Louisiana, especially New Orleans seems likely right now.
September 2019 - Warm End of September
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
Would it keep tracking west all the way to texas or is it to soon to know?
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
Way too soon.Kingwood36 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 28, 2019 12:55 pmWould it keep tracking west all the way to texas or is it to soon to know?
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
Euro turning it towards MS/AL/Fl Panhandle. Some of the 12z runs have a very similar look to the track of Andrew & Katrina(not saying that's what Dorian will be..)
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
That 12z euro run has my attention that's one hell of a shift to the west.
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
One thing to keep in mind regarding this becoming an issue for Texas is that Texas is literally at the end of the line here. Everything would have to set up "perfectly" to get the storm to track this far west. Getting into September with troughs and fronts being a little more frequent this is an unlikely scenario. Not Impossible of course, but unlikely.
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Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
I get your point but tropical systems don't always follow climatology.sau27 wrote: ↑Wed Aug 28, 2019 1:12 pmOne thing to keep in mind regarding this becoming an issue for Texas is that Texas is literally at the end of the line here. Everything would have to set up "perfectly" to get the storm to track this far west. Getting into September with troughs and fronts being a little more frequent this is an unlikely scenario. Not Impossible of course, but unlikely.
Re: September 2019 - Labor Day Weekend/Tracking Hurricane Dorian
The 12z GFS ensembles are now split between the fla panhandle and c la.