepping out for a bit. Stay aware folks!

[tireman4]

The Weather Company
SEVERE WEATHER
ALERT
Significant Weather Advisory
Weather Updated: Sep 19 9:25AM
Issued by the National Weather Service
For Inland Harris County, Texas
SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY UNTIL 10:30AM CDT THU ...SIGNIFICANT WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SOUTHERN MONTGOMERY... NORTHWESTERN CHAMBERS...EASTERN WALLER...SOUTHWESTERN LIBERTY AND CENTRAL HARRIS COUNTIES UNTIL 1030 AM CDT... AT 923 AM CDT, DOPPLER RADAR WAS TRACKING STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM BARRETT TO TOMBALL. MOVEMENT WAS SOUTHEAST AT 20 MPH. WINDS IN EXCESS OF 40 MPH WILL BE POSSIBLE WITH THESE STORMS. WET GROUND WILL MAKE TREES MORE SUSCEPTIBLE TO BEING KNOCKED OVER IN GUSTY WINDS. LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... NORTHWESTERN PASADENA, BAYTOWN, DEER PARK, HUMBLE, GALENA PARK, TOMBALL, JACINTO CITY, LIBERTY, JERSEY VILLAGE, DAYTON, BEACH CITY, PINEHURST, CLOVERLEAF, DOWNTOWN HOUSTON, KINGWOOD, SECOND WARD, THE WOODLANDS, GREATER GREENSPOINT, SPRING AND GREATER HEIGHTS. PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS... TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THESE STORMS, AND MAY LEAD TO LOCALIZED FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED ROADWAYS. &&

[tireman4]

Stepping out for a bit. Stay aware folks!

Do not be far, we may have to call you back to the Batphone!!!

[redneckweather]

All good just south of Lake Conroe Dam. I have a much needed total of 3 1/4" from this system so far. Not so good just east of me a few miles back towards town and into my buddies place in River Plantation. Lots of flooding going on over there.

[brooksgarner]

PWATs are pretty wild today. Lots of moisture to support major hourly totals.

[srainhoutx]

New Flash Flood Emergency Warning coming further S into Harris County

[davidiowx]

Well I can report that all is good down in Fort Bend county. If the line to the North continues to come down and merge with the inflow, things may get a little hairy this afternoon. The PWATs Mr. Garner posted above looks like the bottom could fall out for those of us on the SW side of town later today.

[srainhoutx]

BULLETIN
REMNANTS OF IMELDA ADVISORY NUMBER 9
NWS WEATHER PREDICTION CENTER COLLEGE PARK MD AL112019
1000 AM CDT THU SEP 19 2019

...SIGNIFICANT AND LIFE THREATENING FLASH FLOODING IS ONGOING
THIS MORNING ACROSS PORTIONS OF FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...


SUMMARY OF 1000 AM CDT...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...30.5N 95.5W
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM N OF HOUSTON TEXAS
ABOUT 55 MI...85 KM E OF COLLEGE STATION TEXAS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH...35 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 319 DEGREES AT 6 MPH...9 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1009 MB...29.80 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

FLASH FLOOD EMERGENCIES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF SOUTHEASTERN
TEXAS.

FLASH FLOOD WATCHES ARE IN EFFECT FOR PARTS OF EASTERN TEXAS AND
WESTERN LOUISIANA.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA, INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS, PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR
LOCAL NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE.


DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK
----------------------
AT 1000 AM CDT (1500 UTC), THE REMNANTS OF IMELDA WERE LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.5 NORTH, LONGITUDE 95.5 WEST. THE REMNANTS ARE MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 3 MPH (5 KM/H) AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED
TO INCREASE TO 6 MPH (9 KM/H) AND SHIFT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST BY
2100 UTC.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 25 MPH (35 KM/H) WITH HIGHER GUSTS.
CONTINUED WEAKENING IS EXPECTED FOR THE NEXT 12 HOURS BEFORE
WEAKENING INTO AN OPEN WAVE/TROUGH WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1010 MB (29.83 INCHES).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL: IMELDA IS EXPECTED TO PRODUCE THE FOLLOWING RAINFALL
AMOUNTS THROUGH FRIDAY:

ACROSS THE UPPER TEXAS COAST INTO FAR SOUTHEAST TEXAS...ADDITIONAL 4
TO 8 INCHES WITH ISOLATED STORM TOTALS OF 30 TO 40 INCHES.

ACROSS PORTIONS OF SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA...ADDITIONAL 3 TO 5 INCHES
WITH ISOLATED TOTALS OF 10 INCHES.

REST OF EAST TEXAS...2 TO 4 INCHES WITH ISOLATED TOTALS AROUND 8
INCHES.

THESE RAINFALL TOTALS MAY PRODUCE SIGNIFICANT TO LIFE THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS.

TORNADOES: ISOLATED TORNADOES WILL BE POSSIBLE TODAY OVER PARTS OF
SOUTHWEST LOUISIANA AND SOUTHEAST TEXAS.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 400 PM CDT.

$$
FORECASTER WPC FORECASTER

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT 19/1500Z 30.5N 95.5W 20 KT 25 MPH
12H 20/0000Z 31.2N 96.1W 15 KT 15 MPH...INLAND
24H 20/1200Z...DISSIPATED

[txbear]

New Flash Flood Emergency Warning coming further S into Harris County

Probably about time to bug out of my office in the Galleria area, wouldn't you think srain?